SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Falkirk Stadium
Referee: D. Nicolson
Falkirk
Match Timeline
ST Mirren
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
K. Phillips · Assist: H. Fieldson
ST Mirren
🔄
59'
J. Gardner ↔ A. Doherty
Falkirk
🔄
63'
E. Sule ↔ J. Young
ST Mirren
🟨
66'
Ryan Carr
ST Mirren
🔄
70'
J. McMillan ↔ E. Ross
Falkirk
🔄
70'
R. MacIver ↔ B. Parkinson
Falkirk
VAR
73'
Ben Parkinson
Falkirk
🔄
76'
R. Carr ↔ L. Donnelly
ST Mirren
🔄
76'
S. Ramos ↔ L. Thomas
ST Mirren
🔄
79'
S. Tanser ↔ L. McCann
Falkirk
🔄
79'
E. Laidlaw ↔ P. McGovern
Falkirk
🟨
80'
Henry Fieldson
ST Mirren
🔄
83'
C. R. Mochrie ↔ R. Idowu
ST Mirren
87'
K. Phillips · Assist: R. Idowu
ST Mirren
🟨
88'
Killian Phillips
ST Mirren
🟨
90+1'
Luke Thomas
ST Mirren

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
61.9%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Falkirk Win 38.1%
Draw 21.3%
ST Mirren Win 40.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Falkirk1.7
ST Mirren2.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Falkirk Falkirk
WWDLW
3 GF / 1 GA
ST Mirren ST Mirren
WLDWL
4 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
4
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
2
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Falkirk Falkirk 2 matches
ST Mirren ST Mirren 1 matches
Falkirk Statistic ST Mirren
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
3 Goals For 4
1 Goals Against 2
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 4
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2
1 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Falkirk won 7 times, ST Mirren won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:17 from Falkirk's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.7%)
Predicted formations: Falkirk 4-2-3-1 / ST Mirren 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Falkirk wins 7, draws 4, ST Mirren wins 4
Stats
Falkirk Falkirk
ST Mirren ST Mirren
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 7
18 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 2
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 7
6 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 11
2 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
432 Total passes 321
344 Passes accurate 243
0.71 expected_goals 1.64
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Falkirk
Formation
ST Mirren
S. Bain
S. Bain
R. Strain
R. Strain
D. Melniks
D. Melniks
L. Henderson
L. Henderson
S. Tanser
S. Tanser
J. McMillan
J. McMillan
C. Sibbald
C. Sibbald
J. Gardner
J. Gardner
F. Yeats
F. Yeats
E. Laidlaw
E. Laidlaw
R. MacIver
R. MacIver
J. Chapman
J. Chapman
J. Richardson
J. Richardson
M. Fraser
M. Fraser
A. Gogic
A. Gogic
H. Fieldson
🎯
H. Fieldson
R. Carr
R. Carr
P. Nsio
P. Nsio
S. Ramos
S. Ramos
K. Phillips
⚽ 2
K. Phillips
C. R. Mochrie
C. R. Mochrie
E. Sule
E. Sule
Falkirk 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
19
S. Bain
G
22
R. Strain
D
21
D. Melniks
D
5
L. Henderson
D
17
S. Tanser
↓ 79'
D
4
J. McMillan
↓ 70'
M
10
C. Sibbald
M
18
J. Gardner
↓ 59'
M
14
F. Yeats
M
12
E. Laidlaw
↓ 79'
M
9
R. MacIver
↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
1
N. Hogarth
G
23
E. Ross
↑ 70'
F
3
L. McCann
↑ 79'
D
7
B. Parkinson
↑ 70'
F
6
C. Donaldson
D
15
L. Neilson
D
20
C. Allan
D
47
A. Doherty
↑ 59'
F
11
P. McGovern
↑ 79'
F
ST Mirren 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Chapman
G
2
J. Richardson
D
22
M. Fraser
D
13
A. Gogic
D
53
H. Fieldson
🎯 11' 🟨 80'
D
8
R. Carr
↓ 76' 🟨 66'
M
48
P. Nsio
M
10
S. Ramos
↓ 76'
M
88
K. Phillips
⚽ 11' ⚽ 87' 🟨 88'
M
23
C. R. Mochrie
↓ 83'
M
9
E. Sule
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
27
P. Urminsky
G
20
J. Young
↑ 63'
F
7
R. Idowu
🎯 87' ↑ 83'
M
5
R. King
D
32
L. Douglas
F
4
L. Donnelly
↑ 76'
M
16
L. Thomas
↑ 76' 🟨 90+1'
M
30
F. Taylor
M
37
C. McEvoy
M
Last matches: Falkirk
09.08.26
Pre
Falkirk
Motherwell
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Falkirk
Genk
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Falkirk
Airdrie United
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Rangers
2
5
L
13.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Hibernian
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Motherwell
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Falkirk
Celtic
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pre
Falkirk
Rangers
3
6
L
04.04.26
Pre
Falkirk
Motherwell
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pre
Falkirk
ST Mirren
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Falkirk
Aberdeen
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
5
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Dundee Utd
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Dundee
1
0
W
04.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Livingston
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Celtic
0
2
L
24.01.26
Pre
Falkirk
Hibernian
4
1
W
14.01.26
Pre
Falkirk
Celtic
0
1
L
Last matches: ST Mirren
08.08.26
Pre
ST Mirren
ST Johnstone
1
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
ST Mirren
Arbroath
4
2
W
25.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Partick
1
0
W
21.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Partick
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Celtic
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Rangers
0
1
L
03.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
5
L
14.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Hibernian
0
2
L
11.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
3
4
L
03.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
31.01.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee
0
0
D
H2H: Falkirk vs ST Mirren
01.08.26
H2H
Falkirk
ST Mirren
0
2
L
21.03.26
H2H
Falkirk
ST Mirren
1
2
L
10.01.26
H2H
ST Mirren
Falkirk
0
2
W
13.09.25
H2H
Falkirk
ST Mirren
1
2
L
28.04.18
H2H
Falkirk
St Mirren
1
0
W
17.04.18
H2H
St Mirren
Falkirk
1
2
W
21.10.17
H2H
Falkirk
St Mirren
0
0
D
05.08.17
H2H
St Mirren
Falkirk
3
1
L
15.04.17
H2H
Falkirk
St Mirren
2
2
D
28.01.17
H2H
St Mirren
Falkirk
1
2
W
03.12.16
H2H
Falkirk
St Mirren
3
1
W
01.10.16
H2H
St Mirren
Falkirk
1
1
D
09.04.16
H2H
Falkirk
ST Mirren
3
2
W
01.03.16
H2H
ST Mirren
Falkirk
0
0
D
31.10.15
H2H
Falkirk
ST Mirren
3
0
W
Last matches: Falkirk
18.07.26
Fri
Falkirk
Genk
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Rangers
2
5
L
09.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Hibernian
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Motherwell
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Falkirk
Rangers
3
6
L
21.03.26
Pre
Falkirk
ST Mirren
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
5
1
W
14.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Dundee Utd
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Dundee
1
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Falkirk
Hibernian
4
1
W
14.01.26
Pre
Falkirk
Celtic
0
1
L
03.01.26
Pre
Falkirk
Aberdeen
1
0
W
13.12.25
Pre
Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
0
2
L
03.12.25
Pre
Falkirk
Motherwell
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pre
Falkirk
Livingston
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pre
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
3
1
W
25.10.25
Pre
Falkirk
Dundee
2
1
W
05.10.25
Pre
Falkirk
Rangers
1
1
D
23.09.25
Pre
Falkirk
Hibernian
2
2
D
13.09.25
Pre
Falkirk
ST Mirren
1
2
L
H2H at home: Falkirk
01.08.26
H2H
Falkirk
ST Mirren
0
2
L
21.03.26
H2H
Falkirk
ST Mirren
1
2
L
13.09.25
H2H
Falkirk
ST Mirren
1
2
L
28.04.18
H2H
Falkirk
St Mirren
1
0
W
21.10.17
H2H
Falkirk
St Mirren
0
0
D
15.04.17
H2H
Falkirk
St Mirren
2
2
D
03.12.16
H2H
Falkirk
St Mirren
3
1
W
09.04.16
H2H
Falkirk
ST Mirren
3
2
W
31.10.15
H2H
Falkirk
ST Mirren
3
0
W
Last matches: ST Mirren
27.06.26
Fri
ST Mirren
Arbroath
4
2
W
21.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Partick
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Celtic
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Hibernian
0
2
L
11.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
3
4
L
20.01.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
1
1
D
14.01.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
0
2
L
03.01.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
2
L
30.12.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Rangers
1
2
L
03.12.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
3
3
D
29.11.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee
1
3
L
25.10.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
1
3
L
04.10.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
2
L
13.09.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
2
1
W
31.08.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Hibernian
1
1
D
H2H away: ST Mirren
01.08.26
H2H
Falkirk
ST Mirren
0
2
W
21.03.26
H2H
Falkirk
ST Mirren
1
2
W
13.09.25
H2H
Falkirk
ST Mirren
1
2
W
09.04.16
H2H
Falkirk
ST Mirren
3
2
L
31.10.15
H2H
Falkirk
ST Mirren
3
0
L