RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE

10.08.2026 16:30

Fakel

0 - 0

Akhmat

Fakel Stadium

Referee: Aleksei Suchkov, Russia

Fakel

Match Timeline

Akhmat

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Fakel vs Akhmat Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away or Draw

Probability 59.7%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 75.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away or Draw	59.7%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	75.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	91.2%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Fakel Win 40.3%

Draw 18%

Akhmat Win 41.7%

Expected Goals (xG)

Fakel1.31

Akhmat1.64

Recent Form (Last 5)

Fakel

WWDLW

22 GF / 18 GA

Akhmat

WLDWL

29 GF / 12 GA

Key Stats

1.69

Average Goals Scored

1.81

1.38

Average Goals Conceded

0.75

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fakel 13 matches

Akhmat 16 matches

Fakel	Statistic	Akhmat
4	Wins	10
5	Draws	3
4	Losses	3
22	Goals For	29
18	Goals Against	12
1.69	Avg Goals Scored	1.81
1.38	Avg Goals Conceded	0.75
10	BTTS Yes	7
10	Over 1.5	12
7	Over 2.5	9
5	Over 3.5	3
2	Clean Sheets	8
1	Failed To Score	1
3	Shots On Goal	5.5
11.5	Total Shots	12.5
6	Corners	3
50.5%	Ball Possession	40%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Fakel won 3 times, Akhmat won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Fakel's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (82%)

Predicted formations: Fakel 5-3-2 / Akhmat 4-2-3-1

Missing players: Fakel 1, Akhmat 1

H2H summary: Fakel wins 3, draws 3, Akhmat wins 2

Standings

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14:7	7	21	D D D W W
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14:8	6	19	W W W W W
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15:9	6	19	W D W D W
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16:7	9	19	W W L D W
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19:9	10	18	W W L W L
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12:11	1	12	D D D W D
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15:16	-1	12	L L W L L
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14:12	2	11	L D L W D
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13:14	-1	11	D W D D W
10	Akhmat Away	9	2	4	3	13:13	0	10	L W D D W
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7:10	-3	9	D L D D D
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10:17	-7	8	L L W L L
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11:18	-7	8	W D D D L
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8:11	-3	7	D L W L L
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10:22	-12	5	D L L L L
16	Fakel Home	9	0	3	6	6:13	-7	3	L D L L D

Premier League (Relegation)

Relegation - FNL