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18.10.2026 21:00
TQL Stadium
Referee: D. Fischer
FC Cincinnati
Match Timeline
Columbus Crew
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
18'
J. Malatini ↔ N. Hagglund
FC Cincinnati
⚽
22'
G. Tapia · Assist: B. Mendez
Columbus Crew
🟨
28'
Samuel Gidi
FC Cincinnati
🟨
31'
Teenage Hadebe
FC Cincinnati
🟨
45+7'
André Gomes
Columbus Crew
🔄
46'
B. Mendez ↔ S. Bangoura
Columbus Crew
⚽
54'
T. Habroune · Assist: G. Tapia
Columbus Crew
🔄
59'
D. Doudera ↔ E. Echenique
FC Cincinnati
🔄
59'
T. Barlow ↔ K. Mboma
FC Cincinnati
🔄
65'
S. Rodriguez ↔ J. Thiare
Columbus Crew
🔄
66'
S. Moreira ↔ E. Bailly
Columbus Crew
🔄
66'
T. Habroune ↔ D. Chambost
Columbus Crew
🔄
79'
↔ G. Valenzuela
FC Cincinnati
🔄
79'
P. Bucha ↔ A. Jabbari
FC Cincinnati
🔄
79'
G. Tapia ↔ L. Giaccone
Columbus Crew
🟨
90+3'
Dylan Chambost
Columbus Crew

FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Cincinnati Win 71.9%
Draw 5.2%
Columbus Crew Win 22.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Cincinnati2
Columbus Crew1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
L W L D D
11 GF / 12 GA
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
W L W W L
9 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.3
Average Goals Scored
1.53
2.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
27
BTTS Yes
23
27
Over 2.5
22
6.13
Shots on Goal
4.66

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 37 matches
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 32 matches
FC Cincinnati Statistic Columbus Crew
14 Wins 10
11 Draws 6
12 Losses 16
85 Goals For 49
79 Goals Against 50
2.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
2.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
27 BTTS Yes 23
34 Over 1.5 28
27 Over 2.5 22
24 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 5
6.13 Shots On Goal 4.66
14.88 Total Shots 13.17
5.16 Corners 5.45
51.3% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Columbus Crew. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Cincinnati expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Columbus Crew in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Columbus Crew having the stronger overall control. FC Cincinnati have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Cincinnati Analysis

FC Cincinnati approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 33 points from 26 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats with a 55:64 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Denkey (14 goals), Evander (10 goals), T. Barlow (6 goals), with creative support from Evander (7 assists), P. Bucha (4 assists), E. Echenique (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Columbus Crew Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Columbus Crew have collected 29 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses, while the 39:43 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Diego Rossi (4 goals), D. Gazdag (4 goals), T. Habroune (3 goals), with creative support from M. Farsi (3 assists), T. Habroune (2 assists), Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Cincinnati won 4 times, Columbus Crew won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:30 from FC Cincinnati's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: FC Cincinnati 3-5-2 / Columbus Crew 3-4-3
Missing players: FC Cincinnati 2, Columbus Crew 2
H2H summary: FC Cincinnati wins 4, draws 4, Columbus Crew wins 7

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 23 8 3 71:25 46 77
W W D W D
2 34 16 12 6 80:59 21 60
D W D L W
3 34 18 4 12 55:47 8 58
L L W W W
4 34 16 7 11 64:54 10 55
L W D W L
5 34 15 9 10 66:51 15 54
D W W L D
6 34 14 8 12 66:52 14 50
W L D L D
7 34 14 5 15 59:52 7 47
W W W W W
8 34 13 7 14 63:78 -15 46
W L D D W
9 34 12 10 12 67:75 -8 46
L W D W W
10 34 12 6 16 48:62 -14 42
W L L W L
11 34 10 12 12 49:45 4 42
W D W D D
12 34 9 12 13 52:67 -15 39
L L W L W
13 34 9 6 19 43:60 -17 33
L W L L L
14 34 7 12 15 39:61 -22 33
L L L L L
15 34 6 8 20 37:69 -32 26
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)