Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Fakel Win 0%
Draw 0%
Rodina Moskva Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fakel1.68
Rodina Moskva1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fakel
WWDLW
22 GF / 19 GA
Rodina Moskva
WLDWL
15 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
2
10
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
9
2.25
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fakel
15 matches
Rodina Moskva
15 matches
| Fakel | Statistic | Rodina Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 2 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 5 | Losses | 8 |
| 22 | Goals For | 15 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 2.25 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 11.25 | Total Shots | 7.25 |
| 6.5 | Corners | 2.5 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 39.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Fakel won 0 times, Rodina Moskva won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Fakel's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Fakel 5-3-2 / Rodina Moskva 4-4-2
H2H summary: Fakel wins 0, draws 0, Rodina Moskva wins 2
Last matches: Fakel
15.08.26
Pre
Fakel
CSKA Moscow
0
1
L
10.08.26
Pre
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
02.08.26
Pre
Fakel
FC Krasnodar
2
3
L
25.07.26
Pre
Fakel
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
Last matches: Rodina Moskva
15.08.26
Pre
Rodina Moskva
Akron
3
3
D
09.08.26
Pre
Rodina Moskva
Zenit
2
1
W
31.07.26
Pre
Rodina Moskva
FC Rostov
2
4
L
25.07.26
Pre
Rodina Moskva
Spartak Moscow
0
3
L
02.07.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Akron
0
5
L
27.06.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Chelyabinsk
0
1
L
20.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Chernomorets
0
0
D
18.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Pyunik Yerevan
1
2
L
15.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC Sochi
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC UFA
2
2
D
11.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Spartak Kostroma
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Enisey
1
3
L
01.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC Rostov
1
0
W
26.01.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Shanghai Shenhua
1
1
D
H2H: Fakel vs Rodina Moskva
13.04.26
H2H
Fakel
Rodina Moskva
1
3
L
15.09.25
H2H
Rodina Moskva
Fakel
2
0
L
Last matches: Fakel
10.08.26
Pre
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pre
Fakel
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
H2H at home: Fakel
13.04.26
H2H
Fakel
Rodina Moskva
1
3
L
Last matches: Rodina Moskva
09.08.26
Pre
Rodina Moskva
Zenit
2
1
W
25.07.26
Pre
Rodina Moskva
Spartak Moscow
0
3
L
27.06.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Chelyabinsk
0
1
L
18.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Pyunik Yerevan
1
2
L
15.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC Sochi
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC UFA
2
2
D
11.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Spartak Kostroma
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Enisey
1
3
L
01.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC Rostov
1
0
W
H2H away: Rodina Moskva
13.04.26
H2H
Fakel
Rodina Moskva
1
3
W
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:2 | 10 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 8 |
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Rodina Moskva
Away
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
D
W
L
L
|
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Fakel
Home
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
|
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL