SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Falkirk Stadium
Referee: D. Nicolson
Falkirk
Match Timeline
Rangers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
Chermiti · Assist: M. Moore
Rangers
6'
Chermiti
Rangers
7'
J. Butland
Falkirk
🟨
20'
Henry Cartwright
Falkirk
🟨
26'
Brad Spencer
Falkirk
27'
D. Gassama · Assist: Chermiti
Rangers
🟨
32'
Calvin Miller
Falkirk
🔄
35'
N. Djiga ↔ M. Aarons
Rangers
VAR
42'
Calvin Miller
Falkirk
44'
C. Miller
Falkirk
🔄
46'
B. Parkinson ↔ R. MacIver
Falkirk
🔄
46'
B. Spencer ↔ D. Tait
Falkirk
🔄
46'
H. Cartwright ↔ C. Allan
Falkirk
47'
Chermiti · Assist: T. Rommens
Rangers
🔄
64'
B. Broggio ↔ G. Oliver
Falkirk
🔄
64'
C. Barron ↔ T. Chukwuani
Rangers
🔄
72'
S. Hart ↔ K. Wilson
Falkirk
79'
T. Aasgaard
Rangers
🔄
80'
M. Moore ↔ Z. Lawson
Rangers
🔄
80'
T. Aasgaard ↔ A. McCallion
Rangers
🔄
80'
T. Rommens ↔ A. Scally
Rangers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
93.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Falkirk Win 30.4%
Draw 15.2%
Rangers Win 54.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Falkirk1.3
Rangers1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Falkirk Falkirk
WWDLW
48 GF / 57 GA
Rangers Rangers
WLDWL
84 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
19
BTTS Yes
31
21
Over 2.5
30
3.81
Shots on Goal
5.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Falkirk Falkirk 37 matches
Rangers Rangers 51 matches
Falkirk Statistic Rangers
14 Wins 22
7 Draws 14
16 Losses 15
48 Goals For 84
57 Goals Against 67
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
19 BTTS Yes 31
27 Over 1.5 42
21 Over 2.5 30
12 Over 3.5 16
9 Clean Sheets 15
11 Failed To Score 8
3.81 Shots On Goal 5.29
11.89 Total Shots 14.69
4.73 Corners 6.12
50.7% Ball Possession 55.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Rangers's more proactive style and Falkirk's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Rangers. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Rangers carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 69 points while Falkirk sit 6 on 49, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Falkirk Analysis

With 49 points from 36 games and a place of 6, Falkirk still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 48:54, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through B. Stewart (8 goals), C. Miller (6 goals), B. Broggio (5 goals), with creative support from C. Miller (9 assists), E. Williams (3 assists), Leon McCann (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rangers Analysis

Rangers sit 3 with 69 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 19 wins, 12 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 70:39, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Chermiti (12 goals), J. Tavernier (8 goals), B. Miovski (7 goals), with creative support from Nicolas Raskin (7 assists), Djeidi Gassama (5 assists), Chermiti (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Falkirk won 2 times, Rangers won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:32 from Falkirk's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.62 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: Falkirk 4-2-3-1 / Rangers 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Falkirk wins 2, draws 4, Rangers wins 7
Stats
Falkirk Falkirk
Rangers Rangers
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 4
11 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Goal 7
5 Shots off Goal 5
0 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 8
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
408 Total passes 336
350 Passes accurate 295
2.26 expected_goals 2.67
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Falkirk
Formation
Rangers
N. Hogarth
N. Hogarth
F. Yeats
F. Yeats
L. Neilson
L. Neilson
L. Henderson
L. Henderson
S. Hart
S. Hart
H. Cartwright
H. Cartwright
B. Spencer
B. Spencer
C. Miller
C. Miller
B. Broggio
B. Broggio
E. Ross
E. Ross
B. Parkinson
B. Parkinson
J. Butland
J. Butland
N. Djiga
N. Djiga
J. Souttar
J. Souttar
E. Fernandez
E. Fernandez
T. Rommens
🎯
T. Rommens
C. Barron
C. Barron
M. Diomande
M. Diomande
D. Gassama
D. Gassama
T. Aasgaard
T. Aasgaard
M. Moore
🎯
M. Moore
Chermiti
⚽ 3 🎯
Chermiti
Falkirk 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
N. Hogarth
G
14
F. Yeats
D
15
L. Neilson
D
5
L. Henderson
D
42
S. Hart
↓ 72'
D
17
H. Cartwright
↓ 46' 🟨 20'
M
8
B. Spencer
↓ 46' 🟨 26'
M
29
C. Miller
⚽ 44' 🟨 32'
M
11
B. Broggio
↓ 64'
M
23
E. Ross
M
27
B. Parkinson
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Sneddon
G
18
G. Oliver
↑ 64'
F
9
R. MacIver
↑ 46'
F
22
K. Wilson
↑ 72'
F
7
B. Graham
F
6
C. Donaldson
D
21
D. Tait
↑ 46'
M
20
C. Allan
↑ 46'
M
36
K. Brown
F
Rangers 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Butland
⚽ 7'
G
24
N. Djiga
↓ 35'
D
5
J. Souttar
D
37
E. Fernandez
D
25
T. Rommens
🎯 47' ↓ 80'
D
8
C. Barron
↓ 64'
M
10
M. Diomande
M
23
D. Gassama
⚽ 27'
M
11
T. Aasgaard
⚽ 79' ↓ 80'
M
47
M. Moore
🎯 2' ↓ 80'
M
9
Chermiti
⚽ 2' ⚽ 6' ⚽ 47' 🎯 27'
F
Substitutes
31
L. Kelly
G
30
J. Meghoma
D
46
Z. Lawson
↑ 80'
F
3
M. Aarons
↑ 35'
D
7
A. Skov Olsen
F
18
O. Antman
F
42
T. Chukwuani
↑ 64'
M
64
A. McCallion
↑ 80'
M
82
A. Scally
↑ 80'
D
Last matches: Falkirk
09.08.26
Pre
Falkirk
Motherwell
0
0
D
01.08.26
Pre
Falkirk
ST Mirren
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Falkirk
Genk
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Falkirk
Airdrie United
2
1
W
13.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Hibernian
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Motherwell
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Falkirk
Celtic
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pre
Falkirk
Rangers
3
6
L
04.04.26
Pre
Falkirk
Motherwell
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pre
Falkirk
ST Mirren
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Falkirk
Aberdeen
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
5
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Dundee Utd
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Dundee
1
0
W
04.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Livingston
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Celtic
0
2
L
24.01.26
Pre
Falkirk
Hibernian
4
1
W
14.01.26
Pre
Falkirk
Celtic
0
1
L
Last matches: Rangers
09.08.26
Pre
Rangers
Hibernian
1
2
L
06.08.26
UEF
Rangers
Jagiellonia
1
2
L
31.07.26
Pre
Rangers
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
26.07.26
Fri
Rangers
West Ham
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Rangers
Saint Etienne
2
1
W
13.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Hibernian
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Celtic
1
3
L
04.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Motherwell
2
3
L
12.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
6
3
W
04.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Dundee Utd
4
2
W
21.03.26
Pre
Rangers
Aberdeen
4
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Rangers
ST Mirren
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Rangers
Celtic
2
2
D
22.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Livingston
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
4
2
W
11.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Motherwell
1
1
D
04.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Kilmarnock
5
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Hibernian
0
0
D
29.01.26
UEF
Rangers
FC Porto
1
3
L
H2H: Falkirk vs Rangers
16.05.26
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
2
5
L
12.04.26
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
3
6
L
30.11.25
H2H
Rangers
Falkirk
0
0
D
05.10.25
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
1
1
D
29.11.20
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
0
4
L
18.03.16
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
3
2
W
30.01.16
H2H
Rangers
Falkirk
1
0
L
19.12.15
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
2
1
W
03.10.15
H2H
Rangers
Falkirk
3
1
L
25.04.15
H2H
Rangers
Falkirk
2
2
D
27.02.15
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
1
1
D
08.11.14
H2H
Rangers
Falkirk
4
0
L
15.08.14
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
0
2
L
Last matches: Falkirk
01.08.26
Pre
Falkirk
ST Mirren
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Falkirk
Genk
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Hibernian
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Motherwell
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Falkirk
Rangers
3
6
L
21.03.26
Pre
Falkirk
ST Mirren
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
5
1
W
14.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Dundee Utd
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Dundee
1
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Falkirk
Hibernian
4
1
W
14.01.26
Pre
Falkirk
Celtic
0
1
L
03.01.26
Pre
Falkirk
Aberdeen
1
0
W
13.12.25
Pre
Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
0
2
L
03.12.25
Pre
Falkirk
Motherwell
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pre
Falkirk
Livingston
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pre
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
3
1
W
25.10.25
Pre
Falkirk
Dundee
2
1
W
05.10.25
Pre
Falkirk
Rangers
1
1
D
23.09.25
Pre
Falkirk
Hibernian
2
2
D
13.09.25
Pre
Falkirk
ST Mirren
1
2
L
H2H at home: Falkirk
16.05.26
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
2
5
L
12.04.26
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
3
6
L
05.10.25
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
1
1
D
29.11.20
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
0
4
L
18.03.16
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
3
2
W
19.12.15
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
2
1
W
27.02.15
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
1
1
D
15.08.14
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
0
2
L
Last matches: Rangers
06.08.26
UEF
Rangers
Jagiellonia
1
2
L
31.07.26
Pre
Rangers
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Celtic
1
3
L
04.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
6
3
W
15.03.26
Pre
Rangers
ST Mirren
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Livingston
2
2
D
11.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Motherwell
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Hibernian
0
0
D
29.01.26
UEF
Rangers
FC Porto
1
3
L
11.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Aberdeen
2
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Celtic
3
1
W
21.12.25
Pre
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
Rangers
Ferencvarosi TC
1
2
L
06.12.25
Pre
Rangers
Kilmarnock
3
0
W
03.12.25
Pre
Rangers
Dundee Utd
2
2
D
09.11.25
Pre
Rangers
Dundee
3
0
W
29.10.25
Pre
Rangers
Hibernian
1
0
W
23.10.25
UEF
Rangers
Brann
0
3
L
05.10.25
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
1
1
D
H2H away: Rangers
16.05.26
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
2
5
W
12.04.26
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
3
6
W
05.10.25
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
1
1
D
29.11.20
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
0
4
W
18.03.16
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
3
2
L
19.12.15
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
2
1
L
27.02.15
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
1
1
D
15.08.14
H2H
Falkirk
Rangers
0
2
W

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round