GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
Referee: G. Avazashvili
FC Iberia 1999
Match Timeline
Gagra
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
49'
G. Kobuladze
Saburtalo
56'
A. Bartishvili · Assist: G. Kutsia
FC Iberia 1999
🔄
59'
Z. Natchkebia ↔ Lucas Cafe
FC Iberia 1999
🔄
63'
A. Bartishvili ↔ A. Dzagania
FC Iberia 1999
🔄
63'
P. Ghudushauri ↔ V. Bedoshvili
FC Iberia 1999
🟨
65'
G. Goshteliani
Saburtalo
🟨
70'
B. Kardava
Saburtalo
🔄
70'
A. Andreychuk ↔ D. Mujiri
Gagra
🟨
72'
D. Mujiri
Gagra
🔄
80'
G. Goshteliani ↔ G. Khachidze
FC Iberia 1999
🔄
80'
V. Arsic ↔ G. Darsania
Gagra
🟨
84'
Z. Tchavtchanidze
Gagra
🟨
86'
G. Khachidze
Saburtalo
🟨
90+2'
A. Zohouri
Saburtalo
🔄
90'
I. Skrypnyk ↔ I. Katsiashvili
Gagra
🔄
90'
Claudinei ↔ A. Peikrishvili
Gagra
🔄
90'
Wanderson ↔ G. Sadghobelashvili
Gagra

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 20.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
20.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Iberia 1999 Win 67.9%
Draw 9.5%
Gagra Win 22.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Iberia 19991.49
Gagra1
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999
WWDLW
24 GF / 17 GA
Gagra Gagra
WLDWL
18 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
9
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999 17 matches
Gagra Gagra 18 matches
FC Iberia 1999 Statistic Gagra
8 Wins 3
5 Draws 7
4 Losses 8
24 Goals For 18
17 Goals Against 29
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
9 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Saburtalo's more proactive style and Gagra's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Gagra arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gagra having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gagra. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Saburtalo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 24 points compared to Gagra in 9 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

FC Iberia 1999 Analysis

Saburtalo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 24 points after 13 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 19:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Dzagania (4 goals), P. Ghudushauri (4 goals), J. Jinjolava (3 goals), with creative support from V. Bedoshvili (2 assists), G. Kutsia (2 assists), A. Bartishvili (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Gagra Analysis

Gagra approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 11 points from 13 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 11:20, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Andreychuk (2 goals), D. Mujiri (2 goals), I. Skrypnyk (2 goals), with creative support from Wanderson (4 assists), A. Andreychuk (2 assists), S. Zoidze (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Iberia 1999 won 12 times, Gagra won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:15 from FC Iberia 1999's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Predicted formations: FC Iberia 1999 4-3-3 / Gagra -
H2H summary: FC Iberia 1999 wins 12, draws 1, Gagra wins 2

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 12 6 5 30:19 11 42
D W W W L
2 22 10 7 5 35:26 9 37
W L W W W
3 23 10 7 6 38:32 6 37
W W W D L
4 21 10 4 7 30:24 6 34
L L W L D
5 23 9 5 9 32:41 -9 32
D W L W D
6 23 8 7 8 36:27 9 31
L D W L D
7 22 9 3 10 27:24 3 30
L D W W W
8
Gagra Away
23 6 9 8 23:30 -7 27
W L D D D
9 23 5 8 10 30:35 -5 23
L L D L D
10 23 2 8 13 17:40 -23 14
W L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2