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11.10.2026 15:30
Estadio Sausalito
Referee: R. Gonzalez
Everton de Vina
Match Timeline
D. La Serena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
Felipe Chamorro
D. La Serena
🟨
14'
Felipe Chamorro
D. La Serena
⚽
28'
Julian Alfaro · Assist: Benjamín Berríos
Everton de Vina
🟨
32'
Felipe Alejandro Gutiérrez Leiva
D. La Serena
🟨
33'
Nicolás Baeza
Everton de Vina
🟨
37'
F. Dinamarca
D. La Serena
🟨
47'
Lucas Alarcon
D. La Serena
🔄
54'
Felipe Chamorro ↔ Gonzalo Escalante
D. La Serena
⚽
56'
Matías Marín · Assist: G. Figueroa
D. La Serena
🟨
63'
Bruno Gutierrez
D. La Serena
🔄
66'
Jeisson Vargas ↔ Diego Rubio
D. La Serena
🔄
69'
Emiliano Ramos ↔ Braian Aaron Martínez
Everton de Vina
🔄
69'
Cristian Palacios ↔ Josué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda
Everton de Vina
VAR
75'
Joaquin Moya
Everton de Vina
⚽
78'
Braian Aaron Martínez
Everton de Vina
🔄
81'
Nicolás Baeza ↔ Vicente Fernández
Everton de Vina
🔄
82'
G. Figueroa ↔ Alexander Oroz
D. La Serena
🔄
82'
Matías Marín ↔ Sebastián Díaz
D. La Serena
🟨
83'
Lucas Soto
Everton de Vina
🔄
86'
Valentin Vidal ↔ Gustavo Charrupi
Everton de Vina
🔄
86'
Lucas Soto ↔ Óscar Opazo
Everton de Vina
🟨
88'
Jose Tapia
D. La Serena
⚽
89'
Alan Medina
Everton de Vina
🟨
90+1'
Franco ian rasso
D. La Serena
🟥
90+9'
Bruno Gutierrez
D. La Serena

Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Everton de Vina Win 41.9%
Draw 9.8%
D. La Serena Win 48.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Everton de Vina1.61
D. La Serena1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Everton de Vina Everton de Vina
D L W L W
7 GF / 4 GA
D. La Serena D. La Serena
L W W D W
8 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
17
BTTS Yes
17
17
Over 2.5
17
5.45
Shots on Goal
4.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 31 matches
D. La Serena D. La Serena 30 matches
Everton de Vina Statistic D. La Serena
12 Wins 9
9 Draws 10
10 Losses 11
48 Goals For 43
38 Goals Against 51
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
17 BTTS Yes 17
23 Over 1.5 21
17 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 7
5.45 Shots On Goal 4.39
14.45 Total Shots 11.7
5.18 Corners 4
47.4% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Everton de Vina's more proactive style and D. La Serena's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward D. La Serena. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Everton de Vina expected to line up in 4-4-2 and D. La Serena in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward D. La Serena having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Everton de Vina Analysis

Everton de Vina come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 36 points after 23 matches. With 10 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 37:25, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Medina (9 goals), N. Montiel (6 goals), J. Alfaro (3 goals), with creative support from B. Martínez (3 assists), F. Villagrán (3 assists), A. Medina (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

D. La Serena Analysis

So far, D. La Serena have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 30 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, while the 34:38 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Vargas (5 goals), F. Chamorro (4 goals), Á. Henríquez (2 goals), with creative support from J. Vargas (5 assists), F. Chamorro (2 assists), B. Gutiérrez (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Everton de Vina won 4 times, D. La Serena won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:10 from Everton de Vina's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
Predicted formations: Everton de Vina 4-4-2 / D. La Serena 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Everton de Vina wins 4, draws 2, D. La Serena wins 3

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 4 4 57:29 28 58
W D L D D
2 26 14 6 6 45:21 24 48
L W W W W
3 26 14 4 8 53:37 16 46
W D L W W
4 26 12 4 10 48:37 11 40
W W D L W
5 26 11 7 8 43:33 10 40
D L W W L
6 26 11 5 10 39:37 2 38
L D D L W
7 25 10 5 10 38:35 3 35
W L W L L
8 26 10 5 11 28:30 -2 35
W L D D L
9 26 9 8 9 30:39 -9 35
L W L L L
10 26 8 10 8 39:42 -3 34
D W L L W
11 25 9 6 10 34:40 -6 33
D D W W D
12 26 9 4 13 30:39 -9 31
W D L L W
13 26 7 9 10 28:35 -7 30
L D D W W
14 26 7 6 13 38:48 -10 27
D D D W L
15 26 6 5 15 19:47 -28 23
L L D L L
16 26 5 6 15 23:43 -20 21
L W D W L