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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
FC Cincinnati
FT
4 - 2
San Jose Earthquakes
TQL Stadium
Referee: V. Rivas
FC Cincinnati
Match Timeline
San Jose Earthquakes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
K. Smith
FC Cincinnati
⚽
26'
D. Munie · Assist: T. Werner
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
34'
B. J. Ramirez Leon · Assist: Evander
FC Cincinnati
🔄
46'
N. Fernandez ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
57'
T. Werner · Assist: P. Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
60'
Vitor Costa ↔ J. Ricketts
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
70'
K. Mboma ↔ T. Barlow
FC Cincinnati
🔄
70'
K. Smith ↔ T. Hadebe
FC Cincinnati
🔄
73'
O. Bouda ↔ J. Skahan
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
80'
T. Barlow · Assist: Evander
FC Cincinnati
🔄
81'
B. Kikanovic ↔ J. Jasinski
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
81'
R. Vieira ↔ D. Romney
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
82'
Evander · Assist: O. Nwobodo
FC Cincinnati
🟨
87'
P. Bucha
FC Cincinnati
🔄
88'
E. Echenique ↔ A. Powell
FC Cincinnati
🔄
88'
O. Nwobodo ↔ T. Anunga
FC Cincinnati
🟨
89'
M. Robinson
FC Cincinnati
🔄
90+3'
K. Denkey ↔ A. Jabbari
FC Cincinnati
⚽
90+6'
A. Jabbari · Assist: T. Barlow
FC Cincinnati

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Cincinnati Win 48.9%
Draw 11.4%
San Jose Earthquakes Win 39.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Cincinnati2
San Jose Earthquakes1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
WWDLW
66 GF / 53 GA
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
WLDWL
42 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.54
Average Goals Scored
1.91
2.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
18
BTTS Yes
12
18
Over 2.5
12
5.95
Shots on Goal
5.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 26 matches
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 22 matches
FC Cincinnati Statistic San Jose Earthquakes
11 Wins 13
7 Draws 3
8 Losses 6
66 Goals For 42
53 Goals Against 26
2.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
2.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
18 BTTS Yes 12
23 Over 1.5 18
18 Over 2.5 12
16 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 3
5.95 Shots On Goal 5.65
13.71 Total Shots 14.12
4.48 Corners 7
49.3% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, FC Cincinnati won 3 times, San Jose Earthquakes won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:5 from FC Cincinnati's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: FC Cincinnati 3-5-2 / San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Cincinnati wins 3, draws 0, San Jose Earthquakes wins 1

Lineups

FC Cincinnati
Formation
San Jose Earthquakes
Roman Celentano
Roman Celentano
Kyle Smith
↓
Kyle Smith
Miles Robinson
Miles Robinson
Samuel Gidi
Samuel Gidi
Ender Echenique
↓
Ender Echenique
Pavel Bucha
Pavel Bucha
Obinna Nwobodo
🎯 ↓
Obinna Nwobodo
Bryan Ramirez
⚽
Bryan Ramirez
Evander
⚽ 🎯
Evander
Kenji Mboma Dem
↓
Kenji Mboma Dem
Kévin Denkey
↓
Kévin Denkey
Angus Gunn
Angus Gunn
Vitor Costa
↓
Vitor Costa
Reid Roberts
Reid Roberts
Daniel Munie
⚽
Daniel Munie
Benjamin Kikanović
↓
Benjamin Kikanović
Beau Leroux
Beau Leroux
Ronaldo Vieira
↓
Ronaldo Vieira
Nick Fernandez
↓
Nick Fernandez
Timo Werner
⚽ 🎯
Timo Werner
Preston Judd
🎯
Preston Judd
Ousseni Bouda
↓
Ousseni Bouda
FC Cincinnati 3-4-3 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
18
Roman Celentano
G
24
Kyle Smith
↓ 70' 🟨 20'
D
12
Miles Robinson
🟨 89'
D
11
Samuel Gidi
D
66
Ender Echenique
↓ 88'
M
20
Pavel Bucha
🟨 87'
M
5
Obinna Nwobodo
🎯 82' ↓ 88'
M
29
Bryan Ramirez
⚽ 34'
M
10
Evander
⚽ 82' 🎯 34' 🎯 80'
F
17
Kenji Mboma Dem
↓ 70'
F
9
Kévin Denkey
↓ 90+3'
F
Substitutes
13
Evan Louro
G
4
Nick Hagglund
D
88
Andrei Chirila
D
15
Teenage Hadebe
↑ 70'
D
2
Alvas Powell
↑ 88'
D
27
Tah Anunga
↑ 88'
M
99
Ayoub Jabbari
⚽ 90+6' ↑ 90+3'
F
16
Tom Barlow
⚽ 80' 🎯 90+6' ↑ 70'
F
14
Kristian Fletcher
F
San Jose Earthquakes 4-3-3 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
1
Angus Gunn
G
87
Vitor Costa
↓ 60'
D
18
Reid Roberts
D
5
Daniel Munie
⚽ 26'
D
28
Benjamin Kikanović
↓ 81'
D
34
Beau Leroux
M
14
Ronaldo Vieira
↓ 81'
M
20
Nick Fernandez
↓ 46'
M
11
Timo Werner
⚽ 57' 🎯 26'
F
19
Preston Judd
🎯 57'
F
7
Ousseni Bouda
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
31
Francesco Montali
G
17
Jack Jasinski
↑ 81'
D
4
Dave Romney
↑ 81'
D
2
Jamar Ricketts
↑ 60'
D
79
Darius Johnson
F
6
Ian Harkes
↑ 46'
M
16
Jack Skahan
↑ 73'
M
3
Paul Marie
D
9
Luka Jovanovic
F
Last matches: FC Cincinnati
19.08.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
2
1
W
15.08.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
25.07.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
1
2
L
22.07.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
3
W
10.07.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Burnley
3
1
W
23.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
6
2
W
17.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
3
3
D
13.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
3
5
L
09.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3
2
W
25.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
4
L
22.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
4
3
W
20.03.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
1
5
L
15.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
1
6
L
13.03.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
3
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
0
1
L
Last matches: San Jose Earthquakes
20.08.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
1
L
16.08.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
1
3
L
26.07.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
23.07.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
0
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Club Tijuana
1
2
L
24.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
3
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas
2
3
L
14.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
02.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
3
2
W
23.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
5
1
W
19.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
4
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
3
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
H2H: FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes
01.08.26
H2H
FC Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
4
2
W
16.06.24
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Cincinnati
2
4
W
10.09.22
H2H
FC Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
6
0
W
05.05.19
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Cincinnati
1
0
L
Last matches: FC Cincinnati
19.08.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
2
1
W
22.07.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
3
W
10.07.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Burnley
3
1
W
23.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
6
2
W
13.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
3
5
L
25.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3
3
D
22.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
4
3
W
13.03.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
3
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
0
1
L
26.02.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
9
0
W
21.02.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Detroit City
1
0
W
H2H at home: FC Cincinnati
01.08.26
H2H
FC Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
4
2
W
10.09.22
H2H
FC Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
6
0
W
Last matches: San Jose Earthquakes
20.08.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
1
L
24.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
3
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
2
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
3
2
W
19.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
4
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
0
2
L
H2H away: San Jose Earthquakes
01.08.26
H2H
FC Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
4
2
L
10.09.22
H2H
FC Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
6
0
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Nashville SC
20 14 4 2 40:15 25 46
W W D L W
2
Inter Miami
20 11 6 3 48:38 10 39
D L D W W
3
Chicago Fire
19 11 2 6 36:25 11 35
W W W L L
4
New England Revolution
20 10 3 7 32:25 7 33
W L L D W
5
FC Cincinnati Home
20 8 6 6 48:46 2 30
W D W L W
6
Charlotte
20 8 5 7 35:31 4 29
D W L W D
7
New York City FC
20 7 5 8 34:29 5 26
L L D W W
8
New York Red Bulls
20 7 4 9 30:42 -12 25
L L W L L
9
DC United
20 5 9 6 27:33 -6 24
L D D W D
10
Orlando City SC
20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L D L W W
11
Toronto FC
20 4 9 7 29:36 -7 21
D W D L D
12
Columbus Crew
20 5 5 10 28:33 -5 20
L L D W L
13
Philadelphia Union
20 5 5 10 30:37 -7 20
D W W W W
14
CF Montreal
20 5 5 10 27:37 -10 20
W D D L L
15
Atlanta United FC
20 5 3 12 23:35 -12 18
W W L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)