Login Register
ROMANIA › LIGA I
24.10.2026 17:00
Central Stadium Hagi Academy

Farul Constanta vs Oţelul Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Farul Constanta Win 83.2%
Draw 4.9%
Oţelul Win 11.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Farul Constanta1.22
Oţelul1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Farul Constanta Farul Constanta
WWDLW
26 GF / 30 GA
Oţelul Oţelul
WLDWL
16 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
12
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
6
5.75
Shots on Goal
4.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Farul Constanta Farul Constanta 21 matches
Oţelul Oţelul 16 matches
Farul Constanta Statistic Oţelul
6 Wins 3
7 Draws 8
8 Losses 5
26 Goals For 16
30 Goals Against 19
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
12 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 10
11 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 6
5.75 Shots On Goal 4.08
14.08 Total Shots 13.42
4.17 Corners 4.83
49.8% Ball Possession 52.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Farul Constanta's more proactive style and Oţelul's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Farul Constanta arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 17 points compared to Oţelul in 13 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Oţelul. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Oţelul arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Farul Constanta expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Oţelul in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Oţelul having the stronger overall control.

Farul Constanta Analysis

So far, Farul Constanta have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 17 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 17:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Rădăslăvescu (5 goals), M. Ahlinvi (4 goals), Iustin Doicaru (2 goals), with creative support from E. Rădăslăvescu (3 assists), D. Alibec (2 assists), M. Ahlinvi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Oţelul Analysis

Oţelul approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 11 points from 12 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 12:17, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Patrick (3 goals), Pedro Nuno (1 goals), Miguel Silva (1 goals), with creative support from Pedro Nuno (4 assists), Miguel Silva (2 assists), Andrézinho (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Farul Constanta won 2 times, Oţelul won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Farul Constanta's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Farul Constanta 3-4-3 / Oţelul 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Farul Constanta wins 2, draws 5, Oţelul wins 2

Standings

Liga I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 2 1 27:7 20 29
W W W W W
2 12 8 3 1 20:9 11 27
W W W W W
3 12 8 2 2 27:9 18 26
W W W W W
4 12 6 2 4 15:16 -1 20
D L W D W
5 12 6 1 5 22:20 2 19
D L W W W
6 12 5 3 4 16:18 -2 18
W W L D L
7 12 4 5 3 17:17 0 17
L W L W D
8 12 4 4 4 14:13 1 16
L W W L L
9 12 5 1 6 17:18 -1 16
L W L W L
10 12 4 3 5 15:17 -2 15
W L W L W
11 12 3 5 4 16:14 2 14
L W L D W
12 12 3 5 4 8:13 -5 14
D L L W L
13 12 3 3 6 8:13 -5 12
D L L D L
14 12 2 5 5 12:17 -5 11
D L L L L
15 12 2 2 8 12:27 -15 8
L L L L W
16 12 0 2 10 7:25 -18 2
D L L L L
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Superliga (Relegation Group)