SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.6%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
FBK Karlstad Win 30.9%
Draw 3.6%
Hammarby Talang Win 65.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
FBK Karlstad1.53
Hammarby Talang1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad
WWDLW
38 GF / 25 GA
Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang
WLDWL
39 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
2.17
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
12
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 21 matches
Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 18 matches
FBK Karlstad Statistic Hammarby Talang
11 Wins 10
3 Draws 4
7 Losses 4
38 Goals For 39
25 Goals Against 20
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
12 BTTS Yes 9
18 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hammarby Talang. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hammarby Talang having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

FBK Karlstad Analysis

FBK Karlstad come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 24 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 23:13 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Hana (12 goals), L. Fredriksson (2 goals), S. Wagnsson (2 goals), with creative support from A. Bertilsson (4 assists), S. Wagnsson (1 assists), A. Parleholt (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Hammarby Talang Analysis

Hammarby Talang approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 29 points after 13 outings. With 9 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 31:11, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Marrah (6 goals), A. Johansson (5 goals), E. Sadarangani (3 goals), with creative support from N. Ek (3 assists), W. Loqvist (3 assists), K. Marrah (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, FBK Karlstad won 0 times, Hammarby Talang won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from FBK Karlstad's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
H2H summary: FBK Karlstad wins 0, draws 1, Hammarby Talang wins 1
Last matches: FBK Karlstad
18.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Sollentuna
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Stockholm Internazionale
1
3
L
05.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
IF Karlstad
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Karlberg
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Arlanda
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Umeå FC
1
1
D
14.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Piteå
5
1
W
09.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Järfälla
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Stocksund
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Enköping
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Vasalund
3
1
W
03.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
1
W
29.03.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Trollhättan
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Trollhättan
3
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Bjørkelangen
5
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
IFK Skövde
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Enköping
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Oddevold
0
1
L
Last matches: Hammarby Talang
18.06.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Järfälla
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
2
0
W
06.06.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Gefle IF
4
0
W
30.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
AFC Eskilstuna
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Enköping
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Stockholm Internazionale
3
1
W
13.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Sollentuna
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Assyriska FF
4
0
W
02.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
IF Karlstad
2
0
W
27.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Vasalund
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Piteå
4
1
W
11.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Stocksund
4
2
W
06.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Umeå FC
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
GIF Sundsvall
0
3
L
22.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
0
3
L
14.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Orebro SK
2
2
D
01.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Vasalund
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Viggbyholms IK
5
0
W
H2H: FBK Karlstad vs Hammarby Talang
20.10.24
H2H
Hammarby Talang
FBK Karlstad
3
3
D
17.05.24
H2H
FBK Karlstad
Hammarby Talang
0
1
L
Last matches: FBK Karlstad
05.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
IF Karlstad
2
3
L
23.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Arlanda
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Umeå FC
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Järfälla
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Stocksund
1
0
W
03.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Bjørkelangen
5
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
IFK Skövde
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Enköping
2
1
W
H2H at home: FBK Karlstad
17.05.24
H2H
FBK Karlstad
Hammarby Talang
0
1
L
Last matches: Hammarby Talang
14.06.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
2
0
W
06.06.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Gefle IF
4
0
W
23.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Enköping
1
0
W
13.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Sollentuna
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
IF Karlstad
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Piteå
4
1
W
11.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Stocksund
4
2
W
28.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
GIF Sundsvall
0
3
L
14.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Orebro SK
2
2
D
01.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Vasalund
1
1
D
H2H away: Hammarby Talang
17.05.24
H2H
FBK Karlstad
Hammarby Talang
0
1
W

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 3 1 22:8 14 30
D W W D W
2 13 9 2 2 31:11 20 29
D W W L W
3 13 7 5 1 22:10 12 26
W W W L D
4 13 8 1 4 24:21 3 25
W D W L L
5 13 7 3 3 26:14 12 24
W W W D W
6 13 7 3 3 23:13 10 24
W L L D D
7 13 4 4 5 19:21 -2 16
L W D D L
8 13 4 4 5 19:23 -4 16
D W W W L
9 13 4 3 6 20:22 -2 15
W L L D L
10 13 4 3 6 19:27 -8 15
L D L W W
11 13 2 7 4 11:15 -4 13
L D D D D
12 13 3 3 7 18:26 -8 12
D L L L W
13 13 2 5 6 19:28 -9 11
D L L W D
14 13 3 2 8 15:28 -13 11
L L L W L
15 13 2 3 8 15:29 -14 9
D L L D D
16 13 1 5 7 27:34 -7 8
L D W D D