CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Sausalito
Referee: Jose Cabero Rebolledo, Chile
Everton de Vina
Match Timeline
Palestino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
N. Baeza
Everton de Vina
20'
B. Carrasco · Assist: C. Munder
Palestino
22'
N. Da Silva · Assist: C. Munder
Palestino
🟨
38'
J. Leon
Palestino
🔄
40'
C. Barrera ↔ N. Montiel
Everton de Vina
🟨
42'
N. Montiel
Everton de Vina
48'
N. Montiel
Everton de Vina
🟨
55'
F. T. Montes Romero
Palestino
🔄
56'
N. Baeza ↔ V. Fernandez
Everton de Vina
🔄
56'
E. M. Ramos Aviles ↔ B. Martinez
Everton de Vina
🔄
63'
F. T. Montes Romero ↔ J. Benitez
Palestino
🔄
63'
C. Munder ↔ G. Tapia Paez
Palestino
🔄
63'
B. Carrasco ↔ M. Araya
Palestino
🟨
67'
S. A. Perez Kirby
Palestino
🟨
74'
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
Palestino
🔄
75'
V. Vidal ↔ S. Londono
Everton de Vina
🔄
83'
J. Leon ↔ D. Zuniga
Palestino
🔄
90+1'
N. Da Silva ↔ J. Bizama
Palestino

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.54
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.80
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.11
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.2%
2.54
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.11
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.3%
1.22
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Everton de Vina Win 58.2%
Draw 9.9%
Palestino Win 31.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Everton de Vina1.29
Palestino1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Everton de Vina Everton de Vina
WWDLW
18 GF / 16 GA
Palestino Palestino
WLDWL
21 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
5
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
7
3.71
Shots on Goal
4.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 15 matches
Palestino Palestino 14 matches
Everton de Vina Statistic Palestino
6 Wins 6
4 Draws 3
5 Losses 5
18 Goals For 21
16 Goals Against 20
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
5 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 4
3.71 Shots On Goal 4.79
10.86 Total Shots 14.86
4.21 Corners 4.36
46.7% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Palestino. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Everton de Vina expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Palestino in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Palestino having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Everton de Vina Analysis

Everton de Vina arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 22 points after 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 18:13 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on Alan Medina (3 goals), C. Palacios (3 goals), L. Soto (3 goals), with creative support from Braian Martínez (2 assists), Emiliano Ramos (2 assists), Alan Medina (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Palestino Analysis

Palestino sit 7 with 21 points after 14 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 21:20 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Da Silva (6 goals), C. Munder (2 goals), F. T. Montes Romero (2 goals), with creative support from Julián Fernández (3 assists), N. Da Silva (2 assists), I. A. Garguez Gomez (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Everton de Vina won 5 times, Palestino won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from Everton de Vina's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Everton de Vina 4-4-1-1 / Palestino 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Everton de Vina wins 5, draws 5, Palestino wins 5

Lineups

Everton de Vina
Formation
Palestino
E. Kirkman
E. Kirkman
C. Barrera
C. Barrera
H. Magallanes
H. Magallanes
D. Oyarzun
D. Oyarzun
N. Baeza
N. Baeza
L. Soto
L. Soto
B. Berrios
B. Berrios
V. Vidal
V. Vidal
E. M. Ramos Aviles
E. M. Ramos Aviles
A. Medina
A. Medina
C. Palacios
C. Palacios
S. A. Perez Kirby
S. A. Perez Kirby
A. A. Ceza Gavilan
A. A. Ceza Gavilan
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
E. Roco
E. Roco
J. Leon
J. Leon
J. Fernandez
J. Fernandez
N. Meza
N. Meza
B. Carrasco
B. Carrasco
F. T. Montes Romero
F. T. Montes Romero
C. Munder
🎯
C. Munder
N. Da Silva
N. Da Silva
Everton de Vina 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
E. Kirkman
17
C. Barrera
↓ 40'
4
H. Magallanes
24
D. Oyarzun
14
N. Baeza
↓ 56' 🟨 5'
35
L. Soto
21
B. Berrios
37
V. Vidal
↓ 75'
11
E. M. Ramos Aviles
↓ 56'
10
A. Medina
30
C. Palacios
Substitutes
1
I. Gonzalez
5
R. Gonzalez
20
Villagran
15
V. Fernandez
↑ 56'
19
V. Vega
40
N. Montiel
⚽ 48' ↑ 40' 🟨 42'
22
S. Londono
↑ 75'
29
B. Martinez
↑ 56'
28
A. Leon
Palestino 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
S. A. Perez Kirby
🟨 67'
4
A. A. Ceza Gavilan
2
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
🟨 74'
3
E. Roco
23
J. Leon
↓ 83' 🟨 38'
5
J. Fernandez
8
N. Meza
7
B. Carrasco
⚽ 20' ↓ 63'
15
F. T. Montes Romero
↓ 63' 🟨 55'
27
C. Munder
🎯 20' 🎯 22' ↓ 63'
19
N. Da Silva
⚽ 22' ↓ 90+1'
Substitutes
26
M. Mateluna
9
R. Fernandez
11
J. Benitez
↑ 63'
28
D. Zuniga
↑ 83'
16
J. Bizama
↑ 90+1'
20
G. Tapia Paez
↑ 63'
24
D. Salgado
21
M. Araya
↑ 63'
13
A. Gomez
Last matches: Everton de Vina
31.05.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
O'Higgins
3
2
W
22.05.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Concepción
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Cobresal
3
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
D. La Serena
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Nublense
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
U. Catolica
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Deportes Limache
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Concepcion
3
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
A. Italiano
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Huachipato
0
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Colo Colo
0
2
L
02.02.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Union La Calera
0
1
L
25.01.26
Fri
Everton de Vina
Sport Boys
3
2
W
Last matches: Palestino
01.06.26
Pri
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Palestino
Union La Calera
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Palestino
D. La Serena
5
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Concepción
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Colo Colo
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Deportes Limache
1
0
W
02.04.26
Pri
Palestino
U. Catolica
1
6
L
15.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Cobresal
4
2
W
28.02.26
Pri
Palestino
O'Higgins
4
2
W
21.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Huachipato
1
2
L
13.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
1
3
L
01.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Nublense
1
1
D
H2H: Everton de Vina vs Palestino
13.06.26
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
1
2
L
02.05.26
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
2
2
D
23.03.26
H2H
Palestino
Everton de Vina
1
2
W
24.10.25
H2H
Palestino
Everton de Vina
2
1
L
03.05.25
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
1
2
L
21.07.24
H2H
Palestino
Everton de Vina
1
4
W
23.03.24
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
0
0
D
23.11.23
H2H
Palestino
Everton de Vina
0
2
W
12.05.23
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
2
2
D
01.10.22
H2H
Palestino
Everton de Vina
1
4
W
23.04.22
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
0
0
D
08.09.21
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
1
0
W
12.04.21
H2H
Palestino
Everton de Vina
1
1
D
06.02.21
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
1
3
L
03.09.20
H2H
Palestino
Everton de Vina
1
0
L
Last matches: Everton de Vina
22.05.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Cobresal
3
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Nublense
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Deportes Limache
1
0
W
13.02.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Huachipato
0
3
L
02.02.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Union La Calera
0
1
L
H2H at home: Everton de Vina
13.06.26
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
1
2
L
02.05.26
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
2
2
D
03.05.25
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
1
2
L
23.03.24
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
0
0
D
12.05.23
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
2
2
D
23.04.22
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
0
0
D
08.09.21
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
1
0
W
06.02.21
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
1
3
L
Last matches: Palestino
24.05.26
Pri
Palestino
Union La Calera
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Colo Colo
1
0
W
02.04.26
Pri
Palestino
U. Catolica
1
6
L
15.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Huachipato
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
1
3
L
H2H away: Palestino
13.06.26
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
1
2
W
02.05.26
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
2
2
D
03.05.25
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
1
2
W
23.03.24
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
0
0
D
12.05.23
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
2
2
D
23.04.22
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
0
0
D
08.09.21
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
1
0
L
06.02.21
H2H
Everton de Vina
Palestino
1
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.98
Draw 3.22
Home 2.54
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.62
Draw 2.20
Home 3.19
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.34
Over 1.75 1.42
Over 2.0 1.56
Over 2.25 1.84
Over 2.5 2.11
Over 2.75 2.42
Over 3.0 2.87
Over 3.5 3.70
Over 4.5 7.40
Under 1.5 3.36
Under 1.75 2.96
Under 2.0 2.53
Under 2.25 2.04
Under 2.5 1.78
Under 2.75 1.59
Under 3.0 1.44
Under 3.5 1.29
Under 4.5 1.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 3.10
Home 2.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.10
Home 3.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.38
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.05
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.84
Draw 3.12
Home 2.46
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.68
Draw 1.96
Home 3.14
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.12
Draw 2.35
Home 2.74
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.16
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 1.75 1.38
Over 2.0 1.50
Over 2.25 1.80
Over 2.5 2.04
Over 2.75 2.28
Over 3.0 2.82
Over 3.25 3.11
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 3.75 4.39
Over 4.0 6.25
Over 4.25 6.70
Over 4.5 7.10
Over 5.5 14.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 0.75 7.85
Under 1.0 7.10
Under 1.25 4.10
Under 1.5 3.05
Under 1.75 2.70
Under 2.0 2.33
Under 2.25 1.96
Under 2.5 1.74
Under 2.75 1.52
Under 3.0 1.35
Under 3.25 1.27
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 3.75 1.14
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.25 1.05
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 3.15
Home 2.48
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.35
Draw 2.10
Home 2.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.40
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 2.0 1.52
Over 2.25 1.77
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 2.75 2.30
Over 3.0 2.85
Over 3.25 3.20
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 3.75 4.35
Over 4.0 6.00
Over 4.25 6.25
Over 4.5 6.50
Under 1.5 3.05
Under 2.0 2.32
Under 2.25 1.91
Under 2.5 1.68
Under 2.75 1.52
Under 3.0 1.35
Under 3.25 1.29
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 3.75 1.17
Under 4.0 1.09
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.07

Standings

Primera
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 0 3 29:12 17 36
W W W W W
2 15 8 2 5 35:20 15 26
W W L W L
3 15 6 6 3 17:10 7 24
W D W L W
4 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
5 15 7 3 5 23:21 2 24
W D W W L
6 15 7 2 6 23:22 1 23
D L L W D
7 15 6 4 5 19:15 4 22
L W D W W
8 15 5 7 3 18:19 -1 22
D W D L L
9 15 6 3 6 30:23 7 21
L L L L D
10 15 6 2 7 19:22 -3 20
L D L L W
11 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
12 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D L W L D
13 15 4 4 7 18:21 -3 16
D D W L D
14 15 4 2 9 14:23 -9 14
W L W L W
15 15 4 1 10 19:29 -10 13
L L L W L
16 15 3 3 9 14:28 -14 12
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso