Fakel vs Baltika Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
71.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Fakel
Baltika
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fakel
18 matches
Baltika
19 matches
| Fakel | Statistic | Baltika |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 11 |
| 7 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 4 |
| 23 | Goals For | 36 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.89 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 2.29 | Shots On Goal | 4.71 |
| 10.43 | Total Shots | 12.86 |
| 4.86 | Corners | 4.29 |
| 48.6% | Ball Possession | 36.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Baltika's more proactive style and Fakel's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fakel expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Baltika in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Baltika having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Fakel have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Baltika. Baltika carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 10 points while Fakel sit 16 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Fakel sit 16 with 2 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 3:7, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Vyacheslav Yakimov (1 goals), Alexey Sutormin (1 goals), Maksim Turishchev (1 goals), with creative support from Nikolay Giorgobiani (1 assists), Belajdi Pusi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Baltika approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 10 points after 6 outings. The return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 10:6, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Nnamdi Chinonso Offor (2 goals), Brayan Gil (2 goals), Sergey Varatynov (1 goals), with creative support from Nathan Gassama (2 assists), Sergey Varatynov (1 assists), Nikolay Titkov (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fakel won 4 times, Baltika won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:17 from Fakel's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 19 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14:6 | 8 | 12 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Baltika
Away
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 7 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:19 | -11 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8:17 | -9 | 4 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 |
Fakel
Home
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 2 |
L
L
D
L
D
|