18.07.2026 18:00
Excursionistas Stadium
Excursionistas
Match Timeline
Argentino Quilmes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
L. Filosa
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
44'
M. Fernandez
Excursionistas
🔄
46'
E. Diez ↔ J. Kruger
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
55'
M. Vega
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
59'
G. Zoratti ↔ W. Gimenez
Excursionistas
🔄
59'
M. Polvera ↔ I. Arbello
Excursionistas
🔄
63'
L. Guzman ↔ J. Martinez
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
72'
L. Escudero
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
72'
A. Avalos ↔ M. Lopez
Excursionistas
🔄
72'
M. Blanco ↔ M. Cardozo
Excursionistas
🔄
74'
M. Gomez ↔ M. Ceccotti
Argentino Quilmes
🟨
76'
E. Torancio
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
83'
J. Pereyra ↔ G. Tellas
Excursionistas
🔄
83'
M. Vega ↔ J. Cettou
Argentino Quilmes
🔄
83'
E. Torancio ↔ M. Compagnucci
Argentino Quilmes

Excursionistas vs Argentino Quilmes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Excursionistas Win 59.9%
Draw 11.6%
Argentino Quilmes Win 28.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excursionistas1.34
Argentino Quilmes0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excursionistas Excursionistas
WWDLW
37 GF / 17 GA
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
WLDWL
25 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1
0.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
10
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Excursionistas Excursionistas 25 matches
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes 25 matches
Excursionistas Statistic Argentino Quilmes
14 Wins 7
6 Draws 9
5 Losses 9
37 Goals For 25
17 Goals Against 28
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
10 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 16
7 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Argentino Quilmes having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Argentino Quilmes. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Excursionistas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 42 points compared to Argentino Quilmes in 14 on 26, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Excursionistas Analysis

Excursionistas come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 42 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 28:12 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Argentino Quilmes Analysis

With 26 points from 21 games and a place of 14, Argentino Quilmes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats with a 23:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Excursionistas won 1 times, Argentino Quilmes won 7 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:21 from Excursionistas's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
H2H summary: Excursionistas wins 1, draws 7, Argentino Quilmes wins 7

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 20 8 7 54:28 26 68
W W L W W
2 35 18 12 5 47:22 25 66
W W W W D
3 35 17 12 6 41:22 19 63
L W D W D
4 35 18 9 8 37:19 18 63
L W W D L
5 35 16 12 7 35:20 15 60
L L D D W
6 35 16 10 9 41:27 14 58
L W W L L
7 35 15 10 10 38:34 4 55
W L D W W
8 35 14 9 12 36:37 -1 51
W D W L L
9 35 13 11 11 36:33 3 50
D W W L W
10 35 12 12 11 42:45 -3 48
D D D W L
11 35 10 14 11 33:36 -3 44
W D L W L
12 35 10 13 12 38:38 0 43
L L W W D
13 35 10 11 14 30:35 -5 41
L L D L D
14 35 9 13 13 35:39 -4 40
D D L W W
15 35 9 13 13 29:35 -6 40
W D D W L
16 35 9 13 13 29:36 -7 40
W L L L L
17 35 9 13 13 34:49 -15 40
L D L L D
18 35 10 8 17 31:43 -12 38
W L W L W
19 35 8 13 14 31:36 -5 37
W D D W W
20 35 7 13 15 21:37 -16 34
L D D L D
21 35 4 19 12 17:31 -14 31
L W L L D
22 35 1 12 22 22:55 -33 15
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)