MOROCCO › BOTOLA PRO
07.05.2026 20:00
Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
Referee: Y. Bouslim
FAR Rabat
Match Timeline
Olympique Safi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+4'
Mohamed Rabie Hrimat
FAR Rabat
🔄
46'
A. Hammoudan ↔ Y. El Fahli
FAR Rabat
🔄
46'
H. Khabba ↔ A. Hadraf
FAR Rabat
⚽
57'
M. Bouriga · Assist: A. Hadraf
FAR Rabat
🔄
60'
To Carneiro ↔ J. Ech Chamakh
FAR Rabat
🟨
68'
Yunis Abdelhamid
FAR Rabat
⚽
70'
F. Karmoune
Olympique Safi
🔄
72'
A. Habbassi ↔ A. Ouhatti
Olympique Safi
🔄
77'
M. Bouriga ↔ N. Mbemba
FAR Rabat
🔄
79'
M. Kone ↔ Y. Najari
Olympique Safi
🟨
81'
Abdelfettah Hadraf
FAR Rabat
🟨
83'
Youness Najari
Olympique Safi
🔄
83'
↔ T. Razko
FAR Rabat
🔄
87'
S. El Bouchqali ↔ A. Eddaou
Olympique Safi
🔄
87'
S. Errahouli ↔ M. Chemlal
Olympique Safi
🟨
90+1'
Walid Atik
Olympique Safi

FAR Rabat vs Olympique Safi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 29.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 42.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
29.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
42.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FAR Rabat Win 72.4%
Draw 9.2%
Olympique Safi Win 18.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FAR Rabat1.54
Olympique Safi0.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
FAR Rabat FAR Rabat
WWDLW
27 GF / 8 GA
Olympique Safi Olympique Safi
WLDWL
15 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.83
0.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
6
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 18 matches
Olympique Safi Olympique Safi 18 matches
FAR Rabat Statistic Olympique Safi
9 Wins 2
9 Draws 6
0 Losses 10
27 Goals For 15
8 Goals Against 29
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
6 BTTS Yes 12
11 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FAR Rabat's more proactive style and Olympique Safi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Olympique Safi. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FAR Rabat expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Olympique Safi in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Olympique Safi having the stronger overall control. Olympique Safi arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FAR Rabat arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 36 points compared to Olympique Safi in 15 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

FAR Rabat Analysis

Placed 2 with 36 points from 18 outings, FAR Rabat continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 27:8 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Hrimat (7 goals), Y. El Fahli (7 goals), R. Slim (3 goals), with creative support from R. Slim (3 assists), A. Hammoudan (3 assists), M. Hrimat (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Olympique Safi Analysis

With 12 points from 18 games and a place of 15, Olympique Safi still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats with a 15:29 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Kone (5 goals), F. Karmoune (2 goals), S. El Moudane (2 goals), with creative support from Anass Eddaou (2 assists), S. El Moudane (1 assists), A. Soufeir (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FAR Rabat won 3 times, Olympique Safi won 2 times, while 10 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:8 from FAR Rabat's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
Predicted formations: FAR Rabat 4-2-3-1 / Olympique Safi 4-4-2
H2H summary: FAR Rabat wins 3, draws 10, Olympique Safi wins 2

Standings

Botola Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 11 3 40:17 23 59
W D W W L
2 30 16 9 5 44:27 17 57
W W L D W
3 30 16 8 6 39:19 20 56
W W D L W
4 30 13 16 1 45:22 23 55
D L D D W
5 30 13 4 13 39:33 6 43
L L L L L
6 30 9 13 8 30:34 -4 40
L D D W W
7 30 9 12 9 27:31 -4 39
W L D L W
8 30 9 10 11 31:36 -5 37
L D W L L
9 30 8 12 10 27:26 1 36
D D D W L
10 30 9 9 12 24:33 -9 36
L W D D L
11 30 8 9 13 28:37 -9 33
D D D D L
12 30 8 9 13 27:39 -12 33
D L D D W
13 30 6 13 11 32:40 -8 31
W D W W D
14 30 7 9 14 34:44 -10 30
W D L W W
15 30 7 9 14 29:40 -11 30
D D L D W
16 30 3 13 14 24:42 -18 22
L D D D L
CAF CL group stage
CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation