🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
20.09.2026 00:30
Toyota Stadium

FC Dallas vs Austin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.3%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Dallas Win 69.3%
Draw 4.6%
Austin Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Dallas1.81
Austin1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WWDLW
57 GF / 44 GA
Austin Austin
WLDWL
39 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.97
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
18
BTTS Yes
18
21
Over 2.5
19
4.72
Shots on Goal
3.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Dallas FC Dallas 29 matches
Austin Austin 33 matches
FC Dallas Statistic Austin
14 Wins 9
8 Draws 10
7 Losses 14
57 Goals For 39
44 Goals Against 52
1.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
18 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 26
21 Over 2.5 19
14 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 10
4.72 Shots On Goal 3.92
11.96 Total Shots 10.52
4.36 Corners 4.44
41.8% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Dallas's more proactive style and Austin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Austin having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Austin. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Dallas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 40 points compared to Austin in 14 on 26, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

FC Dallas Analysis

FC Dallas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 40 points after 24 outings. The return of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 47:41, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through P. Musa (11 goals), S. Moreno (4 goals), L. Farrington (4 goals), with creative support from J. Valiente (5 assists), P. Musa (4 assists), S. Moreno (2 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Austin Analysis

Austin sit 14 with 26 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 30:43, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Torres (4 goals), C. Ramirez (4 goals), Myrto Uzuni (4 goals), with creative support from F. Torres (2 assists), C. Ramirez (2 assists), J. Rosales (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Dallas won 9 times, Austin won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:18 from FC Dallas's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: FC Dallas 3-4-2-1 / Austin 3-4-3
H2H summary: FC Dallas wins 9, draws 3, Austin wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 24 8 6 10 42:37 5 30
L L W W L
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)