BELARUS › PREMIER LEAGUE
13.09.2026 12:00
Stadion Spartak
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Match Timeline
ML Vitebsk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
K. Zabelin
FC Dnepr Mogilev
⚽
7'
A. Kontsevoy · Assist: R. Bosic
ML Vitebsk
🔄
46'
I. Grudko ↔ D. Cleonise
ML Vitebsk
🟨
53'
Aleksandr Mikhalenko
FC Dnepr Mogilev
🔄
56'
A. Mikhalenko ↔ A. Potapenko
FC Dnepr Mogilev
🔄
56'
K. Kirilenko ↔ K. Tsepenkov
FC Dnepr Mogilev
🔄
60'
Y. Skibskiy ↔ S. Balanovich
ML Vitebsk
🔄
60'
O. Abdullahi ↔ V. Gromyko
ML Vitebsk
🔄
69'
A. Dunaev ↔ D. Cherkasov
FC Dnepr Mogilev
🟨
75'
Andrey Potapenko
FC Dnepr Mogilev
🔄
80'
I. Moskalenchik ↔ M. Mohammadi
ML Vitebsk
🔄
82'
K. Zabelin ↔ E. Karpitskiy
FC Dnepr Mogilev
🔄
83'
D. Lisakovich ↔ N. Krasnov
FC Dnepr Mogilev
🟨
87'
Zakhar Volkov
ML Vitebsk
🔄
88'
B. Diabate ↔ T. Ivanov
ML Vitebsk
🟨
90+6'
David Cherkasov
FC Dnepr Mogilev

FC Dnepr Mogilev vs ML Vitebsk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.3%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.3%
1.33 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.95 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
1.70 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
3.92 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.30 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Dnepr Mogilev Win 28.7%
Draw 4.1%
ML Vitebsk Win 67.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Dnepr Mogilev0.93
ML Vitebsk1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev
WWDLW
29 GF / 47 GA
ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk
WLDWL
57 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
17
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
17
1.76
Shots on Goal
1.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev 30 matches
ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk 30 matches
FC Dnepr Mogilev Statistic ML Vitebsk
4 Wins 19
11 Draws 7
15 Losses 4
29 Goals For 57
47 Goals Against 26
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
17 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 6
1.76 Shots On Goal 1.64
0 Total Shots 0.28
1.95 Corners 2.36
19.3% Ball Possession 22.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around ML Vitebsk's more proactive style and FC Dnepr Mogilev's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward ML Vitebsk. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. ML Vitebsk carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 39 points while FC Dnepr Mogilev sit 15 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Dnepr Mogilev expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and ML Vitebsk in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward ML Vitebsk having the stronger overall control.

FC Dnepr Mogilev Analysis

FC Dnepr Mogilev sit 15 with 15 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 16:29, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

ML Vitebsk Analysis

ML Vitebsk come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 39 points after 18 matches. The return of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 36:15, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, FC Dnepr Mogilev won 1 times, ML Vitebsk won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:16 from FC Dnepr Mogilev's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: FC Dnepr Mogilev 4-2-3-1 / ML Vitebsk 4-3-3
H2H summary: FC Dnepr Mogilev wins 1, draws 0, ML Vitebsk wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 13 6 3 37:18 19 45
L W D W D
2 21 12 8 1 42:17 25 44
W D D D W
3 21 13 4 4 37:16 21 43
W L D W L
4 23 12 4 7 38:23 15 40
W W W L D
5 23 11 6 6 33:18 15 39
W L W W D
6 22 11 4 7 26:20 6 37
W W D W W
7 23 10 6 7 28:21 7 36
W D L W W
8 23 10 4 9 30:28 2 34
L W W L L
9 22 7 6 9 28:29 -1 27
L L L W D
10 22 6 7 9 23:26 -3 25
L L W L D
11 23 6 7 10 24:38 -14 25
L D W W D
12 23 5 8 10 24:41 -17 23
L D D L L
13 22 5 6 11 22:36 -14 21
W D D D L
14 22 3 9 10 16:27 -11 18
L D L L W
15 23 2 10 11 20:36 -16 16
L D L D D
16 23 3 5 15 20:54 -34 14
W D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga