DENMARK 1. DIVISION
05.09.2026 12:00
Monjasa Park
Referee: M. Thomsen
FC Fredericia
Match Timeline
Esbjerg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
50'
F. Winther
FC Fredericia
🔄
61'
F. Aronsson ↔ A. Sonderskov
Esbjerg
🔄
61'
B. Hvidt ↔ L. Vigen
Esbjerg
🔄
61'
O. Boesen ↔ J. Kolawole
Esbjerg
🟥
65'
A. Sonderskov
Esbjerg
🔄
66'
F. Winther ↔ N. Thomsen
FC Fredericia
66'
C. Jorgensen · Assist: A. Pyndt
FC Fredericia
🟨
75'
S. Crone
FC Fredericia
🔄
75'
C. Jorgensen ↔ D. Haarbo
FC Fredericia
🔄
75'
A. Lyng ↔ B. Bang-Kittilsen
FC Fredericia
🔄
77'
M. Brajanac ↔ M. Kruse
Esbjerg
🔄
77'
M. Maden ↔ M. Hansen
Esbjerg
🔄
86'
A. Pyndt ↔ A. Dahl
FC Fredericia
🔄
86'
A. Bondergaard ↔ E. Hansborg
FC Fredericia

FC Fredericia vs Esbjerg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.46
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.27
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.8%
1.46
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.27
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.06
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
FC Fredericia Win 56.8%
Draw 6.9%
Esbjerg Win 36.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Fredericia1.77
Esbjerg1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Fredericia FC Fredericia
WWDLW
27 GF / 13 GA
Esbjerg Esbjerg
WLDWL
23 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.44
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
8
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 16 matches
Esbjerg Esbjerg 16 matches
FC Fredericia Statistic Esbjerg
8 Wins 3
7 Draws 4
1 Losses 9
27 Goals For 23
13 Goals Against 30
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
8 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FC Fredericia's more proactive style and Esbjerg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Fredericia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 9 points compared to Esbjerg in 9 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Esbjerg. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Esbjerg arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Esbjerg having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Fredericia Analysis

Placed 4 with 9 points from 5 outings, FC Fredericia continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 8:2 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Esbjerg Analysis

Esbjerg approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 4 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 8:11 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FC Fredericia won 7 times, Esbjerg won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:16 from FC Fredericia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Predicted formations: FC Fredericia - / Esbjerg 4-4-2
H2H summary: FC Fredericia wins 7, draws 3, Esbjerg wins 4

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 18:9 9 21
W D W W D
2 9 5 4 0 22:13 9 19
D D W D W
3 9 3 5 1 12:6 6 14
D D W L D
4 9 3 4 2 10:9 1 13
L D W D D
5 9 3 4 2 11:11 0 13
D D W D L
6 8 4 1 3 10:11 -1 13
D L L W W
7 9 2 4 3 10:14 -4 10
D D L W W
8 9 2 3 4 11:10 1 9
W L L L D
9 9 2 3 4 13:14 -1 9
D W D W L
10 9 1 5 3 10:12 -2 8
D D L W D
11 9 1 2 6 10:19 -9 5
L D L L L
12 8 0 4 4 6:15 -9 4
D D D D L
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs