TURKEY SüPER LIG
--.--.---- --:--
Ataturk Olimpiyat
Referee: O. Aksu
Fatih Karagümrük
Match Timeline
Alanyaspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
32'
M. Elia · Assist: F. Hadergjonaj
Alanyaspor
48'
S. Larsson · Assist: B. Kalayci
Fatih Karagümrük
🔄
64'
T. Ahmed ↔ S. Babicka
Fatih Karagümrük
VAR
70'
Shavy Babicka
Fatih Karagümrük
🔄
72'
Hwang Ui-Jo ↔ I. Hagi
Alanyaspor
🔄
72'
E. Keskin ↔ I. Kaya
Alanyaspor
🔄
72'
G. Makouta ↔ I. Celik
Alanyaspor
72'
S. Larsson
Fatih Karagümrük
🔄
81'
Maestro ↔ E. Karaca
Alanyaspor
🔄
82'
Bruno Viana ↔ G. Yalcin
Alanyaspor
🟨
90+4'
Çağtay Kurukalıp
Fatih Karagümrük
🔄
90'
S. Larsson ↔ F. Kurucuk
Fatih Karagümrük
🔄
90+1'
B. Kalayci ↔ T. Kalpakli
Fatih Karagümrük

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fatih Karagümrük Win 59.9%
Draw 0%
Alanyaspor Win 40.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fatih Karagümrük1
Alanyaspor1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük
WWDLW
29 GF / 53 GA
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
WLDWL
40 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
15
BTTS Yes
20
15
Over 2.5
15
3.21
Shots on Goal
4.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 33 matches
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 33 matches
Fatih Karagümrük Statistic Alanyaspor
7 Wins 7
6 Draws 16
20 Losses 10
29 Goals For 40
53 Goals Against 39
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
15 BTTS Yes 20
25 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 15
6 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 10
13 Failed To Score 9
3.21 Shots On Goal 4.09
10.52 Total Shots 12.45
3.67 Corners 4.7
45.1% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Alanyaspor's more proactive style and Fatih Karagümrük's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Alanyaspor. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fatih Karagümrük expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Alanyaspor in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alanyaspor having the stronger overall control.

Fatih Karagümrük Analysis

Fatih Karagümrük approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 27 points from 33 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 20 defeats with a 29:53 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Serginho (8 goals), D. D. Fofana (6 goals), A. Cinar (4 goals), with creative support from D. Verde (4 assists), Tiago Çukur (3 assists), D. Johnson (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Alanyaspor Analysis

From their first 33 matches, Alanyaspor have collected 37 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 16 draws, and 10 losses, while the 40:39 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Güven Yalçın (8 goals), F. Hadergjonaj (6 goals), I. Kaya (6 goals), with creative support from F. Hadergjonaj (8 assists), Hwang Ui-Jo (6 assists), Ianis Hagi (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 11 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Fatih Karagümrük won 2 times, Alanyaspor won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:24 from Fatih Karagümrük's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Fatih Karagümrük 4-2-3-1 / Alanyaspor 3-4-3
Missing players: Fatih Karagümrük 5, Alanyaspor 1
H2H summary: Fatih Karagümrük wins 2, draws 4, Alanyaspor wins 7
Stats
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
0 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 2
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
1 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
424 Total passes 544
357 Passes accurate 481
1.78 expected_goals 0.74
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Fatih Karagümrük
Formation
Alanyaspor
F. Beklevic
F. Beklevic
R. Esgaio
R. Esgaio
D. Biraschi
D. Biraschi
A. Cinar
A. Cinar
C. Kurukalip
C. Kurukalip
M. Kranevitter
M. Kranevitter
B. Elmaz
B. Elmaz
T. Ahmed
T. Ahmed
B. Ozcan
B. Ozcan
B. Kalayci
🎯
B. Kalayci
S. Larsson
⚽ 2
S. Larsson
Paulo Victor
Paulo Victor
N. Lima
N. Lima
F. Aliti
F. Aliti
Bruno Viana
Bruno Viana
F. Hadergjonaj
🎯
F. Hadergjonaj
G. Makouta
G. Makouta
Maestro
Maestro
E. Keskin
E. Keskin
M. Elia
M. Elia
Hwang Ui-Jo
Hwang Ui-Jo
Ruan
Ruan
Fatih Karagümrük 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
99
F. Beklevic
G
47
R. Esgaio
D
4
D. Biraschi
D
94
A. Cinar
D
33
C. Kurukalip
🟨 90+4'
D
5
M. Kranevitter
M
6
B. Elmaz
M
88
T. Ahmed
↓ 64'
M
8
B. Ozcan
M
72
B. Kalayci
🎯 48' ↓ 90+1'
M
23
S. Larsson
⚽ 48' ⚽ 72' ↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
96
K. Yandal
G
98
B. Evli
G
22
F. Kurucuk
↑ 90'
D
80
S. Babicka
↑ 64'
F
24
B. Ersoy
M
20
T. Kalpakli
↑ 90+1'
F
93
K. Ozmen
M
32
M. Kadioglu
D
51
O. Odabas
D
53
K. A. Demir
M
Alanyaspor 3-4-3
Starting XI
48
Paulo Victor
G
3
N. Lima
D
5
F. Aliti
D
30
Bruno Viana
↓ 82'
D
94
F. Hadergjonaj
🎯 32'
M
42
G. Makouta
↓ 72'
M
58
Maestro
↓ 81'
M
8
E. Keskin
↓ 72'
M
12
M. Elia
⚽ 32'
F
16
Hwang Ui-Jo
↓ 72'
F
11
Ruan
F
Substitutes
1
E. Taskiran
G
14
I. Hagi
↑ 72'
M
27
I. Kaya
↑ 72'
F
6
I. Celik
↑ 72'
M
7
E. Karaca
↑ 81'
M
17
N. Janvier
M
10
G. Yalcin
↑ 82'
F
20
F. Aksoy
D
25
B. Bulut
50
U. Akdag
D
Last matches: Fatih Karagümrük
09.05.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
1
0
W
03.05.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1
0
W
27.04.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Beşiktaş
0
0
D
18.04.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Eyüpspor
1
2
L
12.04.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Konyaspor
0
3
L
05.04.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Rizespor
2
1
W
19.03.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Kayserispor
0
1
L
13.03.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Fenerbahçe
2
0
W
08.03.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Gaziantep FK
1
1
D
27.02.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Trabzonspor
1
3
L
22.02.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Samsunspor
0
0
D
16.02.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Kasımpaşa
2
3
L
07.02.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Antalyaspor
1
0
W
31.01.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Göztepe
1
2
L
24.01.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Galatasaray
1
3
L
17.01.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Başakşehir
1
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
Fatih Karagümrük
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
2
L
06.01.26
Fri
Fatih Karagümrük
Universitatea Cluj
2
1
W
21.12.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
0
2
L
14.12.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
1
1
D
Last matches: Alanyaspor
16.07.26
Fri
Alanyaspor
Tikveš
2
2
D
09.05.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Kayserispor
3
1
W
03.05.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Antalyaspor
0
0
D
27.04.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Samsunspor
2
3
L
19.04.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Kasımpaşa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Trabzonspor
1
1
D
04.04.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
1
1
D
18.03.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Kocaelispor
5
0
W
14.03.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Göztepe
2
2
D
09.03.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0
0
D
28.02.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Galatasaray
1
3
L
21.02.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Başakşehir
1
2
L
14.02.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Konyaspor
2
1
W
08.02.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Beşiktaş
2
2
D
31.01.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Eyüpspor
1
3
L
25.01.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Rizespor
1
1
D
18.01.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Fenerbahçe
2
3
L
07.01.26
Fri
Alanyaspor
Metaloglobus
2
0
W
21.12.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
2
0
W
13.12.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Kayserispor
0
0
D
H2H: Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor
16.05.26
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
2
1
W
13.01.26
H2H
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
2
2
D
21.12.25
H2H
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
2
0
L
06.02.25
H2H
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
4
1
L
25.02.24
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
1
1
D
06.10.23
H2H
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
2
1
L
22.01.23
H2H
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
2
2
D
07.08.22
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
2
4
L
22.05.22
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
0
1
L
26.12.21
H2H
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
1
1
D
31.07.21
H2H
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
0
0
D
27.02.21
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
2
0
W
25.10.20
H2H
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
2
0
L
31.08.20
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
0
2
L
Last matches: Fatih Karagümrük
03.05.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1
0
W
18.04.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Eyüpspor
1
2
L
05.04.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Rizespor
2
1
W
13.03.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Fenerbahçe
2
0
W
22.02.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Samsunspor
0
0
D
07.02.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Antalyaspor
1
0
W
24.01.26
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Galatasaray
1
3
L
09.01.26
Fri
Fatih Karagümrük
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
2
L
06.01.26
Fri
Fatih Karagümrük
Universitatea Cluj
2
1
W
14.12.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
1
1
D
30.11.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Beşiktaş
0
2
L
09.11.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Konyaspor
2
0
W
24.10.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Kayserispor
2
2
D
05.10.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Gaziantep FK
0
2
L
27.09.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Trabzonspor
3
4
L
17.09.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Başakşehir
0
2
L
13.09.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Kasımpaşa
0
1
L
22.08.25
Süp
Fatih Karagümrük
Göztepe
0
2
L
H2H at home: Fatih Karagümrük
16.05.26
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
2
1
W
25.02.24
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
1
1
D
07.08.22
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
2
4
L
22.05.22
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
0
1
L
27.02.21
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
2
0
W
31.08.20
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
0
2
L
Last matches: Alanyaspor
03.05.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Antalyaspor
0
0
D
19.04.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Kasımpaşa
0
1
L
04.04.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
1
1
D
14.03.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Göztepe
2
2
D
28.02.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Galatasaray
1
3
L
08.02.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Beşiktaş
2
2
D
25.01.26
Süp
Alanyaspor
Rizespor
1
1
D
13.12.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Kayserispor
0
0
D
01.12.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Samsunspor
1
1
D
08.11.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Trabzonspor
1
1
D
25.10.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Kocaelispor
0
2
L
04.10.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2
2
D
21.09.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Başakşehir
1
1
D
17.09.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Fenerbahçe
2
2
D
13.09.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Konyaspor
2
1
W
25.08.25
Süp
Alanyaspor
Eyüpspor
1
2
L
H2H away: Alanyaspor
16.05.26
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
2
1
L
25.02.24
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
1
1
D
07.08.22
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
2
4
W
22.05.22
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
0
1
W
27.02.21
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
2
0
L
31.08.20
H2H
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
0
2
W

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation

Missing Players

Fatih Karagümrük 5 missing
-
J. Camacho
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
S. Babicka
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
Kone
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
A. Sivri
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Serginho
Questionable Injury
OUT
Alanyaspor 1 missing
-
Y. Ozdemir
Missing Fixture Suspended
OUT