ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
St James Park
Referee: O. Yates
Exeter City
Match Timeline
Bradford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Edward James
Exeter City
27'
K. Jackson · Assist: G. Lapslie
Bradford
🟨
43'
Danny Andrew
Exeter City
🔄
46'
L. Oakes ↔ K. McDonald
Exeter City
🔄
46'
D. Andrew ↔ T. Tuterov
Exeter City
🟨
51'
Max Power
Bradford
🔄
60'
C. Mendes ↔ R. Rydel
Exeter City
🔄
68'
C. Cummins ↔ J. Magennis
Exeter City
🔄
68'
R. Cole ↔ J. Aitchison
Exeter City
🔄
73'
K. Jackson ↔ N. Powell
Bradford
79'
A. Sarcevic
Bradford
🔄
83'
J. Neufville ↔ M. Pennington
Bradford
🟨
86'
Ryan Rydel
Exeter City
🔄
89'
A. Sarcevic ↔ C. Kelly
Bradford
90'
J. Magennis · Assist: R. Rydel
Exeter City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Exeter City Win 22.8%
Draw 15.8%
Bradford Win 61.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Exeter City1.17
Bradford1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Exeter City Exeter City
WWDLW
58 GF / 69 GA
Bradford Bradford
WLDWL
56 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
20
BTTS Yes
26
22
Over 2.5
23
3.26
Shots on Goal
4.02

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Exeter City Exeter City 48 matches
Bradford Bradford 46 matches
Exeter City Statistic Bradford
14 Wins 21
13 Draws 11
21 Losses 14
58 Goals For 56
69 Goals Against 51
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
20 BTTS Yes 26
32 Over 1.5 32
22 Over 2.5 23
13 Over 3.5 8
15 Clean Sheets 14
16 Failed To Score 9
3.26 Shots On Goal 4.02
10.02 Total Shots 12.8
4.57 Corners 5.53
49.3% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bradford's more proactive style and Exeter City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Exeter City expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Bradford in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bradford having the stronger overall control. Bradford carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 74 points while Exeter City sit 21 on 49, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bradford.

Exeter City Analysis

With 49 points from 45 games and a place of 21, Exeter City still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 13 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 51:59, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through J. Wareham (19 goals), R. Cole (7 goals), J. Magennis (6 goals), with creative support from I. Niskanen (13 assists), Jack Aitchison (4 assists), R. Cole (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bradford Analysis

Placed 5 with 74 points from 45 outings, Bradford continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 21 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses, while the 56:50 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Sarcevic (10 goals), B. Pointon (10 goals), S. Humphrys (7 goals), with creative support from Josh Neufville (7 assists), Max Power (5 assists), A. Sarcevic (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Exeter City won 5 times, Bradford won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Exeter City's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
Predicted formations: Exeter City 4-2-3-1 / Bradford 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Exeter City wins 5, draws 3, Bradford wins 3
Stats
Exeter City Exeter City
Bradford Bradford
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
5
6 Corner Kicks 7
19 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 2
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
345 Total passes 304
232 Passes accurate 174
1.04 expected_goals 1.56
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Exeter City
Formation
Bradford
J. Bycroft
J. Bycroft
L. Oakes
L. Oakes
E. James
E. James
P. Sweeney
P. Sweeney
D. Andrew
D. Andrew
C. Cummins
C. Cummins
J. McMillan
J. McMillan
I. Niskanen
I. Niskanen
R. Cole
R. Cole
C. Mendes
C. Mendes
J. Wareham
J. Wareham
S. Walker
S. Walker
J. Wright
J. Wright
A. Baldwin
A. Baldwin
C. Tilt
C. Tilt
J. Neufville
J. Neufville
J. Metcalfe
J. Metcalfe
M. Power
M. Power
I. Touray
I. Touray
G. Lapslie
🎯
G. Lapslie
A. Sarcevic
A. Sarcevic
K. Jackson
K. Jackson
Exeter City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
J. Bycroft
G
34
L. Oakes
↓ 46'
D
40
E. James
🟨 15'
D
26
P. Sweeney
D
21
D. Andrew
↓ 46' 🟨 43'
D
45
C. Cummins
↓ 68'
M
2
J. McMillan
M
14
I. Niskanen
M
12
R. Cole
↓ 68'
M
7
C. Mendes
↓ 60'
M
9
J. Wareham
F
Substitutes
29
K. McDonald
↑ 46'
M
27
J. Magennis
⚽ 90' ↑ 68'
F
10
J. Aitchison
↑ 68'
F
5
J. Fitzwater
D
20
L. Woodhouse
M
3
R. Rydel
🎯 90' ↑ 60' 🟨 86'
D
28
T. Tuterov
↑ 46'
Bradford 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
S. Walker
G
4
J. Wright
D
15
A. Baldwin
D
26
C. Tilt
D
7
J. Neufville
↓ 83'
M
21
J. Metcalfe
6
M. Power
🟨 51'
M
3
I. Touray
M
32
G. Lapslie
🎯 27'
F
10
A. Sarcevic
⚽ 79' ↓ 89'
F
19
K. Jackson
⚽ 27' ↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Hilton
G
22
N. Powell
↑ 73'
M
28
M. Pennington
↑ 83'
D
18
C. Kelly
↑ 89'
D
24
W. Swan
F
11
S. Humphrys
F
33
H. Ashby
D
Last matches: Exeter City
25.07.26
Fri
Exeter City
Weston-super-Mare
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Exeter City
Truro City
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Stockport County
3
3
D
11.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Plymouth
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Doncaster
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Blackpool
0
1
L
28.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Leyton Orient
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wigan
0
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Luton
2
3
L
14.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Cardiff
0
4
L
10.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Lincoln
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Barnsley
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bolton
1
5
L
21.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Peterborough
3
3
D
17.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wycombe
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Northampton
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Rotherham
0
4
L
Last matches: Bradford
17.07.26
Fri
Bradford
Accrington ST
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Bradford
FC Halifax Town
6
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Bradford
United of Manchester
2
1
W
14.05.26
Lea
Bradford
Bolton
0
1
L
09.05.26
Lea
Bradford
Bolton
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Bolton
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Plymouth
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Barnsley
2
2
D
11.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Stevenage
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Wycombe
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Northampton
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Burton Albion
1
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Mansfield Town
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Wigan
0
2
L
11.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Port Vale
2
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Leyton Orient
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Bradford
Reading
1
2
L
24.02.26
Lea
Bradford
Rotherham
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Bradford
AFC Wimbledon
1
3
L
17.02.26
Lea
Bradford
Stockport County
1
0
W
H2H: Exeter City vs Bradford
02.05.26
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
1
2
L
29.11.25
H2H
Bradford
Exeter City
1
0
L
12.02.22
H2H
Bradford
Exeter City
0
1
W
30.11.21
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
2
1
W
06.11.21
H2H
Bradford
Exeter City
1
1
D
07.08.21
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
0
0
D
06.02.21
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
3
2
W
14.11.20
H2H
Bradford
Exeter City
2
2
D
28.03.20
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
0
0
D
02.11.19
H2H
Bradford
Exeter City
2
0
L
16.03.13
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
4
1
W
17.11.12
H2H
Bradford
Exeter City
0
1
W
Last matches: Exeter City
18.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Stockport County
3
3
D
06.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Doncaster
3
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Leyton Orient
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Cardiff
0
4
L
10.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Lincoln
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bolton
1
5
L
17.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wycombe
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Northampton
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Rotherham
0
4
L
17.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Stevenage
3
0
W
01.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Luton
1
0
W
20.12.25
Lea
Exeter City
Barnsley
3
0
W
09.12.25
Lea
Exeter City
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
06.12.25
FA
Exeter City
Wycombe
4
0
W
08.11.25
Lea
Exeter City
Wigan
1
1
D
23.10.25
Lea
Exeter City
Plymouth
2
0
W
11.10.25
Lea
Exeter City
Reading
1
1
D
27.09.25
Lea
Exeter City
Huddersfield
0
1
L
13.09.25
Lea
Exeter City
Port Vale
0
2
L
H2H at home: Exeter City
02.05.26
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
1
2
L
30.11.21
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
2
1
W
07.08.21
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
0
0
D
06.02.21
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
3
2
W
28.03.20
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
0
0
D
16.03.13
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
4
1
W
Last matches: Bradford
17.07.26
Fri
Bradford
Accrington ST
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Bradford
FC Halifax Town
6
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Bradford
United of Manchester
2
1
W
09.05.26
Lea
Bradford
Bolton
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Barnsley
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Wycombe
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Burton Albion
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Wigan
0
2
L
11.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Port Vale
2
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
Bradford
Reading
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lea
Bradford
AFC Wimbledon
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Bradford
Luton
1
2
L
27.01.26
Lea
Bradford
Lincoln
0
3
L
24.01.26
Lea
Bradford
Huddersfield
0
1
L
04.01.26
Lea
Bradford
Blackpool
2
1
W
01.01.26
Lea
Bradford
Mansfield Town
0
3
L
20.12.25
Lea
Bradford
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
06.12.25
Lea
Bradford
Plymouth
1
0
W
22.11.25
Lea
Bradford
Bolton
0
0
D
01.11.25
FA
Bradford
Cheltenham
0
1
L
H2H away: Bradford
02.05.26
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
1
2
W
30.11.21
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
2
1
L
07.08.21
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
0
0
D
06.02.21
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
3
2
L
28.03.20
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
0
0
D
16.03.13
H2H
Exeter City
Bradford
4
1
L

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two