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09.10.2026 23:00
Excursionistas Stadium
Excursionistas
Match Timeline
Villa San Carlos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
N. Damiolini
Excursionistas
⚽
19'
A. Avalos
Excursionistas
🟨
28'
T. Akimenco
Villa San Carlos
🔄
35'
I. Esteves ↔ L. Machin
Villa San Carlos
🟨
38'
G. Areco
Villa San Carlos
⚽
45'
G. Tellas
Excursionistas
🔄
46'
F. Mussis ↔ M. Plastino
Villa San Carlos
🔄
52'
A. Espeche ↔ A. Paulides
Excursionistas
⚽
60'
G. Pedrosa
Excursionistas
🔄
62'
↔ A. Acosta
Villa San Carlos
🔄
63'
M. Fernandez ↔ M. Lopez
Excursionistas
🔄
63'
N. Damiolini ↔ W. Gimenez
Excursionistas
🔄
73'
M. Blanco ↔ L. Chambi
Excursionistas
🔄
73'
G. Tellas ↔ M. Polvera
Excursionistas
🔄
73'
F. Farias ↔ F. Cairo
Villa San Carlos
🔄
73'
R. Salinas ↔ B. Alvarez
Villa San Carlos
🟨
75'
D. Ledesma
Excursionistas

Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.8%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.8%
- ▥
BTTS No
60.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Excursionistas Win 67.8%
Draw 2.9%
Villa San Carlos Win 29.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excursionistas1.34
Villa San Carlos0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excursionistas Excursionistas
L W W W W
10 GF / 3 GA
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos
W W D D D
3 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
0.97
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
16
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Excursionistas Excursionistas 38 matches
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos 38 matches
Excursionistas Statistic Villa San Carlos
22 Wins 11
8 Draws 14
8 Losses 13
59 Goals For 37
30 Goals Against 39
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
16 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 7
16 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 18
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Excursionistas's more proactive style and Villa San Carlos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Villa San Carlos having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Excursionistas come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Excursionistas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 74 points compared to Villa San Carlos in 13 on 47, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Villa San Carlos.

Excursionistas Analysis

Excursionistas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 74 points after 38 outings. The return of 22 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 59:30, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 13 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Villa San Carlos Analysis

Villa San Carlos are currently 13 in the standings with 47 points from 38 matches. The record of 11 wins, 14 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 37:39 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Excursionistas won 4 times, Villa San Carlos won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:9 from Excursionistas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97.2%)
H2H summary: Excursionistas wins 4, draws 4, Villa San Carlos wins 3

Standings

Prim B Metro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 24 9 9 69:33 36 81
L W D W L
2 42 21 14 7 56:28 28 77
D W D W L
3 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W L D W W
4 42 20 11 11 46:27 19 71
L W L D L
5 42 19 13 10 50:35 15 70
W L W D L
6 42 18 14 10 40:28 12 68
L W L D L
7 42 18 12 12 45:41 4 66
D W D L W
8 42 17 12 13 43:40 3 63
D L D D W
9 42 15 15 12 40:35 5 60
W L D D D
10 42 15 14 13 51:53 -2 59
D W W D W
11 42 12 15 15 41:46 -5 51
D L W L W
12 42 12 15 15 43:49 -6 51
L L D L W
13 42 13 11 18 39:45 -6 50
W W L L L
14 42 13 10 19 40:50 -10 49
D W W W D
15 42 11 16 15 40:55 -15 49
D L W D D
16 42 11 15 16 36:43 -7 48
W L D D W
17 42 10 17 15 33:41 -8 47
L W L D D
18 42 11 14 17 42:51 -9 47
L L L L L
19 42 10 16 16 35:41 -6 46
D W D L D
20 42 10 16 16 26:38 -12 46
W L D W D
21 42 8 21 13 28:38 -10 45
W W D W W
22 42 1 14 27 28:69 -41 17
L L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)