🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER

01.08.2026 23:30

FC Cincinnati

4 - 2

San Jose Earthquakes

TQL Stadium

Referee: V. Rivas

FC Cincinnati

Match Timeline

San Jose Earthquakes

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 88.6%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 88%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 88%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	88.6%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	88%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	88%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	91.8%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

FC Cincinnati Win 48.9%

Draw 11.4%

San Jose Earthquakes Win 39.8%

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Cincinnati2

San Jose Earthquakes1.96

Recent Form (Last 5)

FC Cincinnati

WWDLW

66 GF / 53 GA

San Jose Earthquakes

WLDWL

42 GF / 26 GA

Key Stats

2.54

Average Goals Scored

1.91

2.04

Average Goals Conceded

1.18

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.95

Shots on Goal

5.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Cincinnati 26 matches

San Jose Earthquakes 22 matches

FC Cincinnati	Statistic	San Jose Earthquakes
11	Wins	13
7	Draws	3
8	Losses	6
66	Goals For	42
53	Goals Against	26
2.54	Avg Goals Scored	1.91
2.04	Avg Goals Conceded	1.18
18	BTTS Yes	12
23	Over 1.5	18
18	Over 2.5	12
16	Over 3.5	9
6	Clean Sheets	7
2	Failed To Score	3
5.95	Shots On Goal	5.65
13.71	Total Shots	14.12
4.48	Corners	7
49.3%	Ball Possession	47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, FC Cincinnati won 3 times, San Jose Earthquakes won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:5 from FC Cincinnati's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)

Predicted formations: FC Cincinnati 3-5-2 / San Jose Earthquakes 3-4-2-1

H2H summary: FC Cincinnati wins 3, draws 0, San Jose Earthquakes wins 1

Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Nashville SC	25	16	6	3	50:21	29	54	D L D W W
2	Inter Miami	25	12	9	4	61:46	15	45	D D D W L
3	New England Revolution	25	13	4	8	41:31	10	43	W W L W D
4	Charlotte	25	11	7	7	45:36	9	40	D W D W W
5	Chicago Fire	24	11	6	7	45:35	10	39	L D D D D
6	Orlando City SC	25	10	4	11	44:56	-12	34	W W W D W
7	Philadelphia Union	25	9	6	10	46:39	7	33	W W W W D
8	New York City FC	25	8	8	9	39:33	6	32	W L D D D
9	FC Cincinnati Home	24	8	8	8	52:59	-7	32	D L L D W
10	New York Red Bulls	25	8	6	11	33:48	-15	30	W L D L D
11	DC United	24	6	11	7	30:37	-7	29	D W D L L
12	Toronto FC	25	6	11	8	38:46	-8	29	L W D D W
13	Columbus Crew	25	6	5	14	35:42	-7	23	L L W L L
14	Atlanta United FC	25	6	5	14	29:43	-14	23	D L D L W
15	CF Montreal	25	5	6	14	31:51	-20	21	L L L L D

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