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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
16.10.2026 18:00
Jan Louwers Stadion
FC Eindhoven
Match Timeline
Vitesse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
Junior Poortvliet
FC Eindhoven
⚽
39'
Naoufal Bannis
Vitesse
🟨
44'
Pontus Dahbo
Vitesse
🟨
53'
valon zumberi
Vitesse
🟨
55'
Clint Essers
FC Eindhoven
🔄
58'
Youssef Ouallil ↔ Alexander Büttner
Vitesse
🔄
58'
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira ↔ Mathijs Marschalk
Vitesse
🔄
58'
Pontus Dahbo ↔ Koen Te Veluwe
Vitesse
🔄
61'
Junior Poortvliet ↔ Luc Netten
FC Eindhoven
🔄
61'
Vicente Besuijen ↔ Hugo Deenen
FC Eindhoven
🟨
73'
Luc Netten
FC Eindhoven
🔄
75'
Xiamaro thenu ↔ Luuk Wouters
Vitesse
🔄
80'
Guus Beaumont ↔ Niek Munsters
FC Eindhoven
🟨
82'
Owen Renfrum
FC Eindhoven
🟨
82'
Naoufal Bannis
Vitesse
🔄
84'
Naoufal Bannis ↔ Eduard·Probst
Vitesse
🔄
87'
Clint Essers ↔ Lasse Abildgaard
FC Eindhoven
🔄
87'
Xander Blomme ↔ Lennon Smulders
FC Eindhoven

FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 44%
Odds 2.07
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
44%
2.07 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.53 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Eindhoven Win 39.6%
Draw 16.4%
Vitesse Win 44%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Eindhoven1.35
Vitesse1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven
WWDLW
25 GF / 34 GA
Vitesse Vitesse
WLDWL
18 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
11
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
7
3.4
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 18 matches
Vitesse Vitesse 14 matches
FC Eindhoven Statistic Vitesse
5 Wins 5
5 Draws 4
8 Losses 5
25 Goals For 18
34 Goals Against 18
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
11 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 11
12 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 5
3.4 Shots On Goal 4.4
11 Total Shots 16
3.5 Corners 5.6
46% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Vitesse's more proactive style and FC Eindhoven's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vitesse. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

FC Eindhoven Analysis

FC Eindhoven are currently 13 in the standings with 11 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 15:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kevin Ferreira (2 goals), O. Renfrum (2 goals), K. van Veen (2 goals), with creative support from G. Beaumont (4 assists), Kevin Ferreira (1 assists), N. Munsters (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vitesse Analysis

So far, Vitesse have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 14 points from 9 matches. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 15:13 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Bannis (9 goals), F. de Carvalho (2 goals), A. Sellouf (2 goals), with creative support from N. Bannis (3 assists), F. de Carvalho (3 assists), M. Schikora (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, FC Eindhoven won 0 times, Vitesse won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:9 from FC Eindhoven's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
Predicted formations: FC Eindhoven 4-4-2 / Vitesse 4-4-2
H2H summary: FC Eindhoven wins 0, draws 3, Vitesse wins 1

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
4 1 0 1 0 4:4 0 1
D
5 1 0 1 0 4:4 0 1
D
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
19 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
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