Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Excelsior Win 0%
Draw 0%
AZ Alkmaar Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excelsior2.08
AZ Alkmaar1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excelsior
WWDLW
8 GF / 3 GA
AZ Alkmaar
WLDWL
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.67
Average Goals Scored
2
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
2
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Excelsior
3 matches
AZ Alkmaar
5 matches
| Excelsior | Statistic | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 8 | Goals For | 10 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Excelsior won 3 times, AZ Alkmaar won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:38 from Excelsior's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Excelsior 4-3-3 / AZ Alkmaar -
H2H summary: Excelsior wins 3, draws 4, AZ Alkmaar wins 8
Last matches: Excelsior
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
01.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
24.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Twente
0
0
D
21.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
17.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Telstar
2
2
D
Last matches: AZ Alkmaar
22.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Genk
4
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Anderlecht
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Almere City FC
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Gent
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
3
3
D
10.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2
2
D
23.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
16.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
3
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
0
3
L
19.03.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
4
0
W
15.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
4
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
2
1
W
07.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
0
2
L
26.02.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
4
0
W
H2H: Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar
14.02.26
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
21.01.26
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
1
1
D
13.07.24
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
8
0
L
10.03.24
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
4
0
L
04.11.23
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
10.02.23
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
5
0
L
11.01.23
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
L
23.10.22
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
15.05.19
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
4
2
W
15.12.18
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
2
1
L
03.03.18
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
24.09.17
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
0
2
W
05.03.17
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
1
1
D
03.12.16
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
3
3
D
06.03.16
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
2
0
L
Last matches: Excelsior
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
01.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
17.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Telstar
2
2
D
20.12.25
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
1
W
05.12.25
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
0
2
L
29.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
1
0
W
08.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
2
L
19.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
0
W
27.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
14.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
0
1
L
30.08.25
Ere
Excelsior
Twente
1
0
W
16.08.25
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
H2H at home: Excelsior
14.02.26
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
04.11.23
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
11.01.23
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
L
23.10.22
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
15.05.19
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
4
2
W
03.03.18
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
03.12.16
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
3
3
D
Last matches: AZ Alkmaar
18.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
09.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
0
3
L
19.03.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
4
0
W
07.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
0
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
0
1
L
14.02.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
2
1
W
25.01.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
1
0
W
17.01.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle
1
3
L
21.12.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
3
4
L
11.12.25
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Drita
3
0
W
30.11.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
0
1
L
23.11.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
1
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
02.11.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
1
0
W
18.10.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
2
0
W
02.10.25
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
AEK Larnaca
0
4
L
H2H away: AZ Alkmaar
14.02.26
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
W
04.11.23
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
11.01.23
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
W
23.10.22
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
L
15.05.19
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
4
2
L
03.03.18
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
W
03.12.16
H2H
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
3
3
D
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 |
AZ Alkmaar
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 |
Excelsior
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie