12.09.2026 23:00
Excursionistas Stadium

Excursionistas vs Villa Dalmine Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.99
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.9%
1.99
BTTS No
56%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.36
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-0
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
Excursionistas Win 62.9%
Draw 5.1%
Villa Dalmine Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excursionistas1.1
Villa Dalmine0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excursionistas Excursionistas
WWDLW
51 GF / 28 GA
Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine
WLDWL
35 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.03
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
15
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Excursionistas Excursionistas 34 matches
Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine 34 matches
Excursionistas Statistic Villa Dalmine
19 Wins 16
8 Draws 12
7 Losses 6
51 Goals For 35
28 Goals Against 17
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
15 BTTS Yes 10
23 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 2
14 Clean Sheets 19
7 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Villa Dalmine. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Villa Dalmine having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Excursionistas Analysis

Excursionistas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 62 points after 33 matches. The return of 18 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 49:27, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Villa Dalmine Analysis

Placed 4 with 60 points from 33 outings, Villa Dalmine continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 16 wins, 12 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 35:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 9 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Excursionistas won 1 times, Villa Dalmine won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:10 from Excursionistas's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: Excursionistas wins 1, draws 2, Villa Dalmine wins 4

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 19 8 7 51:28 23 65
W L W W W
2 34 17 12 5 45:22 23 63
W W W D L
3 34 17 12 5 40:20 20 63
W D W D D
4 34 18 9 7 37:17 20 63
W W D L W
5 34 16 12 6 35:17 18 60
L D D W W
6 34 16 10 8 41:26 15 58
W W L L W
7 34 14 10 10 37:34 3 52
L D W W D
8 34 13 10 11 34:31 3 49
W W L W D
9 34 13 9 12 35:37 -2 48
D W L L W
10 34 12 11 11 41:44 -3 47
D D W L L
11 34 10 13 11 38:35 3 43
L W W D L
12 34 10 11 13 30:34 -4 41
L D L D D
13 34 9 14 11 31:36 -5 41
D L W L D
14 34 9 13 12 34:48 -14 40
D L L D D
15 34 9 12 13 34:38 -4 39
D L W W W
16 34 8 13 13 28:36 -8 37
L L L L W
17 34 8 13 13 27:35 -8 37
D D W L L
18 34 9 8 17 29:42 -13 35
L W L W D
19 34 7 13 14 28:36 -8 34
D D W W L
20 34 7 13 14 21:35 -14 34
D D L D L
21 34 4 19 11 17:29 -12 31
W L L D L
22 34 1 11 22 20:53 -33 14
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)