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21.11.2026 15:00
Falkirk Stadium

Falkirk vs ST Johnstone Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Falkirk Win 47.4%
Draw 23.9%
ST Johnstone Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Falkirk1.47
ST Johnstone1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Falkirk Falkirk
W W W W W
13 GF / 3 GA
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone
W D D L D
7 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
10
3.92
Shots on Goal
3.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Falkirk Falkirk 15 matches
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 16 matches
Falkirk Statistic ST Johnstone
8 Wins 7
3 Draws 5
4 Losses 4
23 Goals For 28
15 Goals Against 22
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
9 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
3.92 Shots On Goal 3.38
11.69 Total Shots 10.62
4.38 Corners 3.08
46.3% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Falkirk's more proactive style and ST Johnstone's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Falkirk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and ST Johnstone in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward ST Johnstone having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Falkirk come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors ST Johnstone. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Falkirk Analysis

Falkirk approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 21 points after 13 outings. The return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 20:14, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Murrell (7 goals), E. Ross (2 goals), Owen Eames (2 goals), with creative support from R. Strain (5 assists), E. Ross (2 assists), Owen Eames (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

ST Johnstone Analysis

ST Johnstone are currently 7 in the standings with 17 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 17:20 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Fowler (6 goals), K. Fotheringham (2 goals), E. Alıç (1 goals), with creative support from E. Alıç (3 assists), J. Gullan (2 assists), J. Fowler (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Falkirk won 1 times, ST Johnstone won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Falkirk's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.1%)
Predicted formations: Falkirk 4-2-3-1 / ST Johnstone 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Falkirk wins 1, draws 0, ST Johnstone wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 10 1 2 28:10 18 31
W L D W W
2 12 8 3 1 21:9 12 27
W D W D W
3 13 6 3 4 20:14 6 21
W W W W W
4 12 6 2 4 26:22 4 20
L D W L W
5 12 5 2 5 18:15 3 17
L W L D W
6 12 4 5 3 17:17 0 17
D D W D W
7 13 4 5 4 17:20 -3 17
W D D L D
8 13 4 2 7 12:22 -10 14
L L D W L
9 13 3 4 6 15:21 -6 13
D W D L L
10 12 3 2 7 15:17 -2 11
W D L L L
11 12 3 2 7 12:18 -6 11
L L L W L
12 13 2 3 8 13:29 -16 9
L D L L W
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)