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NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
Excelsior
FT
2 - 2
Ajax
Stadion Woudestein
Referee: M. Nagtegaal
Excelsior
Match Timeline
Ajax
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
21'
M. Godts · Assist: R. Bounida
Ajax
⚽
40'
M. Godts · Assist: K. Dolberg
Ajax
🔄
62'
E. Hansson ↔ G. de Regt
Excelsior
🔄
63'
J. Bergraaf ↔ L. Schouten
Excelsior
🔄
63'
D. Sanches Fernandes ↔ M. Jonathans
Excelsior
🔄
67'
R. Bounida ↔ O. Edvardsen
Ajax
🔄
67'
K. Dolberg ↔ W. Weghorst
Ajax
🟨
70'
Lewis Schouten
Excelsior
⚽
74'
M. Jonathans · Assist: G. de Regt
Excelsior
⚽
79'
A. Zagre · Assist: G. de Regt
Excelsior
🔄
80'
J. Mokio ↔ T. Tomiyasu
Ajax
🔄
80'
S. Steur ↔ J. Johnson
Ajax
🔄
89'
L. Hartjes ↔ M. van Duinen
Excelsior

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Excelsior Win 0%
Draw 0%
Ajax Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excelsior1.27
Ajax1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excelsior Excelsior
WWDLW
20 GF / 35 GA
Ajax Ajax
WLDWL
47 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
12
BTTS Yes
18
12
Over 2.5
18
3.85
Shots on Goal
5.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Excelsior Excelsior 20 matches
Ajax Ajax 28 matches
Excelsior Statistic Ajax
6 Wins 12
4 Draws 7
10 Losses 9
20 Goals For 47
35 Goals Against 47
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
12 BTTS Yes 18
15 Over 1.5 28
12 Over 2.5 18
5 Over 3.5 12
4 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 5
3.85 Shots On Goal 5.75
11.55 Total Shots 14.29
4.1 Corners 5.21
44.8% Ball Possession 56.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Excelsior won 1 times, Ajax won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:44 from Excelsior's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Excelsior 4-1-4-1 / Ajax 4-3-3
H2H summary: Excelsior wins 1, draws 4, Ajax wins 10
Stats
Excelsior Excelsior
Ajax Ajax
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 1
12 Fouls 5
3 Offsides 2
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
442 Total passes 488
355 Passes accurate 397
0.80 expected_goals 0.63
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Excelsior
Formation
Ajax
S. van Gassel
S. van Gassel
I. Bronkhorst
I. Bronkhorst
C. Widell
C. Widell
R. Meissen
R. Meissen
A. Zagre
⚽
A. Zagre
L. Hartjes
↓
L. Hartjes
D. Sanches Fernandes
↓
D. Sanches Fernandes
I. Yegoian
I. Yegoian
N. Naujoks
N. Naujoks
E. Hansson
↓
E. Hansson
J. Bergraaf
↓
J. Bergraaf
V. Jaros
V. Jaros
A. Gaaei
A. Gaaei
J. Sutalo
J. Sutalo
Y. Baas
Y. Baas
J. Mokio
↓
J. Mokio
D. Klaassen
D. Klaassen
Y. Regeer
Y. Regeer
S. Steur
↓
S. Steur
R. Bounida
🎯 ↓
R. Bounida
K. Dolberg
🎯 ↓
K. Dolberg
M. Godts
⚽ 2
M. Godts
Excelsior 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
S. van Gassel
G
2
I. Bronkhorst
D
4
C. Widell
D
3
R. Meissen
D
12
A. Zagre
⚽ 79'
D
20
L. Hartjes
↓ 89'
M
30
D. Sanches Fernandes
↓ 63'
M
23
I. Yegoian
M
10
N. Naujoks
M
7
E. Hansson
↓ 62'
M
33
J. Bergraaf
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
16
C. Raatsie
G
5
S. Henderikx
D
6
A. Carlen
M
11
G. de Regt
🎯 74' 🎯 79' ↑ 62'
F
14
L. Schouten
↑ 63' 🟨 70'
D
15
S. Janssen
D
17
N. Martens
D
18
C. Nadje
M
26
M. Jonathans
⚽ 74' ↑ 63'
F
29
M. van Duinen
↑ 89'
F
Ajax 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
V. Jaros
G
3
A. Gaaei
D
37
J. Sutalo
D
15
Y. Baas
D
24
J. Mokio
↓ 80'
D
18
D. Klaassen
M
6
Y. Regeer
M
48
S. Steur
↓ 80'
M
43
R. Bounida
🎯 21' ↓ 67'
F
9
K. Dolberg
🎯 40' ↓ 67'
F
11
M. Godts
⚽ 21' ⚽ 40'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Heerkens
G
52
P. Reverson
G
17
O. Edvardsen
↑ 67'
F
23
S. Berghuis
F
25
W. Weghorst
↑ 67'
F
30
A. Bouwman
D
32
T. Tomiyasu
↑ 80'
D
41
G. Alders
D
55
T. Peters
M
16
J. Johnson
↑ 80'
M
68
A. Ouazane
M
Last matches: Excelsior
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
24.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Twente
0
0
D
Last matches: Ajax
13.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
H2H: Excelsior vs Ajax
01.02.26
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
22.11.25
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
2
W
24.04.24
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
2
2
D
19.08.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
29.01.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
4
L
16.10.22
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
7
1
L
13.04.19
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
6
2
L
11.11.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
7
L
06.05.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
2
L
14.12.17
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
1
L
19.03.17
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
1
D
29.10.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
L
21.02.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
0
L
20.09.15
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
0
2
L
08.03.15
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
L
Last matches: Excelsior
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
17.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Telstar
2
2
D
20.12.25
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
1
W
05.12.25
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
0
2
L
29.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
1
0
W
08.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
2
L
19.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
0
W
27.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
14.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
0
1
L
30.08.25
Ere
Excelsior
Twente
1
0
W
16.08.25
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
H2H at home: Excelsior
01.02.26
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
19.08.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
29.01.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
4
L
11.11.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
7
L
06.05.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
2
L
19.03.17
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
1
D
20.09.15
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
0
2
L
Last matches: Ajax
13.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Feyenoord
1
1
D
07.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
1
3
L
01.03.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
0
0
D
08.02.26
Ere
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
20.01.26
UEF
Ajax
Villarreal
2
1
W
11.01.26
Ere
Ajax
Telstar
3
2
W
20.12.25
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
10.12.25
UEF
Ajax
Qarabag
4
2
W
06.12.25
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
3
1
W
09.11.25
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
26.10.25
Ere
Ajax
Twente
3
2
W
22.10.25
UEF
Ajax
Chelsea
1
5
L
04.10.25
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
3
3
D
H2H away: Ajax
01.02.26
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
19.08.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
29.01.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
4
W
11.11.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
7
W
06.05.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
2
W
19.03.17
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
1
D
20.09.15
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
0
2
W

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
PSV Eindhoven
34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2
Feyenoord
34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3
NEC Nijmegen
34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4
Twente
34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5
Ajax Away
34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6
Utrecht
34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7
AZ Alkmaar
34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8
Heerenveen
34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9
Groningen
34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10
Sparta Rotterdam
34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11
Fortuna Sittard
34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12
GO Ahead Eagles
34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13
Excelsior Home
34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14
Telstar
34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15
PEC Zwolle
34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16
FC Volendam
34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17
NAC Breda
34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18
Heracles
34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie