Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Excelsior Win 0%
Draw 0%
Groningen Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excelsior2.69
Groningen1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excelsior
WWDLW
23 GF / 9 GA
Groningen
WLDWL
12 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
3.29
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
5
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
7
5.5
Shots on Goal
9.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Excelsior
7 matches
Groningen
9 matches
| Excelsior | Statistic | Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 4 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 4 |
| 23 | Goals For | 12 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 3.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.78 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.5 | Shots On Goal | 9.5 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 16.5 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 52% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Excelsior won 5 times, Groningen won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:27 from Excelsior's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Excelsior 4-3-3 / Groningen 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Excelsior wins 5, draws 2, Groningen wins 8
Last matches: Excelsior
15.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
Last matches: Groningen
16.08.26
Ere
Groningen
ADO Den Haag
4
1
W
09.08.26
Ere
Groningen
Utrecht
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Groningen
Valladolid
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Groningen
Volos NFC
0
0
D
24.07.26
Fri
Groningen
FC Volendam
0
4
L
18.07.26
Fri
Groningen
AEK Athens FC
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Groningen
Emmen
3
2
W
08.07.26
Fri
Groningen
Heracles
1
2
L
21.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Ajax
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Heracles
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Excelsior
2
3
L
25.04.26
Ere
Groningen
Feyenoord
1
3
L
11.04.26
Ere
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ere
Groningen
Telstar
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
W
13.03.26
Ere
Groningen
PEC Zwolle
1
1
D
07.03.26
Ere
Groningen
Ajax
3
1
W
01.03.26
Ere
Groningen
FC Volendam
2
3
L
22.02.26
Ere
Groningen
Twente
1
2
L
H2H: Excelsior vs Groningen
02.05.26
H2H
Groningen
Excelsior
2
3
W
05.12.25
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
0
2
L
16.01.24
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
0
2
L
25.02.23
H2H
Groningen
Excelsior
3
0
L
08.01.23
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
1
0
W
15.12.21
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
2
4
L
06.04.19
H2H
Groningen
Excelsior
1
0
L
02.11.18
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
2
4
L
29.04.18
H2H
Groningen
Excelsior
4
0
L
17.12.17
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
2
0
W
04.02.17
H2H
Groningen
Excelsior
1
1
D
13.08.16
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
2
0
W
12.03.16
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
2
1
W
21.08.15
H2H
Groningen
Excelsior
2
0
L
14.02.15
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
1
1
D
Last matches: Excelsior
15.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
01.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
17.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Telstar
2
2
D
20.12.25
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
1
W
05.12.25
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
0
2
L
29.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
1
0
W
08.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
2
L
19.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
0
W
27.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
14.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
0
1
L
30.08.25
Ere
Excelsior
Twente
1
0
W
16.08.25
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
H2H at home: Excelsior
05.12.25
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
0
2
L
16.01.24
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
0
2
L
08.01.23
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
1
0
W
15.12.21
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
2
4
L
02.11.18
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
2
4
L
17.12.17
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
2
0
W
13.08.16
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
2
0
W
12.03.16
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
2
1
W
14.02.15
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
1
1
D
Last matches: Groningen
16.08.26
Ere
Groningen
ADO Den Haag
4
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Groningen
Heracles
1
2
L
21.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Ajax
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Heracles
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ere
Groningen
Feyenoord
1
3
L
04.04.26
Ere
Groningen
Telstar
2
0
W
13.03.26
Ere
Groningen
PEC Zwolle
1
1
D
01.03.26
Ere
Groningen
FC Volendam
2
3
L
22.02.26
Ere
Groningen
Twente
1
2
L
31.01.26
Ere
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
0
2
L
18.01.26
Ere
Groningen
Heerenveen
2
0
W
21.12.25
Ere
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
1
1
D
05.12.25
Ere
Groningen
Excelsior
2
0
W
02.12.25
Ere
Groningen
Ajax
0
2
L
09.11.25
Ere
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
25.10.25
Ere
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
03.10.25
Ere
Groningen
NAC Breda
2
1
W
14.09.25
Ere
Groningen
Utrecht
1
0
W
23.08.25
Ere
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
2
4
L
10.08.25
Ere
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
L
H2H away: Groningen
05.12.25
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
0
2
W
16.01.24
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
0
2
W
08.01.23
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
1
0
L
15.12.21
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
2
4
W
02.11.18
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
2
4
W
17.12.17
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
2
0
L
13.08.16
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
2
0
L
12.03.16
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
2
1
L
14.02.15
H2H
Excelsior
Groningen
1
1
D
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Groningen
Away
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Excelsior
Home
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
L
W
|
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie