Login Register
24.10.2026 13:30
WWK Arena
Referee: Robin Braun
FC Augsburg
Match Timeline
Union Berlin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
12'
Calvin Marc Brackelmann ↔ Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
FC Augsburg
🟥
19'
Felix Uduokhai
Union Berlin
🔄
25'
Livan Burcu ↔ Leopold Querfeld
Union Berlin
🟨
31'
Janik Haberer
Union Berlin
🟨
36'
Leopold Querfeld
Union Berlin
🔄
45'
Tim Skarke ↔ Mekhi Gray
Union Berlin
🟥
63'
Juma Bah
FC Augsburg
⚽
71'
Han-Noah Massengo · Assist: Fabian Rieder
FC Augsburg
🔄
72'
Marius Wolf ↔ Robin Fellhauer
FC Augsburg
🔄
72'
Arijon Ibrahimovic ↔ Mert Kömür
FC Augsburg
⚽
74'
Janik Haberer
Union Berlin
🔄
76'
Woo-Yeong Jeong ↔ Oliver Burke
Union Berlin
🟨
77'
Mekhi Gray
Union Berlin
🔄
89'
Han-Noah Massengo ↔ Uchenna Ogundu
FC Augsburg
🔄
89'
Anton Kade ↔ Rodrigo Ribeiro
FC Augsburg
🔄
90+5'
Michel Aebischer ↔ Aljoscha Kemlein
Union Berlin

FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Augsburg Win 83.1%
Draw 5.7%
Union Berlin Win 11.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Augsburg2.8
Union Berlin1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
L D D L D
11 GF / 13 GA
Union Berlin Union Berlin
D W W L L
3 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
3.25
Average Goals Scored
1.82
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
2.12
9
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
11
7
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 12 matches
Union Berlin Union Berlin 17 matches
FC Augsburg Statistic Union Berlin
4 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 7
39 Goals For 31
26 Goals Against 36
3.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2.12
9 BTTS Yes 11
12 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 11
10 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 4
7 Shots On Goal 4.33
16.17 Total Shots 12.83
6 Corners 4
41.5% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FC Augsburg's more proactive style and Union Berlin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Union Berlin. Union Berlin arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Augsburg expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Union Berlin in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union Berlin having the stronger overall control. FC Augsburg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 8 points compared to Union Berlin in 16 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

FC Augsburg Analysis

From their first 5 matches, FC Augsburg have collected 8 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 13:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Fellhauer (3 goals), M. Gregoritsch (3 goals), Rodrigo Ribeiro (2 goals), with creative support from F. Rieder (3 assists), A. Kade (1 assists), A. Claude-Maurice (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Union Berlin Analysis

With 4 points from 5 games and a place of 16, Union Berlin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Skarke (2 goals), L. Querfeld (1 goals), E. Latte Lath (1 goals), with creative support from J. Juranović (2 assists), L. Querfeld (1 assists), T. Rothe (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Augsburg won 6 times, Union Berlin won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from FC Augsburg's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1 / Union Berlin 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Augsburg 3, Union Berlin 5
H2H summary: FC Augsburg wins 6, draws 4, Union Berlin wins 5

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 3 0 27:8 19 18
D W W D W
2 8 5 3 0 14:6 8 18
D W D D W
3 8 5 1 2 18:10 8 16
W L L W D
4 8 5 0 3 22:11 11 15
W W L W L
5 8 4 3 1 17:14 3 15
W W D D W
6 8 4 1 3 18:16 2 13
L L W W W
7 8 4 1 3 16:16 0 13
W L W L D
8 8 3 1 4 17:17 0 10
L L W L W
9 8 2 3 3 18:15 3 9
L D L D L
10 8 3 0 5 14:15 -1 9
W L L W L
11 8 3 0 5 14:16 -2 9
L W W L L
12 8 2 3 3 6:9 -3 9
D W D L W
13 7 3 0 4 6:16 -10 9
L W W W L
14 7 2 2 3 8:11 -3 8
D L W L D
15 7 2 2 3 10:17 -7 8
L W L D W
16 8 1 3 4 4:9 -5 6
L D L L D
17 7 1 3 3 6:18 -12 6
D D W L L
18 8 1 1 6 11:22 -11 4
D W L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation