16.05.2026 18:00
Estadio de la UNSA
Referee: Julio Cesar Quiroz, Peru
FBC Melgar
Match Timeline
Sport Huancayo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Piero Magallanes
Sport Huancayo
21'
N. Quagliata · Assist: B. Cuesta
FBC Melgar
🟨
23'
Javier Sanguinetti
Sport Huancayo
🔄
42'
F. Caballero ↔ Y. Mena
Sport Huancayo
61'
B. Cuesta · Assist: N. Quagliata
FBC Melgar
🔄
62'
J. Caceres ↔ L. Guzman
FBC Melgar
🔄
65'
J. Sanguinetti ↔ N. Lujan
Sport Huancayo
🔄
65'
E. Villar ↔ R. Huaccha
Sport Huancayo
71'
B. Cuesta · Assist: M. Zegarra
FBC Melgar
🔄
72'
P. Magallanes ↔ J. J. Canela Torres
Sport Huancayo
🔄
72'
R. Campodonico ↔ J. Martinez
Sport Huancayo
73'
L. Guzman · Assist: N. Quagliata
FBC Melgar
🟨
75'
Alec Deneumostier
FBC Melgar
77'
N. Lujan
Sport Huancayo
🟨
79'
Jeremy Canela
Sport Huancayo
🔄
79'
N. Quagliata ↔ F. Zanelatto
FBC Melgar
🔄
79'
W. Tandazo ↔ G. Bernaola
FBC Melgar
🟨
83'
Gian García
FBC Melgar
🔄
84'
J. Vidales ↔ J. D'Arrigo
FBC Melgar
🟨
85'
Juan Escobar
FBC Melgar
🟨
86'
Bernardo Cuesta
FBC Melgar

FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 89.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
89.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FBC Melgar Win 89.9%
Draw 7.2%
Sport Huancayo Win 2.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FBC Melgar1.61
Sport Huancayo1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar
WWDLW
27 GF / 21 GA
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
WLDWL
17 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
11
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
10
3.86
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 17 matches
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 14 matches
FBC Melgar Statistic Sport Huancayo
8 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
6 Losses 7
27 Goals For 17
21 Goals Against 23
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
11 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
3.86 Shots On Goal 3.71
12.86 Total Shots 11.29
4.93 Corners 3.86
52% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FBC Melgar's more proactive style and Sport Huancayo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sport Huancayo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FBC Melgar arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 21 points compared to Sport Huancayo in 14 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FBC Melgar expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sport Huancayo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Huancayo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

FBC Melgar Analysis

FBC Melgar come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 21 points after 14 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a 21:17 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. Vidales (5 goals), B. Cuesta (4 goals), M. Zegarra (3 goals), with creative support from N. Quagliata (5 assists), M. Zegarra (3 assists), B. Cuesta (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Sport Huancayo Analysis

With 15 points from 14 games and a place of 14, Sport Huancayo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 17:23 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Yorleys Mena (5 goals), Franco Caballero (4 goals), Jimmy Valoyes (2 goals), with creative support from J. J. Canela Torres (3 assists), N. Lujan (2 assists), Hugo Ángeles (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FBC Melgar won 8 times, Sport Huancayo won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:16 from FBC Melgar's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (97.1%)
Predicted formations: FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1 / Sport Huancayo 4-4-2
H2H summary: FBC Melgar wins 8, draws 4, Sport Huancayo wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 26 10 7 9 38:34 4 37
L W W W D
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 25:28 -3 32
W L W W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2