SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
12.09.2026 14:00
FBK Karlstad
Match Timeline
Vasalund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45'
L. Steen · Assist: A. Hagelberg
FBK Karlstad
🔄
46'
W. Olsson ↔ A. Sandstad
FBK Karlstad
🟨
59'
M. Dejene
Vasalund
🟨
68'
L. Lundvall
Vasalund
🔄
71'
C. Sliwo ↔ P. Amos
Vasalund
🔄
71'
M. Nikolic ↔ E. Mac Callum
Vasalund
🔄
71'
E. Torppa ↔ F. Lukic
Vasalund
🔄
71'
M. Dejene ↔ K. Tadayon
Vasalund
73'
A. Sandstad · Assist: L. Steen
FBK Karlstad
🔄
81'
L. Fredriksson ↔ A. Parleholt
FBK Karlstad
🔄
81'
L. Steen ↔ F. Johansson Bahar
FBK Karlstad
🔄
87'
M. Oluwayemi ↔ W. Dukhan
FBK Karlstad
🔄
87'
J. Lundstrom ↔ B. Bilgec
Vasalund
90'
A. Khan · Assist: B. Bilgec
Vasalund

FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.8%
Odds 2.16
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.55
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.8%
2.16
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.55
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
FBK Karlstad Win 69.8%
Draw 8.4%
Vasalund Win 21.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FBK Karlstad1.79
Vasalund1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad
WWDLW
49 GF / 43 GA
Vasalund Vasalund
WLDWL
48 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.66
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
15
BTTS Yes
23
17
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 28 matches
Vasalund Vasalund 29 matches
FBK Karlstad Statistic Vasalund
14 Wins 10
4 Draws 8
10 Losses 11
49 Goals For 48
43 Goals Against 54
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.66
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
15 BTTS Yes 23
25 Over 1.5 28
17 Over 2.5 21
10 Over 3.5 15
9 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vasalund. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vasalund having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

FBK Karlstad Analysis

From their first 19 matches, FBK Karlstad have collected 31 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 31:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vasalund Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Vasalund have collected 23 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, while the 30:38 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, FBK Karlstad won 1 times, Vasalund won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from FBK Karlstad's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
H2H summary: FBK Karlstad wins 1, draws 1, Vasalund wins 1

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 16 3 4 55:19 36 51
W W W W W
2 23 13 4 6 41:30 11 43
L W W W W
3 22 12 6 4 46:18 28 42
D W L D D
4 23 11 6 6 35:23 12 39
D D L L D
5 22 11 6 5 36:25 11 39
W L L W W
6 23 11 6 6 36:32 4 39
D D W W W
7 23 12 3 8 37:38 -1 39
D W W W L
8 23 9 3 11 29:41 -12 30
W L W L D
9 22 8 5 9 37:39 -2 29
L L W W L
10 23 8 5 10 31:37 -6 29
W W L W W
11 23 8 4 11 29:38 -9 28
L L W L D
12 22 6 6 10 33:43 -10 24
D L L L W
13 23 5 9 9 21:31 -10 24
D L L W L
14 23 4 6 13 27:44 -17 18
W L L W L
15 23 5 3 15 30:50 -20 18
L W L L L
16 23 3 5 15 43:58 -15 14
L L W L L