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24.10.2026 18:00
Excursionistas Stadium
Excursionistas
Match Timeline
Sportivo Italiano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
D. Ledesma
Excursionistas
🟨
23'
A. Daivez
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
26'
C. Ordonez
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
30'
E. Merzario
Sportivo Italiano
⚽
31'
M. Arango
Excursionistas
⚽
32'
Excursionistas
Excursionistas
⚽
40'
G. Tellas
Excursionistas
🔄
46'
E. Merzario ↔ P. Durante
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
46'
C. Bifiguer ↔ L. Guzman
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
46'
J. Rivero ↔ A. Guerra
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
46'
F. Centurion ↔ R. Fortino
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
46'
K. Gimenez ↔ J. De Cuadro
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
55'
M. Blanco ↔ A. Paulides
Excursionistas
🔄
55'
G. Tellas ↔ W. Gimenez
Excursionistas
🔄
55'
N. Damiolini ↔ I. Arbello
Excursionistas
🔄
68'
A. Avalos ↔ M. Lopez
Excursionistas
🔄
72'
A. Espeche ↔ M. Alaniz
Excursionistas
⚽
78'
M. Lopez
Excursionistas

Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.7%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Excursionistas Win 64.7%
Draw 3.4%
Sportivo Italiano Win 31.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excursionistas1.25
Sportivo Italiano1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excursionistas Excursionistas
D W L W W
10 GF / 3 GA
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano
D W W W D
6 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.18
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
17
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Excursionistas Excursionistas 40 matches
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano 40 matches
Excursionistas Statistic Sportivo Italiano
23 Wins 19
9 Draws 12
8 Losses 9
64 Goals For 47
31 Goals Against 29
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
17 BTTS Yes 17
28 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 5
17 Clean Sheets 17
8 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sportivo Italiano having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sportivo Italiano. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Excursionistas come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Excursionistas Analysis

Excursionistas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 77 points after 39 outings. With 23 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 63:30, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Sportivo Italiano Analysis

Sportivo Italiano come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 68 points after 39 matches. They have recorded 19 wins, 11 draws, and 9 losses, with a 47:29 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Excursionistas won 5 times, Sportivo Italiano won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from Excursionistas's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
H2H summary: Excursionistas wins 5, draws 6, Sportivo Italiano wins 4

Standings

Prim B Metro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 24 9 9 69:33 36 81
L W D W L
2 42 21 14 7 56:28 28 77
D W D W L
3 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W L D W W
4 42 20 11 11 46:27 19 71
L W L D L
5 42 19 13 10 50:35 15 70
W L W D L
6 42 18 14 10 40:28 12 68
L W L D L
7 42 18 12 12 45:41 4 66
D W D L W
8 42 17 12 13 43:40 3 63
D L D D W
9 42 15 15 12 40:35 5 60
W L D D D
10 42 15 14 13 51:53 -2 59
D W W D W
11 42 12 15 15 41:46 -5 51
D L W L W
12 42 12 15 15 43:49 -6 51
L L D L W
13 42 13 11 18 39:45 -6 50
W W L L L
14 42 13 10 19 40:50 -10 49
D W W W D
15 42 11 16 15 40:55 -15 49
D L W D D
16 42 11 15 16 36:43 -7 48
W L D D W
17 42 10 17 15 33:41 -8 47
L W L D D
18 42 11 14 17 42:51 -9 47
L L L L L
19 42 10 16 16 35:41 -6 46
D W D L D
20 42 10 16 16 26:38 -12 46
W L D W D
21 42 8 21 13 28:38 -10 45
W W D W W
22 42 1 14 27 28:69 -41 17
L L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)