Fakel
Match Timeline
Akhmat
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
59.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Fakel Win 40.3%
Draw 18%
Akhmat Win 41.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fakel1.31
Akhmat1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fakel
WWDLW
22 GF / 18 GA
Akhmat
WLDWL
29 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.81
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
10
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
9
3
Shots on Goal
5.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fakel
13 matches
Akhmat
16 matches
| Fakel | Statistic | Akhmat |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 10 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 3 |
| 22 | Goals For | 29 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.81 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.75 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 12.5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 40% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Fakel won 3 times, Akhmat won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Fakel's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82%)
Predicted formations: Fakel 5-3-2 / Akhmat 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Fakel 1, Akhmat 1
H2H summary: Fakel wins 3, draws 3, Akhmat wins 2
Stats
Fakel
Akhmat
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
5
5
Blocked Shots
6
6
Lineups
Fakel
Formation
Akhmat
D. Frolkin
D. Todorovic
A. Gabaraev
I. Yurganov
M. Bardachev
I. Alshin
V. Yakimov
A. Sutormin
R. Netfullin
M. Turishchev
N. Giorgobiani
V. Ulyanov
A. Adamov
O. Ndong
K. Cake
M. Bogosavac
T. Ibishev
J. Romao
M. Samorodov
K. Shchetinin
L. Sadulaev
G. Melkadze
Fakel
5-3-2
Starting XI
1
D. Frolkin
G
55
D. Todorovic
D
↓ 84'
🟨 76'
5
A. Gabaraev
D
20
I. Yurganov
D
53
M. Bardachev
D
10
I. Alshin
D
23
V. Yakimov
M
↓ 84'
11
A. Sutormin
M
↓ 58'
🟨 52'
52
R. Netfullin
M
7
M. Turishchev
F
↓ 37'
99
N. Giorgobiani
F
↓ 58'
Substitutes
96
I. Obukhov
G
35
V. Dorovskikh
G
8
A. Bagamaev
M
↑ 84'
9
A. Gnapi Dable
F
↑ 84'
18
K. Simonov
M
93
M. Uridia
F
44
Y. Zhuravlev
D
97
B. Magomedov
M
↑ 58'
17
A. Kovalev
M
↑ 58'
19
B. Pusi
F
↑ 37'
22
H. El Mhassani
25
A. Belyaev
F
Akhmat
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
V. Ulyanov
G
95
A. Adamov
D
90
O. Ndong
D
5
K. Cake
D
8
M. Bogosavac
D
4
T. Ibishev
M
18
J. Romao
M
20
M. Samorodov
M
10
K. Shchetinin
M
↓ 59'
7
L. Sadulaev
M
↓ 90+2'
77
G. Melkadze
F
↓ 66'
Substitutes
88
G. Shelia
G
71
R. Mitsaev
G
11
I. Silva
M
↑ 59'
23
G. Kenzhebek
M
42
M. Keliano
M
↑ 90+2'
81
M. Sidorov
D
70
A. Gadzhiev
M
76
E. Maksuti
F
↑ 66'
🟨 68'
97
A. Kasadzhikov
F
Last matches: Fakel
29.08.26
Pre
Fakel
Zenit
0
1
L
22.08.26
Pre
Fakel
FC Orenburg
0
0
D
15.08.26
Pre
Fakel
CSKA Moscow
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pre
Fakel
FC Krasnodar
2
3
L
25.07.26
Pre
Fakel
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
Last matches: Akhmat
29.08.26
Pre
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
3
3
D
22.08.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Rostov
4
1
W
15.08.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pre
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
26.07.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
16.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Ajman
1
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Radnik Bijeljina
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
IMT Novi Beograd
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
1
1
D
29.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
Borac Banja Luka
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
OFK Beograd
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Sochi
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Zenit
0
2
L
23.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Baltika
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Rostov
1
0
W
H2H: Fakel vs Akhmat
18.08.26
H2H
Akhmat
Fakel
2
1
L
10.08.26
H2H
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
05.04.25
H2H
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
18.10.24
H2H
Akhmat
Fakel
2
3
W
25.05.24
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Akhmat Grozny
2
0
L
04.11.23
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Fakel Voronezh
1
2
W
16.04.23
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Akhmat Grozny
1
1
D
24.07.22
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Fakel Voronezh
2
1
L
Last matches: Fakel
29.08.26
Pre
Fakel
Zenit
0
1
L
22.08.26
Pre
Fakel
FC Orenburg
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pre
Fakel
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
H2H at home: Fakel
10.08.26
H2H
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
05.04.25
H2H
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
Last matches: Akhmat
15.08.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
26.07.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Radnik Bijeljina
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
IMT Novi Beograd
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Sochi
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Zenit
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Akron
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
2
2
D
18.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Baltika
2
2
D
13.01.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Akhmat
Rubin
0
1
L
02.11.25
Pre
Akhmat
Baltika
0
2
L
19.10.25
Pre
Akhmat
Dynamo
2
2
D
04.10.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
2
L
20.09.25
Pre
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
30.08.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Rostov
1
1
D
22.08.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
2
2
D
H2H away: Akhmat
10.08.26
H2H
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
05.04.25
H2H
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:4 | 9 | 12 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Akhmat
Away
|
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 6 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:15 | -9 | 3 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 |
Fakel
Home
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL
Missing Players
Fakel
1 missing
-
S. Magkeev
OUT
Missing Fixture
Muscle Injury
Akhmat
1 missing
-
E. Cacintura
OUT
Missing Fixture
Red Card