NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

29.08.2026 14:30

Excelsior

2 - 1

Sparta Rotterdam

Stadion Woudestein

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands

Excelsior

Match Timeline

Sparta Rotterdam

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home or Draw

Probability 64.6%

Odds 1.44

BTTS

Yes

Probability 82.5%

Odds 1.50

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds 1.55

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home or Draw	64.6%	1.44	▥
BTTS	Yes	82.5%	1.50	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	1.55	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	1.16	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	3.75	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	10.00	▥

Probability Distribution

Excelsior Win 44.9%

Draw 19.7%

Sparta Rotterdam Win 35.4%

Expected Goals (xG)

Excelsior2.53

Sparta Rotterdam1.78

Recent Form (Last 5)

Excelsior

WWDLW

23 GF / 9 GA

Sparta Rotterdam

WLDWL

21 GF / 14 GA

Key Stats

3.29

Average Goals Scored

2.1

1.29

Average Goals Conceded

1.4

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.5

Shots on Goal

4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Excelsior 7 matches

Sparta Rotterdam 10 matches

Excelsior	Statistic	Sparta Rotterdam
6	Wins	4
0	Draws	3
1	Losses	3
23	Goals For	21
9	Goals Against	14
3.29	Avg Goals Scored	2.1
1.29	Avg Goals Conceded	1.4
5	BTTS Yes	6
7	Over 1.5	7
6	Over 2.5	6
5	Over 3.5	6
2	Clean Sheets	3
0	Failed To Score	2
5.5	Shots On Goal	4.67
11.5	Total Shots	13.33
4.5	Corners	5
47%	Ball Possession	45%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Excelsior won 6 times, Sparta Rotterdam won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:24 from Excelsior's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (80.3%)

Predicted formations: Excelsior 4-3-3 / Sparta Rotterdam 4-2-3-1

Missing players: Excelsior 2, Sparta Rotterdam 0

H2H summary: Excelsior wins 6, draws 1, Sparta Rotterdam wins 5

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	1	0	22:7	15	16	W W W W W
2	AZ Alkmaar	6	5	1	0	17:6	11	16	D W W W W
3	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	20:7	13	14	W W D W D
4	Twente	6	4	1	1	12:5	7	13	W W D W W
5	Ajax	5	3	1	1	14:6	8	10	W L W D W
6	Excelsior Home	6	3	1	2	13:7	6	10	L D W W L
7	Fortuna Sittard	6	3	1	2	12:14	-2	10	L W W L W
8	GO Ahead Eagles	6	2	3	1	15:13	2	9	D D L W D
9	Groningen	6	2	2	2	12:13	-1	8	D D L L W
10	NEC Nijmegen	6	2	1	3	11:12	-1	7	L D L W W
11	Heerenveen	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6	D L D L D
12	Sparta Rotterdam Away	6	1	2	3	10:13	-3	5	L D L D W
13	Telstar	6	1	2	3	5:11	-6	5	D L D L L
14	Utrecht	6	1	2	3	11:19	-8	5	W D L D L
15	Cambuur	6	1	1	4	9:18	-9	4	W D L L L
16	PEC Zwolle	6	1	1	4	6:17	-11	4	L D L W L
17	Willem II	5	0	2	3	5:14	-9	2	D L D L L
18	ADO Den Haag	6	0	1	5	6:16	-10	1	L L D L L