SCOTLAND › PREMIERSHIP
16.05.2026 11:30
Falkirk Stadium
Referee: D. Nicolson
Falkirk
Match Timeline
Rangers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
Chermiti · Assist: M. Moore
Rangers
⚽
6'
Chermiti
Rangers
⚽
7'
J. Butland
Falkirk
🟨
20'
Henry Cartwright
Falkirk
🟨
26'
Brad Spencer
Falkirk
⚽
27'
D. Gassama · Assist: Chermiti
Rangers
🟨
32'
Calvin Miller
Falkirk
🔄
35'
N. Djiga ↔ M. Aarons
Rangers
VAR
42'
Calvin Miller
Falkirk
⚽
44'
C. Miller
Falkirk
🔄
46'
B. Parkinson ↔ R. MacIver
Falkirk
🔄
46'
B. Spencer ↔ D. Tait
Falkirk
🔄
46'
H. Cartwright ↔ C. Allan
Falkirk
⚽
47'
Chermiti · Assist: T. Rommens
Rangers
🔄
64'
B. Broggio ↔ G. Oliver
Falkirk
🔄
64'
C. Barron ↔ T. Chukwuani
Rangers
🔄
72'
S. Hart ↔ K. Wilson
Falkirk
⚽
79'
T. Aasgaard
Rangers
🔄
80'
M. Moore ↔ Z. Lawson
Rangers
🔄
80'
T. Aasgaard ↔ A. McCallion
Rangers
🔄
80'
T. Rommens ↔ A. Scally
Rangers

Falkirk vs Rangers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
93.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Falkirk Win 30.4%
Draw 15.2%
Rangers Win 54.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Falkirk1.3
Rangers1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Falkirk Falkirk
WWDLW
48 GF / 57 GA
Rangers Rangers
WLDWL
84 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
19
BTTS Yes
31
21
Over 2.5
30
3.81
Shots on Goal
5.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Falkirk Falkirk 37 matches
Rangers Rangers 51 matches
Falkirk Statistic Rangers
14 Wins 22
7 Draws 14
16 Losses 15
48 Goals For 84
57 Goals Against 67
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
19 BTTS Yes 31
27 Over 1.5 42
21 Over 2.5 30
12 Over 3.5 16
9 Clean Sheets 15
11 Failed To Score 8
3.81 Shots On Goal 5.29
11.89 Total Shots 14.69
4.73 Corners 6.12
50.7% Ball Possession 55.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Rangers's more proactive style and Falkirk's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Rangers. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Rangers carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 69 points while Falkirk sit 6 on 49, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Falkirk Analysis

With 49 points from 36 games and a place of 6, Falkirk still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 48:54, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through B. Stewart (8 goals), C. Miller (6 goals), B. Broggio (5 goals), with creative support from C. Miller (9 assists), E. Williams (3 assists), Leon McCann (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rangers Analysis

Rangers sit 3 with 69 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 19 wins, 12 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 70:39, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Chermiti (12 goals), J. Tavernier (8 goals), B. Miovski (7 goals), with creative support from Nicolas Raskin (7 assists), Djeidi Gassama (5 assists), Chermiti (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Falkirk won 2 times, Rangers won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:32 from Falkirk's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.62 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: Falkirk 4-2-3-1 / Rangers 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Falkirk wins 2, draws 4, Rangers wins 7

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round