ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
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Excursionistas Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.95
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 2.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.3%
1.95
BTTS Yes
78.8%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
2.62
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.67
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Excursionistas Win 57.3%
Draw 14.1%
Deportivo Armenio Win 28.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excursionistas1.35
Deportivo Armenio0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excursionistas Excursionistas
WWDLW
38 GF / 18 GA
Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio
WLDWL
31 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.11
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
11
BTTS Yes
16
7
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Excursionistas Excursionistas 27 matches
Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio 28 matches
Excursionistas Statistic Deportivo Armenio
14 Wins 10
8 Draws 8
5 Losses 10
38 Goals For 31
18 Goals Against 35
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
11 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 20
7 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 5
13 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Excursionistas's more proactive style and Deportivo Armenio's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Armenio having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Excursionistas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 49 points compared to Deportivo Armenio in 10 on 37, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Deportivo Armenio. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Excursionistas Analysis

Placed 2 with 49 points from 26 outings, Excursionistas continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 37:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Armenio Analysis

Deportivo Armenio are currently 10 in the standings with 37 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, while the 30:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Excursionistas won 2 times, Deportivo Armenio won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Excursionistas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.78 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.9%)
H2H summary: Excursionistas wins 2, draws 4, Deportivo Armenio wins 3
Last matches: Excursionistas
25.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Flandria
1
1
D
18.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino Quilmes
0
0
D
14.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Defensores Unidos
2
0
W
10.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Comunicaciones
1
2
L
04.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Dock Sud
1
3
L
27.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Merlo
5
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Camioneros
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
1
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
San Martín Burzaco
2
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Villa San Carlos
2
0
W
27.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino Quilmes
2
2
D
22.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Liniers
4
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Real Pilar
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Villa Dalmine
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Ituzaingó
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Arsenal Sarandi
0
1
L
14.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Talleres Remedios
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Laferrere
0
1
L
Last matches: Deportivo Armenio
25.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Arsenal Sarandi
0
0
D
18.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Argentino de Merlo
2
2
D
14.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Talleres Remedios
2
1
W
10.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Deportivo Laferrere
1
1
D
04.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Brown DE Adrogue
0
0
D
27.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Ituzaingó
2
1
W
20.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Flandria
2
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Argentino Quilmes
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Defensores Unidos
3
0
W
30.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Comunicaciones
1
0
W
26.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Argentino de Merlo
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Dock Sud
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Deportivo Merlo
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Deportivo Camioneros
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Sportivo Italiano
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
San Martín Burzaco
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Villa San Carlos
1
4
L
15.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Liniers
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Real Pilar
1
0
W
07.04.26
Cop
Deportivo Armenio
Velez Sarsfield
1
4
L
H2H: Excursionistas vs Deportivo Armenio
21.03.26
H2H
Deportivo Armenio
Excursionistas
0
2
W
27.09.25
H2H
Deportivo Armenio
Excursionistas
2
1
L
09.05.25
H2H
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
1
0
W
03.11.24
H2H
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
1
1
D
15.06.24
H2H
Deportivo Armenio
Excursionistas
2
1
L
13.05.19
H2H
Deportivo Armenio
Excursionistas
3
0
L
03.12.18
H2H
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
11.02.18
H2H
Deportivo Armenio
Excursionistas
0
0
D
09.09.17
H2H
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
1
1
D
Last matches: Excursionistas
18.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino Quilmes
0
0
D
10.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Comunicaciones
1
2
L
27.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Merlo
5
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Camioneros
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
San Martín Burzaco
2
0
W
22.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Liniers
4
1
W
08.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
17.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Arsenal Sarandi
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Talleres Remedios
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Brown DE Adrogue
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Flandria
2
0
W
04.03.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Defensores Unidos
1
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Dock Sud
1
0
W
21.11.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
1
3
L
08.11.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Flandria
0
1
L
21.10.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Laferrere
1
2
L
06.10.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Comunicaciones
1
0
W
22.09.25
Pri
Excursionistas
San Martín Burzaco
4
2
W
06.09.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Merlo
3
1
W
22.08.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
H2H at home: Excursionistas
09.05.25
H2H
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
1
0
W
03.11.24
H2H
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
1
1
D
03.12.18
H2H
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
09.09.17
H2H
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportivo Armenio
18.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Argentino de Merlo
2
2
D
10.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Deportivo Laferrere
1
1
D
14.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Argentino Quilmes
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Comunicaciones
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Deportivo Merlo
2
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Sportivo Italiano
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Villa San Carlos
1
4
L
11.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Real Pilar
1
0
W
07.04.26
Cop
Deportivo Armenio
Velez Sarsfield
1
4
L
28.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Villa Dalmine
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Arsenal Sarandi
1
2
L
03.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Talleres Remedios
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Brown DE Adrogue
0
0
D
13.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Ituzaingó
1
0
W
14.12.25
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Acassuso
0
1
L
10.12.25
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Argentino de Merlo
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Sportivo Italiano
1
0
W
08.11.25
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Villa San Carlos
1
2
L
19.10.25
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
UAI Urquiza
1
0
W
07.10.25
Pri
Deportivo Armenio
Midland
0
0
D
H2H away: Deportivo Armenio
09.05.25
H2H
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
1
0
L
03.11.24
H2H
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
1
1
D
03.12.18
H2H
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
09.09.17
H2H
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.03
Draw 2.90
Home 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.34
Over 1.5 1.52
Over 1.75 1.68
Over 2.0 1.98
Over 2.25 2.32
Over 2.5 2.62
Over 2.75 3.17
Under 1.25 2.98
Under 1.5 2.37
Under 1.75 2.08
Under 2.0 1.78
Under 2.25 1.56
Under 2.5 1.43
Under 2.75 1.30
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 3.10
Home 1.85
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 1.91
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.20
Home 2.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.5 2.62
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 6.00
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.34
Draw 2.94
Home 1.89
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.52
Draw 1.83
Home 2.65
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.84
Draw 2.15
Home 2.31
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 0.75 1.09
Over 1.0 1.12
Over 1.25 1.31
Over 1.5 1.49
Over 1.75 1.64
Over 2.0 1.89
Over 2.25 2.26
Over 2.5 2.58
Over 2.75 3.05
Over 3.0 4.20
Over 3.25 4.60
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 3.75 6.86
Over 4.0 9.00
Over 4.5 11.50
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 5.95
Under 0.75 5.31
Under 1.0 4.70
Under 1.25 2.92
Under 1.5 2.30
Under 1.75 2.02
Under 2.0 1.74
Under 2.25 1.56
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 2.75 1.29
Under 3.0 1.15
Under 3.25 1.13
Under 3.5 1.10
Under 3.75 1.06
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.25
Draw 3.10
Home 1.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.00
Home 2.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.30
Under 1.5 2.45
Under 2.5 1.47
Under 3.5 1.15

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 15 7 5 31:13 18 52
W W L D W
2 27 14 9 4 37:19 18 51
D W L W W
3 27 14 8 5 38:18 20 50
D D W L L
4 27 14 8 5 33:17 16 50
W W W L W
5 27 13 10 4 30:14 16 49
D D D W W
6 27 12 9 6 27:21 6 45
D W W W D
7 27 11 7 9 31:30 1 40
W L L W D
8 27 10 8 9 31:28 3 38
L W D W L
9 27 10 8 9 30:31 -1 38
D D W D D
10 27 10 8 9 29:32 -3 38
L W W D W
11 27 9 9 9 32:40 -8 36
L D W D L
12 27 9 8 10 26:25 1 35
L D L W D
13 27 8 11 8 26:25 1 35
L L W D D
14 27 7 11 9 27:25 2 32
D W D L W
15 27 7 11 9 25:28 -3 32
D D W L L
16 27 6 10 11 18:27 -9 28
D D L L D
17 27 7 6 14 21:33 -12 27
D L W D L
18 27 6 9 12 17:29 -12 27
W L L D D
19 27 5 11 11 21:30 -9 26
D D L L D
20 27 5 10 12 26:34 -8 25
W L L D W
21 27 3 16 8 13:23 -10 25
D L D D L
22 27 1 8 18 18:45 -27 11
D L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)