SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
30.08.2026 11:00
FBK Karlstad
Match Timeline
Piteå
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
I. Wikstrom
Piteå
11'
L. Steen
FBK Karlstad
🔄
36'
L. Jordan ↔ H. Naslund
Piteå
41'
E. Navassardian
FBK Karlstad
51'
H. Naslund
Piteå
52'
L. Steen
FBK Karlstad
60'
Q. Hoeve
Piteå
🟨
65'
E. Forsberg
FBK Karlstad
🔄
67'
W. Olsson ↔ F. Johansson Bahar
FBK Karlstad
🔄
71'
A. Muyenga ↔ K. Sulaiman
Piteå
🔄
72'
J. Johnson ↔ J. Lundback
Piteå
🔄
81'
E. Navassardian ↔ B. Buisson
FBK Karlstad
🔄
81'
M. Oluwayemi ↔ W. Dukhan
FBK Karlstad
84'
FBK Karlstad
FBK Karlstad

FBK Karlstad vs Piteå Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.13
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.60
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.57
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.6%
1.13
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.60
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
1.57
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.38
Correct Score 2-1
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
FBK Karlstad Win 49.1%
Draw 19.5%
Piteå Win 31.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FBK Karlstad1.71
Piteå1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad
WWDLW
42 GF / 40 GA
Piteå Piteå
WLDWL
30 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.84
14
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 26 matches
Piteå Piteå 25 matches
FBK Karlstad Statistic Piteå
12 Wins 6
4 Draws 7
10 Losses 12
42 Goals For 30
40 Goals Against 46
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.84
14 BTTS Yes 16
23 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FBK Karlstad's more proactive style and Piteå's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. FBK Karlstad arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 28 points compared to Piteå in 16 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Piteå having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Piteå.

FBK Karlstad Analysis

So far, FBK Karlstad have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 28 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 26:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Piteå Analysis

With 11 points from 17 games and a place of 16, Piteå still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 17:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, FBK Karlstad won 2 times, Piteå won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from FBK Karlstad's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 5.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.5%)
H2H summary: FBK Karlstad wins 2, draws 0, Piteå wins 1

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 16 3 4 55:19 36 51
W W W W W
2 23 13 4 6 41:30 11 43
L W W W W
3 22 12 6 4 46:18 28 42
D W L D D
4 23 11 6 6 35:23 12 39
D D L L D
5 22 11 6 5 36:25 11 39
W L L W W
6 23 11 6 6 36:32 4 39
D D W W W
7 23 12 3 8 37:38 -1 39
D W W W L
8 23 9 3 11 29:41 -12 30
W L W L D
9 22 8 5 9 37:39 -2 29
L L W W L
10 23 8 5 10 31:37 -6 29
W W L W W
11 23 8 4 11 29:38 -9 28
L L W L D
12 22 6 6 10 33:43 -10 24
D L L L W
13 23 5 9 9 21:31 -10 24
D L L W L
14 23 4 6 13 27:44 -17 18
W L L W L
15 23 5 3 15 30:50 -20 18
L W L L L
16 23 3 5 15 43:58 -15 14
L L W L L