20.09.2026 01:15
Estadio Monumental de la UNSA
Referee: Kevin Ortega
FBC Melgar
Match Timeline
Sport Boys
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
24'
M. Portillo ↔ H. Orzan
FBC Melgar
⚽
41'
J. Vidales · Assist: M. Lazo
FBC Melgar
🟨
45'
Christian Cueva
Sport Boys
⚽
45'
N. Da Campo · Assist: P. Erustes
Sport Boys
🟨
46'
Carlos Zambrano
Sport Boys
🔄
60'
M. Zegarra ↔ N. Quagliata
FBC Melgar
🔄
74'
K. Minda ↔ L. Guzman
FBC Melgar
🔄
75'
J. Vidales ↔ J. Caceres
FBC Melgar
🔄
76'
J. Alarcon ↔ Y. Celi
Sport Boys
🔄
76'
C. Cueva ↔ R. Diaz
Sport Boys
🟨
89'
Federico Illanes
Sport Boys
🔄
89'
C. Zambrano ↔ G. Dulanto
Sport Boys
🟨
90+8'
Rolando Diaz
Sport Boys
🔄
90+2'
N. Da Campo ↔ R. Alfani
Sport Boys
🔄
90+1'
L. Urruti ↔ F. Illanes
Sport Boys

FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.41
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.7%
1.41 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.75 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.25 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
FBC Melgar Win 69.7%
Draw 4.8%
Sport Boys Win 25.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FBC Melgar1.39
Sport Boys1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar
WWDLW
51 GF / 33 GA
Sport Boys Sport Boys
WLDWL
31 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1
19
BTTS Yes
11
17
Over 2.5
9
4.96
Shots on Goal
4.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 31 matches
Sport Boys Sport Boys 28 matches
FBC Melgar Statistic Sport Boys
15 Wins 11
8 Draws 7
8 Losses 10
51 Goals For 31
33 Goals Against 28
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1
19 BTTS Yes 11
25 Over 1.5 14
17 Over 2.5 9
10 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 13
5 Failed To Score 7
4.96 Shots On Goal 4.15
15.27 Total Shots 13.19
5 Corners 4.96
54.5% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sport Boys. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

FBC Melgar Analysis

FBC Melgar approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 45 points after 26 outings. With 13 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 44:28, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Cuesta (8 goals), J. Vidales (8 goals), N. Quagliata (4 goals), with creative support from N. Quagliata (9 assists), B. Cuesta (3 assists), Matias Zegarra (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Sport Boys Analysis

Sport Boys are currently 9 in the standings with 34 points from 25 matches. The record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 27:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Luciano Nequecaur (3 goals), Y. Celi (3 goals), H. Riojas (2 goals), with creative support from M. Llontop (3 assists), J. Alarcón (3 assists), L. Urruti (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FBC Melgar won 10 times, Sport Boys won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:11 from FBC Melgar's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1 / Sport Boys 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FBC Melgar wins 10, draws 1, Sport Boys wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 18:6 12 22
W L W W W
2 10 6 2 2 19:16 3 20
L W D W W
3 10 6 1 3 20:10 10 19
W W W L L
4 10 6 1 3 20:17 3 19
W L W W W
5 10 6 1 3 16:13 3 19
W W W W L
6 10 5 3 2 20:12 8 18
W W D W W
7 10 5 3 2 16:9 7 18
D W W L D
8 10 5 3 2 14:7 7 18
D W L W W
9 10 6 0 4 19:14 5 18
W L W W L
10 10 4 4 2 14:10 4 16
W L D L D
11 10 5 1 4 14:13 1 16
L W L W W
12 10 3 1 6 18:24 -6 10
L W L W L
13 10 2 3 5 17:18 -1 9
L L D L W
14 9 2 1 6 11:17 -6 7
L W L L D
15 10 1 4 5 7:17 -10 7
L L L L W
16 9 2 1 6 10:23 -13 7
L L L L L
17 10 1 2 7 7:21 -14 5
W L L L L
18 10 0 2 8 11:24 -13 2
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)