Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
59.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Fakel Win 40.3%
Draw 18%
Akhmat Win 41.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fakel1.31
Akhmat1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fakel
WWDLW
22 GF / 18 GA
Akhmat
WLDWL
29 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.81
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
10
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
9
3
Shots on Goal
5.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fakel
13 matches
Akhmat
16 matches
| Fakel | Statistic | Akhmat |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 10 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 3 |
| 22 | Goals For | 29 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.81 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.75 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 13 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 40% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Fakel won 3 times, Akhmat won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from Fakel's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82%)
Predicted formations: Fakel 5-3-2 / Akhmat 5-4-1
H2H summary: Fakel wins 3, draws 2, Akhmat wins 1
Last matches: Fakel
02.08.26
Pre
Fakel
FC Krasnodar
2
3
L
25.07.26
Pre
Fakel
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
Last matches: Akhmat
02.08.26
Pre
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
26.07.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
16.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Ajman
1
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Radnik Bijeljina
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
IMT Novi Beograd
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
1
1
D
29.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
Borac Banja Luka
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
OFK Beograd
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Sochi
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Zenit
0
2
L
23.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Baltika
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Rostov
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Akron
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
2
2
D
01.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
H2H: Fakel vs Akhmat
05.04.25
H2H
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
18.10.24
H2H
Akhmat
Fakel
2
3
W
25.05.24
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Akhmat Grozny
2
0
L
04.11.23
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Fakel Voronezh
1
2
W
16.04.23
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Akhmat Grozny
1
1
D
24.07.22
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Fakel Voronezh
2
1
L
Last matches: Fakel
25.07.26
Pre
Fakel
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
H2H at home: Fakel
05.04.25
H2H
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
Last matches: Akhmat
26.07.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Radnik Bijeljina
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
IMT Novi Beograd
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Sochi
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Zenit
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Akron
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
2
2
D
18.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Baltika
2
2
D
13.01.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Akhmat
Rubin
0
1
L
02.11.25
Pre
Akhmat
Baltika
0
2
L
19.10.25
Pre
Akhmat
Dynamo
2
2
D
04.10.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
2
L
20.09.25
Pre
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
30.08.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Rostov
1
1
D
22.08.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
2
2
D
03.08.25
Pre
Akhmat
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
1
L
H2H away: Akhmat
05.04.25
H2H
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
Akhmat
Away
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 14 |
Fakel
Home
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
L
L
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL