Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Excelsior Win 0%
Draw 0%
AZ Alkmaar Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excelsior2.27
AZ Alkmaar2.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excelsior
WWDLW
30 GF / 12 GA
AZ Alkmaar
WLDWL
29 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
2.64
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
7
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
7
5.4
Shots on Goal
8
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Excelsior
10 matches
AZ Alkmaar
11 matches
| Excelsior | Statistic | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 8 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 30 | Goals For | 29 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 3 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.64 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.4 | Shots On Goal | 8 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 19.6 |
| 5 | Corners | 8.8 |
| 42.2% | Ball Possession | 56.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Excelsior won 3 times, AZ Alkmaar won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:38 from Excelsior's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Excelsior 4-3-3 / AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Excelsior wins 3, draws 4, AZ Alkmaar wins 8
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
Away
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 11 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Excelsior
Home
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 8 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 7 |
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 7 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 7 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 2 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | -12 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie