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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
23.10.2026 18:00
Jan Louwers Stadion

FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Eindhoven Win 63.1%
Draw 7.7%
Jong PSV U21 Win 29.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Eindhoven1.52
Jong PSV U211.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven
WWDLW
25 GF / 35 GA
Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21
WLDWL
17 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
11
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
7
3.36
Shots on Goal
5.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 19 matches
Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21 12 matches
FC Eindhoven Statistic Jong PSV U21
5 Wins 3
5 Draws 4
9 Losses 5
25 Goals For 17
35 Goals Against 22
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
11 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 10
12 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 1
6 Failed To Score 1
3.36 Shots On Goal 5.45
10.64 Total Shots 14.27
3.36 Corners 5
46.9% Ball Possession 55.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Jong PSV U21. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Eindhoven expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Jong PSV U21 in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Jong PSV U21 having the stronger overall control.

FC Eindhoven Analysis

FC Eindhoven sit 15 with 11 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 15:22 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Kevin Ferreira (2 goals), O. Renfrum (2 goals), K. van Veen (2 goals), with creative support from G. Beaumont (4 assists), Kevin Ferreira (1 assists), N. Munsters (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Jong PSV U21 Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Jong PSV U21 have collected 13 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 15:17 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Jones (5 goals), F. Kluit (2 goals), S. Cornecion (2 goals), with creative support from F. Kluit (3 assists), S. Sidibe (2 assists), B. Mulders (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Eindhoven won 9 times, Jong PSV U21 won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:21 from FC Eindhoven's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
Predicted formations: FC Eindhoven 4-4-2 / Jong PSV U21 4-3-3
H2H summary: FC Eindhoven wins 9, draws 2, Jong PSV U21 wins 4

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 5:1 4 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
6 1 0 1 0 4:4 0 1
D
7 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
8 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
9 1 0 1 0 4:4 0 1
D
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
17 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
18 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
19 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 1:5 -4 0
L
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