PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
Referee: G. Correia
Famalicao
Match Timeline
Benfica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
11'
Franjo Ivanović
Benfica
12'
A. Schjelderup
Benfica
19'
R. Rios · Assist: A. Schjelderup
Benfica
🟥
55'
Nicolás Otamendi
Benfica
VAR
55'
Nicolás Otamendi
Benfica
🔄
57'
G. Prestianni ↔ E. Barrenechea
Benfica
67'
M. De Amorim · Assist: L. Realpe
Famalicao
🔄
72'
Gil Dias ↔ R. Beney
Famalicao
🔄
72'
S. Elisor ↔ U. Abubakar
Famalicao
🔄
72'
A. Schjelderup ↔ A. Bah
Benfica
🟨
74'
Gustavo Sá
Famalicao
78'
U. Abubakar · Assist: M. De Amorim
Famalicao
🟨
83'
Rodrigo Pinheiro
Famalicao
🔄
85'
F. Ivanovic ↔ Rafa Silva
Benfica
🟨
90+12'
Richard Ríos
Benfica
🟨
90+9'
António Silva
Benfica
🔄
90+3'
M. De Amorim ↔ P. Santos
Famalicao

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
63.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Famalicao Win 44.5%
Draw 2.5%
Benfica Win 53%
Expected Goals (xG)
Famalicao1.07
Benfica1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Famalicao Famalicao
WWDLW
39 GF / 27 GA
Benfica Benfica
WLDWL
83 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.84
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
11
BTTS Yes
20
12
Over 2.5
25
4.39
Shots on Goal
5.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Famalicao Famalicao 31 matches
Benfica Benfica 45 matches
Famalicao Statistic Benfica
14 Wins 28
9 Draws 10
8 Losses 7
39 Goals For 83
27 Goals Against 35
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.84
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
11 BTTS Yes 20
17 Over 1.5 36
12 Over 2.5 25
7 Over 3.5 10
15 Clean Sheets 20
8 Failed To Score 8
4.39 Shots On Goal 5.53
12.29 Total Shots 16.04
5.29 Corners 6.64
50.9% Ball Possession 55%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Benfica. Benfica look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Benfica carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 75 points while Famalicao sit 5 on 51, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Famalicao Analysis

Placed 5 with 51 points from 31 outings, Famalicao continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, while the 39:27 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. De Haas (5 goals), Sorriso (5 goals), G. Sa (4 goals), with creative support from Gil Dias (7 assists), Sorriso (4 assists), Pedro Santos (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Benfica Analysis

Benfica come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 75 points after 31 matches. The return of 22 wins, 9 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 67:20, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through V. Pavlidis (21 goals), A. Schjelderup (6 goals), F. Ivanovic (6 goals), with creative support from L. Barreiro (5 assists), V. Pavlidis (4 assists), A. Schjelderup (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 11 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Famalicao won 2 times, Benfica won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:28 from Famalicao's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97.5%)
Predicted formations: Famalicao 4-2-3-1 / Benfica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Famalicao wins 2, draws 4, Benfica wins 9
Stats
Famalicao Famalicao
Benfica Benfica
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 4
20 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 7
4 Shots outsidebox 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
395 Total passes 319
344 Passes accurate 254
1.53 expected_goals 1.55
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Famalicao
Formation
Benfica
L. Carevic
L. Carevic
R. Pinheiro
R. Pinheiro
L. Realpe
🎯
L. Realpe
J. De Haas
J. De Haas
Rafa Soares
Rafa Soares
T. Van de Looi
T. Van de Looi
M. De Amorim
🎯
M. De Amorim
Gil Dias
Gil Dias
G. Sa
G. Sa
Sorriso
Sorriso
S. Elisor
S. Elisor
A. Trubin
A. Trubin
A. Dedic
A. Dedic
A. Silva
A. Silva
N. Otamendi
N. Otamendi
S. Dahl
S. Dahl
R. Rios
R. Rios
F. Aursnes
F. Aursnes
G. Prestianni
G. Prestianni
L. Barreiro
L. Barreiro
A. Schjelderup
🎯
A. Schjelderup
F. Ivanovic
F. Ivanovic
Famalicao 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
L. Carevic
G
17
R. Pinheiro
🟨 83'
D
3
L. Realpe
🎯 67'
D
16
J. De Haas
D
5
Rafa Soares
D
6
T. Van de Looi
M
14
M. De Amorim
⚽ 67' 🎯 78' ↓ 90+3'
M
23
Gil Dias
↓ 72'
M
20
G. Sa
🟨 74'
M
7
Sorriso
M
12
S. Elisor
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
1
I. Zlobin
G
28
Pedro Bondo
D
80
P. Santos
↑ 90+3'
F
77
A. Joujou
F
8
M. Pena
M
2
Garcia
D
18
R. Beney
↑ 72'
F
9
U. Abubakar
⚽ 78' ↑ 72'
F
36
M. Mattara
D
Benfica 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Trubin
G
17
A. Dedic
D
4
A. Silva
🟨 90+9'
D
30
N. Otamendi
🟥 55'
D
26
S. Dahl
D
20
R. Rios
⚽ 19' 🟨 90+12'
M
8
F. Aursnes
M
25
G. Prestianni
↓ 57'
M
18
L. Barreiro
M
21
A. Schjelderup
⚽ 12' 🎯 19' ↓ 72'
M
9
F. Ivanovic
↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
24
S. Soares
G
16
Manu
M
7
Bruma
F
27
Rafa Silva
↑ 85'
M
11
D. Lukebakio
F
14
V. Pavlidis
F
6
A. Bah
↑ 72'
D
10
G. Sudakov
M
5
E. Barrenechea
↑ 57'
M
Last matches: Famalicao
07.08.26
Pri
Famalicao
Estoril
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Famalicao
Tondela
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Famalicao
Arouca
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Famalicao
Penafiel
0
0
D
15.07.26
Fri
Famalicao
Lusitânia Lourosa
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Famalicao
Famalicão U23
5
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Famalicao
Alverca
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Famalicao
Estrela
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Famalicao
Estoril
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Famalicao
SC Braga
2
2
D
10.04.26
Pri
Famalicao
Moreirense
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Famalicao
FC Porto
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pri
Famalicao
Nacional
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Famalicao
Guimaraes
2
1
W
06.03.26
Pri
Famalicao
Arouca
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Famalicao
Rio Ave
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pri
Famalicao
Casa Pia
2
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Famalicao
Sporting CP
0
1
L
09.02.26
Pri
Famalicao
AVS
3
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
0
5
L
Last matches: Benfica
09.08.26
Pri
Benfica
Academico Viseu
2
2
D
06.08.26
UEF
Benfica
Heart Of Midlothian
6
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Benfica
FC ST. Gallen
5
0
W
24.07.26
Fri
Benfica
CF Os Belenenses
5
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Benfica
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
17.07.26
Fri
Benfica
Villarreal
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Benfica
Flamengo
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Estoril
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Benfica
SC Braga
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Moreirense
4
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Sporting CP
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Nacional
2
0
W
06.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Casa Pia
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Guimaraes
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Arouca
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
Benfica
FC Porto
2
2
D
02.03.26
Pri
Benfica
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
25.02.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Benfica
AVS
3
0
W
17.02.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
0
1
L
H2H: Famalicao vs Benfica
02.05.26
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
2
2
D
22.12.25
H2H
Benfica
Famalicao
1
0
L
17.01.25
H2H
Benfica
Famalicao
4
0
L
11.08.24
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
2
0
W
05.05.24
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
2
0
W
29.12.23
H2H
Benfica
Famalicao
3
0
L
25.11.23
H2H
Benfica
Famalicao
2
0
L
03.03.23
H2H
Benfica
Famalicao
2
0
L
10.09.22
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
0
1
L
23.04.22
H2H
Benfica
Famalicao
0
0
D
12.12.21
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
1
4
L
08.02.21
H2H
Benfica
Famalicao
2
0
L
18.09.20
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
1
5
L
09.07.20
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
1
1
D
11.02.20
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
1
1
D
Last matches: Famalicao
25.07.26
Fri
Famalicao
Tondela
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Famalicao
Arouca
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Famalicao
Penafiel
0
0
D
15.07.26
Fri
Famalicao
Lusitânia Lourosa
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Famalicao
Famalicão U23
5
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Famalicao
Alverca
1
0
W
10.04.26
Pri
Famalicao
Moreirense
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Famalicao
Nacional
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pri
Famalicao
Arouca
1
0
W
23.02.26
Pri
Famalicao
Casa Pia
2
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
Famalicao
AVS
3
1
W
25.01.26
Pri
Famalicao
Tondela
3
0
W
27.12.25
Pri
Famalicao
Estrela
2
3
L
14.12.25
Pri
Famalicao
Estoril
4
0
W
06.12.25
Pri
Famalicao
SC Braga
1
2
L
09.11.25
Pri
Famalicao
FC Porto
0
1
L
26.10.25
Pri
Famalicao
Guimaraes
2
0
W
28.09.25
Pri
Famalicao
Rio Ave
0
0
D
13.09.25
Pri
Famalicao
Sporting CP
1
2
L
24.08.25
Pri
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
H2H at home: Famalicao
02.05.26
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
2
2
D
11.08.24
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
2
0
W
05.05.24
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
2
0
W
10.09.22
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
0
1
L
12.12.21
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
1
4
L
18.09.20
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
1
5
L
09.07.20
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
1
1
D
11.02.20
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
1
1
D
Last matches: Benfica
23.07.26
UEF
Benfica
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Estoril
3
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Sporting CP
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Casa Pia
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Arouca
2
1
W
02.03.26
Pri
Benfica
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
25.02.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
1
2
L
13.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Santa Clara
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Tondela
0
0
D
21.01.26
UEF
Benfica
Juventus
0
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Benfica
Rio Ave
2
0
W
28.12.25
Pri
Benfica
SC Braga
2
2
D
14.12.25
Pri
Benfica
Moreirense
4
0
W
29.11.25
Pri
Benfica
Nacional
2
1
W
25.11.25
UEF
Benfica
Ajax
2
0
W
01.11.25
Pri
Benfica
Guimaraes
3
0
W
21.10.25
UEF
Benfica
Newcastle
0
3
L
05.10.25
Pri
Benfica
FC Porto
0
0
D
30.09.25
UEF
Benfica
Chelsea
0
1
L
20.09.25
Pri
Benfica
AVS
3
0
W
H2H away: Benfica
02.05.26
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
2
2
D
11.08.24
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
2
0
L
05.05.24
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
2
0
L
10.09.22
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
0
1
W
12.12.21
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
1
4
W
18.09.20
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
1
5
W
09.07.20
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
1
1
D
11.02.20
H2H
Famalicao
Benfica
1
1
D