Exeter City
Match Timeline
Luton
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Exeter City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Luton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Exeter City1.23
Luton1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Exeter City
WWDLW
28 GF / 21 GA
Luton
WLDWL
39 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.56
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
7
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
14
3.13
Shots on Goal
3.76
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Exeter City
24 matches
Luton
25 matches
| Exeter City | Statistic | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 11 |
| 2 | Draws | 6 |
| 12 | Losses | 8 |
| 28 | Goals For | 39 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.13 | Shots On Goal | 3.76 |
| 9.09 | Total Shots | 11.68 |
| 4.43 | Corners | 6.16 |
| 48.5% | Ball Possession | 55% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Exeter City won 3 times, Luton won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:26 from Exeter City's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Exeter City 3-4-1-2 / Luton 4-3-3
H2H summary: Exeter City wins 3, draws 3, Luton wins 7
Stats
Exeter City
Luton
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
0
0
Shots off Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
7
7
Blocked Shots
3
3
Lineups
Exeter City
Formation
Luton
J. Whitworth
P. Sweeney
J. Fitzwater
S. Swinkels
I. Niskanen
E. Brierley
J. Doyle-Hayes
J. McMillan
J. Aitchison
J. Wareham
S. Cox
J. Shea
R. Walters
T. Mengi
N. Lonwijk
J. Johnson
G. Saville
L. Walsh
J. Clark
S. Morris
J. Yates
C. Bramall
Exeter City
3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
J. Whitworth
G
26
P. Sweeney
D
⚽ 50'
5
J. Fitzwater
D
16
S. Swinkels
D
14
I. Niskanen
M
6
E. Brierley
M
🟨 78'
31
J. Doyle-Hayes
M
↓ 70'
🟨 25'
2
J. McMillan
M
10
J. Aitchison
F
↓ 88'
9
J. Wareham
F
19
S. Cox
F
↓ 63'
🟨 29'
Substitutes
23
J. Bycroft
G
20
L. Woodhouse
M
↑ 88'
34
L. Oakes
D
8
E. Francis
M
12
R. Cole
M
↑ 70'
17
A. Higgins
7
C. Mendes
F
↑ 63'
Luton
4-3-3
Starting XI
1
J. Shea
G
2
R. Walters
D
↓ 76'
15
T. Mengi
D
17
N. Lonwijk
D
38
J. Johnson
D
23
G. Saville
M
↓ 76'
8
L. Walsh
M
18
J. Clark
M
14
S. Morris
F
↓ 62'
9
J. Yates
F
↓ 62'
33
C. Bramall
F
Substitutes
41
L. Thomas
G
5
M. Andersen
D
19
J. Brown
F
↑ 62'
🟨 67'
21
N. Wells
F
↑ 62'
22
L. Fanne
M
↑ 76'
37
Z. Nelson
M
↑ 76'
44
H. Fox
M
Last matches: Exeter City
15.08.26
Lea
Exeter City
Grimsby
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Exeter City
Bristol City
1
1
D
31.07.26
Fri
Exeter City
Torquay
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Exeter City
Weston-super-Mare
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Exeter City
Truro City
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bradford
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Stockport County
3
3
D
11.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Plymouth
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Doncaster
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Blackpool
0
1
L
28.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Leyton Orient
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wigan
0
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Luton
2
3
L
14.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Cardiff
0
4
L
10.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Lincoln
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Barnsley
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bolton
1
5
L
21.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Peterborough
3
3
D
Last matches: Luton
15.08.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
4
3
W
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
H2H: Exeter City vs Luton
17.03.26
H2H
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
L
01.01.26
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
1
0
W
02.12.25
H2H
Luton
Exeter City
4
0
L
26.09.23
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
1
0
W
03.02.18
H2H
Luton
Exeter City
1
0
L
17.10.17
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
1
4
L
18.03.17
H2H
Luton
Exeter City
1
1
D
26.11.16
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
0
0
D
05.11.16
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
1
3
L
07.05.16
H2H
Luton
Exeter City
4
1
L
19.12.15
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
2
3
L
03.04.15
H2H
Luton
Exeter City
2
3
W
01.11.14
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
1
1
D
Last matches: Exeter City
01.08.26
Fri
Exeter City
Bristol City
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bradford
1
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Stockport County
3
3
D
06.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Doncaster
3
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Leyton Orient
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Cardiff
0
4
L
10.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Lincoln
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bolton
1
5
L
17.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wycombe
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Northampton
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Rotherham
0
4
L
17.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Stevenage
3
0
W
20.12.25
Lea
Exeter City
Barnsley
3
0
W
09.12.25
Lea
Exeter City
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
06.12.25
FA
Exeter City
Wycombe
4
0
W
08.11.25
Lea
Exeter City
Wigan
1
1
D
23.10.25
Lea
Exeter City
Plymouth
2
0
W
11.10.25
Lea
Exeter City
Reading
1
1
D
27.09.25
Lea
Exeter City
Huddersfield
0
1
L
H2H at home: Exeter City
01.01.26
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
1
0
W
26.09.23
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
1
0
W
17.10.17
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
1
4
L
26.11.16
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
0
0
D
05.11.16
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
1
3
L
19.12.15
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
2
3
L
01.11.14
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
1
1
D
Last matches: Luton
15.08.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
4
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Luton
Plymouth
0
1
L
18.12.25
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
09.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
1
1
D
06.12.25
FA
Luton
Fleetwood Town
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
0
5
L
08.11.25
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
3
0
W
25.10.25
Lea
Luton
Northampton
1
0
W
H2H away: Luton
01.01.26
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
1
0
L
26.09.23
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
1
0
L
17.10.17
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
1
4
W
26.11.16
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
0
0
D
05.11.16
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
1
3
W
19.12.15
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
2
3
W
01.11.14
H2H
Exeter City
Luton
1
1
D
Standings
League One: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Luton
Away
|
46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 |
Exeter City
Home
|
46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two