SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
29.08.2026 13:00
Falcon Alkoholfri Arena
Referee: Toni Galic, Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
Match Timeline
IK brage
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
H. Kallstrom
Falkenbergs FF
12'
H. Kallstrom · Assist: A. Andersson
Falkenbergs FF
🟨
16'
Mass Sise
IK brage
🟨
51'
Lassina Sangare
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
59'
O. Stark ↔ A. Lundin
IK brage
🔄
59'
A. Hellblom ↔ P. Jonsson
IK brage
61'
A. Andersson · Assist: N. Bertilsson
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
66'
L. Sangare ↔ O. Lindberg
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
66'
E. Mohammad ↔ G. Alexandersson
Falkenbergs FF
67'
L. Madsen · Assist: P. Jonsson
IK brage
🔄
72'
L. Madsen ↔ J. Skille
IK brage
🔄
84'
T. Stalheden ↔ N. Hansson
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
84'
H. Kallstrom ↔ A. Rupia-Ellis
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
84'
N. Bertilsson ↔ A. Miftari
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
84'
T. Stagaard ↔ I. Fors
IK brage
90'
A. Andersson · Assist: L. Borgstrom
Falkenbergs FF

Falkenbergs FF vs IK brage Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79%
Odds 2.02
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.67
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79%
2.02
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.67
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Falkenbergs FF Win 79%
Draw 5.6%
IK brage Win 15.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Falkenbergs FF1.93
IK brage1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF
WWDLW
63 GF / 37 GA
IK brage IK brage
WLDWL
43 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
2.1
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
21
BTTS Yes
16
21
Over 2.5
18
2.06
Shots on Goal
1.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 30 matches
IK brage IK brage 25 matches
Falkenbergs FF Statistic IK brage
17 Wins 10
7 Draws 6
6 Losses 9
63 Goals For 43
37 Goals Against 42
2.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
21 BTTS Yes 16
26 Over 1.5 19
21 Over 2.5 18
12 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 5
2.06 Shots On Goal 1.35
2.11 Total Shots 2.12
2.61 Corners 1.94
24.9% Ball Possession 22.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Falkenbergs FF's more proactive style and IK brage's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Falkenbergs FF arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 35 points compared to IK brage in 13 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward IK brage. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Falkenbergs FF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and IK brage in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IK brage having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Falkenbergs FF Analysis

Falkenbergs FF come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 35 points from 19 matches. The record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 36:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

IK brage Analysis

From their first 19 matches, IK brage have collected 21 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 33:36 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Falkenbergs FF won 5 times, IK brage won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:10 from Falkenbergs FF's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Falkenbergs FF 4-4-2 / IK brage 4-5-1
H2H summary: Falkenbergs FF wins 5, draws 0, IK brage wins 2

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 16 4 4 45:15 30 52
D W D W W
2 24 13 5 6 46:33 13 44
W W L W L
3 23 10 9 4 32:24 8 39
D W D D D
4 23 11 5 7 39:30 9 38
L D W L D
5 24 9 9 6 37:32 5 36
D W W L W
6 23 9 8 6 36:35 1 35
L W L W D
7 23 9 7 7 31:25 6 34
L W D D D
8 23 10 3 10 34:34 0 33
L L D W W
9 23 8 6 9 36:32 4 30
L W D D L
10 23 8 5 10 36:44 -8 29
W L D L D
11 24 7 7 10 31:33 -2 28
L W D L D
12 23 7 5 11 30:41 -11 26
W D W D D
13 23 4 11 8 27:33 -6 23
L L L D L
14 23 5 8 10 24:34 -10 23
W L D W D
15 23 5 7 11 36:44 -8 22
D L L L D
16 23 5 1 17 16:47 -31 16
L W W L D
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