SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
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Falcon Alkoholfri Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Falkenbergs FF Win 79%
Draw 5.6%
IK brage Win 15.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Falkenbergs FF1.95
IK brage1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF
WWDLW
62 GF / 35 GA
IK brage IK brage
WLDWL
42 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
20
BTTS Yes
15
20
Over 2.5
17
2.06
Shots on Goal
1.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 29 matches
IK brage IK brage 24 matches
Falkenbergs FF Statistic IK brage
17 Wins 10
7 Draws 6
5 Losses 8
62 Goals For 42
35 Goals Against 40
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
20 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 18
20 Over 2.5 17
12 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 5
2.06 Shots On Goal 1.35
2.11 Total Shots 2.12
2.61 Corners 1.94
24.9% Ball Possession 22.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Falkenbergs FF's more proactive style and IK brage's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Falkenbergs FF arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 35 points compared to IK brage in 13 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward IK brage. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Falkenbergs FF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and IK brage in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IK brage having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Falkenbergs FF Analysis

Falkenbergs FF come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 35 points from 19 matches. The record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 36:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

IK brage Analysis

From their first 19 matches, IK brage have collected 21 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 33:36 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Falkenbergs FF won 5 times, IK brage won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:10 from Falkenbergs FF's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Falkenbergs FF 4-4-2 / IK brage 4-5-1
H2H summary: Falkenbergs FF wins 5, draws 0, IK brage wins 2
Last matches: Falkenbergs FF
15.08.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Norrby IF
2
0
W
08.08.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
United Nordic
1
1
D
01.08.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
1
2
L
26.07.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
GIF Sundsvall
2
1
W
21.07.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Helsingborg
2
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Falkenbergs FF
Laholm
6
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Falkenbergs FF
Landskrona BoIS
1
2
L
26.06.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
IK brage
4
2
W
21.06.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Osters IF
3
1
W
14.06.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Orebro SK
1
1
D
09.06.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Sandviken
2
4
L
30.05.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Oddevold
2
1
W
23.05.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
IFK Varnamo
3
1
W
17.05.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
United Nordic
4
1
W
13.05.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
0
3
L
09.05.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Ostersunds FK
2
2
D
05.05.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
IFK Norrkoping
1
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
GIF Sundsvall
1
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Norrby IF
2
2
D
12.04.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Landskrona BoIS
2
1
W
Last matches: IK brage
14.08.26
Sup
IK brage
Orebro SK
3
3
D
08.08.26
Sup
IK brage
IFK Norrkoping
0
3
L
01.08.26
Sup
IK brage
Landskrona BoIS
2
1
W
25.07.26
Sup
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
0
0
D
18.07.26
Sup
IK brage
Osters IF
2
3
L
26.06.26
Sup
IK brage
Falkenbergs FF
2
4
L
21.06.26
Sup
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
5
1
W
14.06.26
Sup
IK brage
Sandviken
2
3
L
09.06.26
Sup
IK brage
Ljungskile SK
2
2
D
30.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Landskrona BoIS
2
2
D
23.05.26
Sup
IK brage
United Nordic
0
1
L
16.05.26
Sup
IK brage
IFK Norrkoping
0
0
D
13.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Ostersunds FK
2
4
L
08.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Orebro SK
3
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Helsingborg
0
2
L
26.04.26
Sup
IK brage
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
2
D
20.04.26
Sup
IK brage
GIF Sundsvall
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
IK brage
Oddevold
3
4
L
05.04.26
Sup
IK brage
Norrby IF
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
IK brage
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
H2H: Falkenbergs FF vs IK brage
26.06.26
H2H
IK brage
Falkenbergs FF
2
4
W
09.08.25
H2H
Falkenbergs FF
IK brage
0
1
L
07.04.25
H2H
IK brage
Falkenbergs FF
0
2
W
27.11.21
H2H
Falkenbergs FF
IK brage
1
2
L
17.04.21
H2H
IK brage
Falkenbergs FF
0
1
W
28.09.18
H2H
Falkenbergs FF
IK brage
3
2
W
12.05.18
H2H
IK brage
Falkenbergs FF
3
4
W
Last matches: Falkenbergs FF
15.08.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Norrby IF
2
0
W
08.08.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
United Nordic
1
1
D
21.07.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Helsingborg
2
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Falkenbergs FF
Laholm
6
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Falkenbergs FF
Landskrona BoIS
1
2
L
14.06.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Orebro SK
1
1
D
30.05.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Oddevold
2
1
W
23.05.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
IFK Varnamo
3
1
W
13.05.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
0
3
L
05.05.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
IFK Norrkoping
1
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
GIF Sundsvall
1
0
W
06.04.26
Sup
Falkenbergs FF
Ljungskile SK
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Falkenbergs FF
Ariana
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Falkenbergs FF
Landskrona BoIS
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Falkenbergs FF
Ljungskile SK
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Falkenbergs FF
Astrio
3
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Falkenbergs FF
Tvååker
1
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Falkenbergs FF
Böljan
4
0
W
H2H at home: Falkenbergs FF
09.08.25
H2H
Falkenbergs FF
IK brage
0
1
L
27.11.21
H2H
Falkenbergs FF
IK brage
1
2
L
28.09.18
H2H
Falkenbergs FF
IK brage
3
2
W
Last matches: IK brage
08.08.26
Sup
IK brage
IFK Norrkoping
0
3
L
25.07.26
Sup
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
0
0
D
18.07.26
Sup
IK brage
Osters IF
2
3
L
14.06.26
Sup
IK brage
Sandviken
2
3
L
30.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Landskrona BoIS
2
2
D
23.05.26
Sup
IK brage
United Nordic
0
1
L
08.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Orebro SK
3
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Helsingborg
0
2
L
20.04.26
Sup
IK brage
GIF Sundsvall
2
1
W
05.04.26
Sup
IK brage
Norrby IF
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
IK brage
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
IK brage
Sandviken
3
2
W
30.01.26
Fri
IK brage
GIF Sundsvall
2
1
W
H2H away: IK brage
09.08.25
H2H
Falkenbergs FF
IK brage
0
1
W
27.11.21
H2H
Falkenbergs FF
IK brage
1
2
W
28.09.18
H2H
Falkenbergs FF
IK brage
3
2
L

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 2 4 36:11 25 41
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 36:27 9 35
W D L W L
3 19 10 4 5 34:24 10 34
D L W L W
4 19 9 6 4 29:22 7 33
D W W D W
5 19 8 5 6 25:20 5 29
D W L L L
6 19 7 8 4 29:26 3 29
D D D D W
7 19 9 2 8 30:29 1 29
W L L W W
8 19 6 8 5 30:27 3 26
D W D D L
9 19 7 4 8 32:29 3 25
L W W L L
10 19 7 4 8 32:37 -5 25
D L L D W
11 19 6 5 8 27:27 0 23
L L D W W
12 19 4 10 5 24:26 -2 22
L W D D W
13 19 5 6 8 33:36 -3 21
D L W D L
14 19 5 3 11 23:37 -14 18
D W W D L
15 19 3 7 9 18:31 -13 16
D L L D L
16 19 3 1 15 14:43 -29 10
D L L L L
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