GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
04.10.2026 15:00
Mikheil Meskhi Stadium

FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Iberia 1999 Win 33%
Draw 20.1%
Dinamo Tbilisi Win 46.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Iberia 19991.37
Dinamo Tbilisi1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999
WWDLW
51 GF / 48 GA
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
WLDWL
58 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
21
BTTS Yes
23
19
Over 2.5
21
3.62
Shots on Goal
4.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999 38 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 37 matches
FC Iberia 1999 Statistic Dinamo Tbilisi
17 Wins 15
9 Draws 12
12 Losses 10
51 Goals For 58
48 Goals Against 52
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
21 BTTS Yes 23
30 Over 1.5 29
19 Over 2.5 21
8 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 10
3.62 Shots On Goal 4.86
3.76 Total Shots 4.62
4.03 Corners 4.59
43.9% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dinamo Tbilisi. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Saburtalo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Dinamo Tbilisi in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dinamo Tbilisi having the stronger overall control.

FC Iberia 1999 Analysis

Saburtalo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 34 points after 20 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 30:22 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 34 points from 21 games, Dinamo Tbilisi bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 9 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:25, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Iberia 1999 won 7 times, Dinamo Tbilisi won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:14 from FC Iberia 1999's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
Predicted formations: FC Iberia 1999 4-3-3 / Dinamo Tbilisi 4-4-2
H2H summary: FC Iberia 1999 wins 7, draws 1, Dinamo Tbilisi wins 7

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 13 8 6 46:36 10 47
W D W W W
2 26 14 4 8 37:28 9 46
W W W L W
3 27 13 7 7 32:23 9 46
L W D L D
4 26 12 9 5 43:29 14 45
W W D D W
5 27 12 4 11 38:30 8 40
W L D W W
6 27 9 9 9 43:34 9 36
L W D D L
7 27 9 5 13 38:52 -14 32
L L L L D
8 27 6 11 10 25:37 -12 29
D L D L W
9 27 5 10 12 34:43 -9 25
L L D D L
10 27 2 11 14 20:44 -24 17
D L D D W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2