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ROMANIA › LIGA I
11.09.2026 15:00
Complex Sportiv Academia Gheorghe Hagi
Referee: Horia Gabriel Mladinovici, Romania
Farul Constanta
Match Timeline
Uta Arad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
M. Ahlinvi · Assist: C. Ganea
Farul Constanta
⚽
20'
E. Radaslavescu · Assist: D. Alibec
Farul Constanta
🟨
21'
Andrea Padula
Uta Arad
⚽
37'
M. Coman
Uta Arad
⚽
44'
D. Alibec
Farul Constanta
🔄
46'
A. Goncear ↔ V. Dican
Farul Constanta
🔄
46'
J. Papeau ↔ A. Ivanov
Uta Arad
🔄
46'
D. Taroi ↔ M. Tzionis
Uta Arad
⚽
57'
E. Radaslavescu
Farul Constanta
🔄
62'
A. Roman ↔ S. Gueulette
Uta Arad
🔄
62'
S. Mino ↔ O. El Sawy
Uta Arad
🔄
68'
T. Njike ↔ N. Popescu
Farul Constanta
🟨
72'
Samuel Gueulette
Uta Arad
🔄
72'
Gustavo Marins ↔ I. Larie
Farul Constanta
🔄
73'
C. Ganea ↔ V. Ticu
Farul Constanta
🔄
73'
E. Radaslavescu ↔ R. Marincean
Farul Constanta
🔄
77'
H. Abdallah ↔ I. Sinani
Uta Arad
⚽
87'
O. El Sawy · Assist: S. Gueulette
Uta Arad

Farul Constanta vs Uta Arad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
50%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Farul Constanta Win 64.9%
Draw 10%
Uta Arad Win 25.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Farul Constanta1.04
Uta Arad1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Farul Constanta Farul Constanta
WWDLW
17 GF / 20 GA
Uta Arad Uta Arad
WLDWL
23 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.77
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
8
5.38
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Farul Constanta Farul Constanta 16 matches
Uta Arad Uta Arad 13 matches
Farul Constanta Statistic Uta Arad
3 Wins 6
7 Draws 4
6 Losses 3
17 Goals For 23
20 Goals Against 13
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 4
5.38 Shots On Goal 3.88
15.13 Total Shots 15
4.63 Corners 4.38
50.3% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Farul Constanta's more proactive style and Uta Arad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Farul Constanta expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Uta Arad in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Uta Arad having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Uta Arad. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Farul Constanta arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 11 points compared to Uta Arad in 14 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Farul Constanta Analysis

Placed 5 with 11 points from 8 outings, Farul Constanta continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, while the 10:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Rădăslăvescu (3 goals), M. Ahlinvi (2 goals), Iustin Doicaru (2 goals), with creative support from E. Rădăslăvescu (2 assists), M. Ahlinvi (1 assists), Iustin Doicaru (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Uta Arad Analysis

Uta Arad sit 14 with 6 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Marius Coman (2 goals), Jayson Papeau (1 goals), Andrei Dorobanțu (1 goals), with creative support from Roman Alin (3 assists), Jayson Papeau (2 assists), Dmytro Pospelov (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Farul Constanta won 3 times, Uta Arad won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:11 from Farul Constanta's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
Predicted formations: Farul Constanta 3-4-3 / Uta Arad 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Farul Constanta wins 3, draws 8, Uta Arad wins 3

Standings

Liga I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 2 1 25:7 18 26
W W W W D
2 11 7 3 1 18:9 9 24
W W W W D
3 11 7 2 2 25:9 16 23
W W W W D
4 11 6 1 4 14:15 -1 19
L W D W W
5 11 6 0 5 20:18 2 18
L W W W L
6 11 4 5 2 17:15 2 17
W L W D D
7 11 4 4 3 14:11 3 16
W W L L D
8 11 5 1 5 17:17 0 16
W L W L D
9 11 4 3 4 14:17 -3 15
W L D L L
10 11 3 5 3 16:12 4 14
W L D W D
11 11 3 4 4 7:12 -5 13
L L W L W
12 11 3 3 5 14:17 -3 12
L W L W W
13 11 3 2 6 6:11 -5 11
L L D L L
14 11 2 4 5 11:16 -5 10
L L L L D
15 11 2 2 7 11:25 -14 8
L L L W D
16 11 0 1 10 6:24 -18 1
L L L L L
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