01.08.2026 18:00
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Referee: Jordi Espinoza, Peru
FC Cajamarca
Match Timeline
Sport Huancayo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
R. Huaccha
Sport Huancayo
🟨
21'
Arthur Gutiérrez
FC Cajamarca
🔄
25'
A. Gutierrez ↔ C. Meza
FC Cajamarca
🟨
38'
Alejandro Pósito
FC Cajamarca
45'
R. Huaccha · Assist: N. Lujan
Sport Huancayo
🔄
46'
J. Betancourt ↔ C. A. Correa Flores
FC Cajamarca
🟨
58'
Michel Rasmussen
FC Cajamarca
🔄
59'
R. Huaccha ↔ F. Caballero
Sport Huancayo
🔄
64'
M. Rasmussen ↔ S. Pineau
FC Cajamarca
🔄
68'
P. Magallanes ↔ R. Campodonico
Sport Huancayo
🔄
68'
D. Carabano ↔ E. Villar
Sport Huancayo
🟨
76'
Hugo Ángeles
Sport Huancayo
🔄
85'
N. Lujan ↔ D. Porozo
Sport Huancayo
🔄
85'
J. Sanguinetti ↔ A. Quinonez
Sport Huancayo
🟨
88'
Edu Villar
Sport Huancayo
🟨
90+2'
Aldo Quiñonez
Sport Huancayo

FC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.1%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Cajamarca Win 78.1%
Draw 15.1%
Sport Huancayo Win 6.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Cajamarca1.54
Sport Huancayo1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca
WWDLW
28 GF / 33 GA
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
WLDWL
24 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.74
14
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
14
3.26
Shots on Goal
4.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 20 matches
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 19 matches
FC Cajamarca Statistic Sport Huancayo
5 Wins 5
6 Draws 4
9 Losses 10
28 Goals For 24
33 Goals Against 33
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.74
14 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 3
3.26 Shots On Goal 4.21
9.21 Total Shots 12.68
2.63 Corners 4.11
42.6% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sport Huancayo. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sport Huancayo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

FC Cajamarca Analysis

FC Cajamarca sit 15 with 18 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 25:30 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking burden often falls on Brandon Palacios (4 goals), Hernán Barcos (2 goals), Mauricio Arrasco (2 goals), with creative support from Sebastián Enciso (3 assists), Hernán Barcos (2 assists), Ricardo Lagos (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sport Huancayo Analysis

Sport Huancayo sit 17 with 16 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 22:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Piero Magallanes (3 goals), Nahuel Luján (3 goals), Yorleys Mena (2 goals), with creative support from Piero Magallanes (2 assists), Diego Carabaño (2 assists), Nahuel Luján (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, FC Cajamarca won 0 times, Sport Huancayo won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from FC Cajamarca's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1 / Sport Huancayo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Cajamarca wins 0, draws 0, Sport Huancayo wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 26 10 7 9 38:34 4 37
L W W W D
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 25:28 -3 32
W L W W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2