Login Register
NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
03.10.2026 18:00
Jan Louwers Stadion
FC Eindhoven
Match Timeline
De Graafschap
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
Rayan·Buifrahi · Assist: Raf van de Riet
FC Eindhoven
🟨
24'
Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff
De Graafschap
🔄
45'
Bjorn van Zijl ↔ gabriele finocchiaro
De Graafschap
⚽
53'
Junior Poortvliet
De Graafschap
🔄
60'
Luc Netten ↔ Clint Essers
FC Eindhoven
🔄
60'
Hugo Deenen ↔ Amir Bryson
FC Eindhoven
🔄
60'
Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff ↔ Thomas Kok
De Graafschap
🔄
68'
Julian kania ↔ Kyano Kwint
De Graafschap
🔄
68'
Mark Diemers ↔ Jorn Triep
De Graafschap
⚽
70'
Kyano Kwint · Assist: Fedde De Jong
De Graafschap
🔄
70'
Xander Blomme ↔ Niek Munsters
FC Eindhoven
⚽
72'
Siegert Baartmans · Assist: Guus Beaumont
FC Eindhoven
🟨
77'
Joran Hardeman
De Graafschap
🟨
77'
Nolan Martens
De Graafschap
🟨
77'
Rayan·Buifrahi
FC Eindhoven
🔄
85'
Donny Warmerdam ↔ Joran Hardeman
De Graafschap
🟨
88'
Fedde De Jong
De Graafschap
🔄
89'
Kevin van Veen ↔ antonio bazdaric
FC Eindhoven
🟨
89'
gijs bolk
De Graafschap
🟨
90+4'
Kaya Symons
De Graafschap

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Eindhoven Win 70.7%
Draw 6.4%
De Graafschap Win 22.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Eindhoven2.09
De Graafschap1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven
WWDLW
23 GF / 29 GA
De Graafschap De Graafschap
WLDWL
22 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.81
Average Goals Conceded
3.07
10
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
12
2.75
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 16 matches
De Graafschap De Graafschap 14 matches
FC Eindhoven Statistic De Graafschap
5 Wins 4
4 Draws 1
7 Losses 9
23 Goals For 22
29 Goals Against 43
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.81 Avg Goals Conceded 3.07
10 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 1
2.75 Shots On Goal 4.13
10.13 Total Shots 14.13
3 Corners 4
46% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward De Graafschap. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Eindhoven expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and De Graafschap in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward De Graafschap having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. De Graafschap arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. FC Eindhoven arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 12 with 10 points compared to De Graafschap in 20 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

FC Eindhoven Analysis

From their first 7 matches, FC Eindhoven have collected 10 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 11:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by O. Renfrum (2 goals), K. van Veen (2 goals), Kevin Ferreira (1 goals), with creative support from G. Beaumont (3 assists), M. de Jonge (1 assists), N. Munsters (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

De Graafschap Analysis

De Graafschap approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 4 points from 7 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 8:20, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through J. Kania (3 goals), D. Warmerdam (2 goals), Bjorn van Zijl (1 goals), with creative support from N. Martens (2 assists), T. Mero (1 assists), F. de Jong (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FC Eindhoven won 4 times, De Graafschap won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:21 from FC Eindhoven's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: FC Eindhoven 4-2-3-1 / De Graafschap 4-3-3
H2H summary: FC Eindhoven wins 4, draws 3, De Graafschap wins 7

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 31:12 19 25
W D W L W
2 10 7 1 2 22:7 15 22
W W L W W
3 10 7 0 3 26:14 12 21
W W L W W
4 10 6 1 3 22:18 4 19
W D W L L
5 10 5 2 3 20:19 1 17
W D W W L
6 10 4 4 2 10:8 2 16
D L W D W
7 10 5 1 4 13:20 -7 16
L L W L L
8 10 5 0 5 22:17 5 15
W L W L W
9 10 3 5 2 19:15 4 14
L D L W W
10 10 4 2 4 15:15 0 14
L D L W L
11 10 4 1 5 22:18 4 13
L W D L W
12 10 3 4 3 15:17 -2 13
D L D L W
13 10 4 0 6 15:15 0 12
W W L W L
14 10 3 2 5 14:18 -4 11
W D L W L
15 10 3 2 5 15:22 -7 11
L D L W W
16 10 3 2 5 13:23 -10 11
W D W L W
17 10 2 3 5 16:19 -3 9
L D L L W
18 10 2 2 6 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
19 10 2 2 6 13:27 -14 8
L D W L L
20 10 2 1 7 16:23 -7 7
L L W W D
Promotion - Eredivisie
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)