04.09.2026 18:00
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Referee: A. Menendez
FC Cajamarca
Match Timeline
Cienciano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
B. Palacios · Assist: M. Arrasco
FC Cajamarca
19'
M. Arrasco · Assist: B. Palacios
FC Cajamarca
21'
C. Cabello · Assist: G. Barreto
Cienciano
31'
Sebastián Enciso
FC Cajamarca
36'
R. Sandoval · Assist: C. Cabello
Cienciano
40'
N. Bandiera · Assist: R. Sandoval
Cienciano
🔄
46'
S. Enciso ↔ A. Gutierrez
FC Cajamarca
🔄
46'
R. Suarez ↔ C. Gomez
FC Cajamarca
🔄
46'
M. Rasmussen ↔ J. Lugo
FC Cajamarca
🔄
46'
H. Caparo ↔ C. Nunez
Cienciano
🔄
46'
R. Sandoval ↔ C. Souza Espana
Cienciano
🔄
59'
M. Succar ↔ C. Garces
Cienciano
🟨
62'
Jefferson Orejuela
FC Cajamarca
🟨
64'
Gerson Barreto
Cienciano
🔄
66'
C. Cabello ↔ R. Salazar
Cienciano
74'
C. Souza Espana · Assist: M. Martinich
Cienciano
🔄
75'
B. Palacios ↔ C. Meza
FC Cajamarca
🔄
83'
N. Bandiera ↔ S. Cavero
Cienciano
84'
C. Garces · Assist: A. Robles
Cienciano

FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.3%
Odds 2.23
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.3%
2.23
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.65
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.30
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
FC Cajamarca Win 17.3%
Draw 26.4%
Cienciano Win 56.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Cajamarca1.49
Cienciano1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca
WWDLW
38 GF / 45 GA
Cienciano Cienciano
WLDWL
40 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
18
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
15
3.58
Shots on Goal
5.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 25 matches
Cienciano Cienciano 25 matches
FC Cajamarca Statistic Cienciano
7 Wins 11
6 Draws 5
12 Losses 9
38 Goals For 40
45 Goals Against 36
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
18 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 9
0 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 6
3.58 Shots On Goal 5.63
10.25 Total Shots 15.54
2.83 Corners 5.33
43.6% Ball Possession 52.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cienciano's more proactive style and FC Cajamarca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Cienciano carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 37 points while FC Cajamarca sit 17 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cienciano. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Cajamarca expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cienciano in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cienciano having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Cajamarca Analysis

FC Cajamarca approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 21 points from 23 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats with a 33:42 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Brandon Palacios (5 goals), Hernán Barcos (4 goals), Mauricio Arrasco (3 goals), with creative support from Sebastián Enciso (3 assists), Hernán Barcos (2 assists), Mauricio Arrasco (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cienciano Analysis

With 37 points from 23 games and a place of 6, Cienciano still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 38:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Alejandro Hohberg (5 goals), Carlos Garcés (4 goals), Matías Succar (3 goals), with creative support from Alejandro Hohberg (2 assists), Carlos Garcés (2 assists), Cristian Souza (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, FC Cajamarca won 0 times, Cienciano won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:3 from FC Cajamarca's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: FC Cajamarca 4-4-2 / Cienciano 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Cajamarca wins 0, draws 0, Cienciano wins 1

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 8 3 44:18 26 56
W L D L D
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 27 14 3 10 40:38 2 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 27 11 7 9 40:35 5 40
W L W W W
9 27 11 5 11 48:40 8 38
W W W L L
10 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
11 27 9 5 13 26:31 -5 32
L W L W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 27 7 9 11 35:38 -3 30
L L D L W
15 27 7 6 14 41:52 -11 27
L W L W L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 26 5 7 14 27:41 -14 22
L L L L D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2