Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
46%
|
1.78 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
2.03 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
88%
|
1.12 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.50 |
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Cajamarca
22 matches
Universitario
31 matches
| FC Cajamarca | Statistic | Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 14 |
| 6 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 32 | Goals For | 42 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.38 | Shots On Goal | 3.93 |
| 9.38 | Total Shots | 13.41 |
| 2.62 | Corners | 5.78 |
| 43% | Ball Possession | 51.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Universitario's more proactive style and FC Cajamarca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Cajamarca expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Universitario in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universitario having the stronger overall control. Universitario carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 29 points while FC Cajamarca sit 15 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Universitario.
With 17 points from 17 games and a place of 15, FC Cajamarca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 23:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Brandon Palacios (4 goals), Hernán Barcos (3 goals), Mauricio Arrasco (2 goals), with creative support from Sebastián Enciso (3 assists), Hernán Barcos (2 assists), Ricardo Lagos (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 4 place with 29 points from 17 games, Universitario bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 24:15, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Alex Valera (5 goals), Edison Flores (3 goals), Caín Fara (2 goals), with creative support from Alex Valera (2 assists), Edison Flores (2 assists), Jairo Concha (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, FC Cajamarca won 0 times, Universitario won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from FC Cajamarca's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
ADT
FC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
Cienciano
Universitario
Cusco
Universitario
ADT
Universitario
Millonarios
Universitario
Sport Huancayo
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
Club Nacional
Universitario
Atletico Grau
Universitario
Sport Boys
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
Club Nacional
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
FC Cajamarca
ADT
FC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
ADT
Universitario
Cienciano
Universitario
ADT
Universitario
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
Club Nacional
Universitario
Sport Boys
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
Cusco
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 38:13 | 25 | 48 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 31:27 | 4 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 36 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 |
Universitario
Away
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 36 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 35 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 35 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27:27 | 0 | 28 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 27 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 26 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 26 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 16:22 | -6 | 23 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25:28 | -3 | 22 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
FC Cajamarca
Home
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 21 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
| 16 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | -9 | 21 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:46 | -20 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:34 | -10 | 15 |
D
L
D
L
D
|