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18.10.2026 16:00
Parken Stadium
Referee: Lasse Kirk Graagaard
FC Copenhagen
Match Timeline
Aarhus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
35'
Robert Silva · Assist: Marcos López
FC Copenhagen
🔄
45'
Rasmus Carstensen ↔ Jacob Andersen
Aarhus
⚽
63'
Janni Serra · Assist: Frederik Emmery
Aarhus
🔄
65'
William Clem ↔ Thomas Delaney
FC Copenhagen
🔄
67'
Daniel Leo Gretarsson ↔ Eric Kahl
Aarhus
🔄
74'
Janni Serra ↔ James Bogere
Aarhus
🔄
74'
Callum McCowatt ↔ Markus Solbakken
Aarhus
🔄
75'
Viktor Dadason ↔ Geovanni Vianney Ndjee
FC Copenhagen
🟨
75'
Alex Král
FC Copenhagen
🔄
84'
Robert Silva ↔ Mads Emil Madsen
FC Copenhagen
🔄
84'
Marcos López ↔ Birger Meling
FC Copenhagen
🔄
84'
Mohamed Elyounoussi ↔ Thapelo Maseko
FC Copenhagen
🟨
90+1'
Tobias Mölgaard
Aarhus

FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Copenhagen Win 88%
Draw 4.6%
Aarhus Win 7.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Copenhagen2.1
Aarhus1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen
W L L W W
7 GF / 4 GA
Aarhus Aarhus
L W W D L
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.42
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
15
BTTS Yes
17
19
Over 2.5
20
5.76
Shots on Goal
3.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 26 matches
Aarhus Aarhus 26 matches
FC Copenhagen Statistic Aarhus
17 Wins 10
5 Draws 6
4 Losses 10
63 Goals For 45
36 Goals Against 42
2.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
15 BTTS Yes 17
24 Over 1.5 25
19 Over 2.5 20
14 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
5.76 Shots On Goal 3.82
14.35 Total Shots 13.18
4.65 Corners 5.29
49.2% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Copenhagen's more proactive style and Aarhus's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FC Copenhagen arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 24 points compared to Aarhus in 11 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aarhus. FC Copenhagen come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Copenhagen expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Aarhus in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aarhus having the stronger overall control.

FC Copenhagen Analysis

FC Copenhagen come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 24 points after 9 matches. The return of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 23:8, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Elyounoussi (6 goals), B. Meling (4 goals), M. Emil Madsen (2 goals), with creative support from M. Elyounoussi (2 assists), A. Král (2 assists), J. Suzuki (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Aarhus Analysis

Aarhus sit 11 with 5 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 11:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Serra (3 goals), Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad (2 goals), Frederik Emmery (1 goals), with creative support from Frederik Emmery (2 assists), S. Jørgensen (2 assists), M. Knudsen (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FC Copenhagen won 5 times, Aarhus won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:29 from FC Copenhagen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: FC Copenhagen 4-2-3-1 / Aarhus 3-4-2-1
Missing players: FC Copenhagen 2, Aarhus 7
H2H summary: FC Copenhagen wins 5, draws 3, Aarhus wins 6

Standings

Superliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 4 0 27:15 12 31
W W W W D
2 13 9 2 2 28:12 16 29
W D D L W
3 13 7 2 4 20:12 8 23
W L L W W
4 13 7 1 5 23:20 3 22
W W L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:17 3 20
L D D D L
6 13 4 5 4 15:17 -2 17
W D W D D
7 13 4 4 5 23:21 2 16
L W D D D
8 13 2 6 5 17:21 -4 12
L W D W D
9 13 2 6 5 17:24 -7 12
L D L D W
10 13 3 2 8 13:21 -8 11
L L D L L
11 13 2 5 6 19:28 -9 11
W L D L L
12 13 2 2 9 17:31 -14 8
L L W L W
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs