ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
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Excursionistas Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.1%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Excursionistas Win 83.1%
Draw 4.3%
Ituzaingó Win 12.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excursionistas1.54
Ituzaingó0.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excursionistas Excursionistas
WWDLW
49 GF / 27 GA
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó
WLDWL
19 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
0.56
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
14
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Excursionistas Excursionistas 33 matches
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó 34 matches
Excursionistas Statistic Ituzaingó
18 Wins 1
8 Draws 11
7 Losses 22
49 Goals For 19
27 Goals Against 55
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 0.56
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
14 BTTS Yes 14
22 Over 1.5 24
11 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 7
14 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 19
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Excursionistas's more proactive style and Ituzaingó's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Excursionistas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 62 points compared to Ituzaingó in 22 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Excursionistas come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ituzaingó having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ituzaingó.

Excursionistas Analysis

Excursionistas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 62 points after 32 matches. With 18 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 49:24, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Ituzaingó Analysis

Ituzaingó sit 22 with 14 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 11 draws, and 20 defeats with a 19:49 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Excursionistas won 5 times, Ituzaingó won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:9 from Excursionistas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Excursionistas wins 5, draws 4, Ituzaingó wins 3

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 8 7 49:27 22 62
L W W W L
2 33 16 12 5 44:22 22 60
W W D L D
3 33 16 12 5 39:20 19 60
D W D D W
4 33 16 12 5 35:16 19 60
D D W W L
5 33 17 9 7 35:17 18 60
W D L W L
6 33 15 10 8 38:25 13 55
W L L W W
7 33 14 10 9 37:32 5 52
D W W D D
8 33 13 8 12 35:37 -2 47
W L L W W
9 33 12 10 11 39:42 -3 46
D W L L D
10 33 10 13 10 38:34 4 43
W W D L W
11 32 11 10 11 32:31 1 43
L W D L D
12 33 10 11 12 30:32 -2 41
D L D D W
13 33 9 13 11 31:36 -5 40
L W L D L
14 32 9 12 11 34:47 -13 39
L D D L D
15 33 9 11 13 34:38 -4 38
L W W W W
16 33 8 13 12 28:35 -7 37
L L L W D
17 33 8 12 13 25:33 -8 36
D W L L W
18 33 9 8 16 28:39 -11 35
W L W D D
19 33 7 12 14 28:36 -8 33
D W W L L
20 33 7 12 14 21:35 -14 33
D L D L W
21 33 3 19 11 15:29 -14 28
L L D L D
22 33 1 11 21 19:51 -32 14
L L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)