05.09.2026 21:30
Estadio Sausalito
Referee: J. Cabero
Everton de Vina
Match Timeline
U. Catolica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Benjamín Berríos
Everton de Vina
35'
F. Zampedri · Assist: C. Cuevas
U. Catolica
🟨
37'
Cristián Cuevas
U. Catolica
🔄
61'
L. Soto ↔ G. Charrupi
Everton de Vina
🔄
61'
J. Alfaro ↔ J. Ovalle
Everton de Vina
🔄
61'
J. A. Martinez ↔ M. Palavecino
U. Catolica
🔄
61'
D. Corral ↔ C. Montes
U. Catolica
🟨
62'
Branco Ampuero
U. Catolica
🔄
70'
N. Baeza ↔ V. Fernandez
Everton de Vina
🔄
70'
E. M. Ramos Aviles ↔ B. Martinez
Everton de Vina
🔄
81'
J. Giani ↔ M. Gomez
U. Catolica
🔄
86'
N. Montiel ↔ C. Palacios
Everton de Vina

Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 42.7%
Odds 2.68
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
42.7%
2.68
BTTS Yes
86%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.75
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.18
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Everton de Vina Win 42.7%
Draw 16.7%
U. Catolica Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Everton de Vina1.49
U. Catolica1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Everton de Vina Everton de Vina
WWDLW
44 GF / 35 GA
U. Catolica U. Catolica
WLDWL
69 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.97
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
15
BTTS Yes
22
16
Over 2.5
26
4.81
Shots on Goal
4.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 28 matches
U. Catolica U. Catolica 35 matches
Everton de Vina Statistic U. Catolica
11 Wins 20
8 Draws 5
9 Losses 10
44 Goals For 69
35 Goals Against 48
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.97
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
15 BTTS Yes 22
21 Over 1.5 31
16 Over 2.5 26
10 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 6
4.81 Shots On Goal 4.41
12.76 Total Shots 12.72
5.1 Corners 4.93
45% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward U. Catolica. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Everton de Vina expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and U. Catolica in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward U. Catolica having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Everton de Vina Analysis

So far, Everton de Vina have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 30 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 31:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Alan Medina (6 goals), Nicolás Montiel (4 goals), Julián Alfaro (3 goals), with creative support from Lucas Soto (2 assists), Braian Martínez (2 assists), Nicolás Montiel (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

U. Catolica Analysis

U. Catolica come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 33 points from 20 matches. The record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 43:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Fernando Zampedri (10 goals), Justo Giani (5 goals), Clemente Montes (3 goals), with creative support from Clemente Montes (3 assists), Matías Palavecino (3 assists), Fernando Zampedri (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Everton de Vina won 4 times, U. Catolica won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:27 from Everton de Vina's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
Predicted formations: Everton de Vina 4-4-1-1 / U. Catolica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Everton de Vina wins 4, draws 4, U. Catolica wins 7

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 23 10 3 10 43:35 8 33
L W W L W
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
10 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L L W L
11 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
12 23 8 3 12 28:36 -8 27
L W L L D
13 21 7 4 10 29:39 -10 25
W D L L L
14 23 7 3 13 34:44 -10 24
W L W D L
15 22 6 4 12 17:37 -20 22
L L W L L
16 23 4 5 14 19:40 -21 17
W L L D L