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BELARUS › PREMIER LEAGUE
17.10.2026 15:00
Stadion Spartak

FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Dnepr Mogilev Win 57.6%
Draw 25.4%
Bate Borisov Win 17.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Dnepr Mogilev1.1
Bate Borisov1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev
WWDLW
34 GF / 55 GA
Bate Borisov Bate Borisov
WLDWL
24 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
0.69
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
20
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
11
1.96
Shots on Goal
1.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev 33 matches
Bate Borisov Bate Borisov 35 matches
FC Dnepr Mogilev Statistic Bate Borisov
4 Wins 5
12 Draws 15
17 Losses 15
34 Goals For 24
55 Goals Against 42
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 0.69
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
20 BTTS Yes 14
25 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 19
1.96 Shots On Goal 1.19
0.54 Total Shots 0.92
2.29 Corners 1.69
22.8% Ball Possession 20.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Dnepr Mogilev expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Bate Borisov in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bate Borisov having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bate Borisov arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bate Borisov.

FC Dnepr Mogilev Analysis

With 16 points from 23 games and a place of 15, FC Dnepr Mogilev still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats with a 20:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bate Borisov Analysis

Bate Borisov sit 14 with 18 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 16:27, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (83%)
Predicted formations: FC Dnepr Mogilev 4-3-3 / Bate Borisov 4-2-3-1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 13 8 1 47:18 29 47
W W D D D
2 23 13 7 3 37:18 19 46
D L W D W
3 22 14 4 4 40:18 22 46
W W L D W
4 24 13 4 7 39:23 16 43
W W W W L
5 23 12 4 7 29:20 9 40
W W W D W
6 24 11 6 7 34:23 11 39
L W L W W
7 24 10 7 7 28:21 7 37
D W D L W
8 24 10 4 10 30:29 1 34
L L W W L
9 23 8 6 9 29:29 0 30
W L L L W
10 23 6 7 10 24:28 -4 25
L L L W L
11 24 6 7 11 24:41 -17 25
L L D W W
12 24 5 8 11 24:42 -18 23
L L D D L
13 23 4 9 10 18:28 -10 21
W L D L L
14 23 5 6 12 23:40 -17 21
L W D D D
15 24 4 5 15 24:55 -31 17
W W D L L
16 24 2 10 12 22:39 -17 16
L L D L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga