FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.7%
|
1.41 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.75 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.25 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FBC Melgar
31 matches
Sport Boys
28 matches
| FBC Melgar | Statistic | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 11 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 51 | Goals For | 31 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.96 | Shots On Goal | 4.15 |
| 15.27 | Total Shots | 13.19 |
| 5 | Corners | 4.96 |
| 54.5% | Ball Possession | 50.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sport Boys. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
FBC Melgar approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 45 points after 26 outings. With 13 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 44:28, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Cuesta (8 goals), J. Vidales (8 goals), N. Quagliata (4 goals), with creative support from N. Quagliata (9 assists), B. Cuesta (3 assists), Matias Zegarra (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Sport Boys are currently 9 in the standings with 34 points from 25 matches. The record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 27:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Luciano Nequecaur (3 goals), Y. Celi (3 goals), H. Riojas (2 goals), with creative support from M. Llontop (3 assists), J. Alarcón (3 assists), L. Urruti (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FBC Melgar won 10 times, Sport Boys won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:11 from FBC Melgar's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 12 | 22 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 3 | 20 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 10 | 19 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 3 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 18 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
FBC Melgar
Home
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 18 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 8 |
Sport Boys
Away
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 18 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 16 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 10 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 9 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 7 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | -14 | 5 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 2 |
L
L
L
L
L
|