JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
25.04.2026 05:00
City Light Stadium
Referee: Y. Yamashita
Fagiano Okayama
Match Timeline
Avispa Fukuoka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Yuma Tsujioka
Avispa Fukuoka
27'
K. Shirai
Fagiano Okayama
🟨
45+1'
Keiya Shiihashi
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
46'
K. Yamawaki ↔ T. Miki
Avispa Fukuoka
61'
T. Yamane · Assist: K. Shirai
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
62'
K. Shiihashi ↔ Y. Kitajima
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
62'
S. Usui ↔ Y. Michiwaki
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
65'
A. Esaka ↔ K. Kawano
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
65'
K. Shirai ↔ H. Motoyama
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
74'
Werik Popo ↔ Lucao
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
74'
K. Ogura ↔ Y. Suzuki
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
75'
S. Nago ↔ A. Sani Brown
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
75'
T. Oka ↔ Y. Hashimoto
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
82'
T. Kimura ↔ Leo Gaucho
Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
71.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
77.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Fagiano Okayama Win 28.6%
Draw 31.2%
Avispa Fukuoka Win 40.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fagiano Okayama1.32
Avispa Fukuoka1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
WWDLW
12 GF / 20 GA
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
WLDWL
26 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.81
9
BTTS Yes
11
5
Over 2.5
8
3.18
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 matches
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 16 matches
Fagiano Okayama Statistic Avispa Fukuoka
2 Wins 5
5 Draws 6
5 Losses 5
12 Goals For 26
20 Goals Against 29
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.81
9 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 13
5 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
3.18 Shots On Goal 3.67
12 Total Shots 11.67
5.82 Corners 4.42
41.5% Ball Possession 40.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fagiano Okayama won 4 times, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from Fagiano Okayama's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (71.4%)
Predicted formations: Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1 / Avispa Fukuoka 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Fagiano Okayama wins 4, draws 7, Avispa Fukuoka wins 4

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)