CYPRUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Ethnikos Achnas
Referee: I. Piripitsis
Ethnikos Achna
Match Timeline
Omonia Aradippou
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
I. Toumpas ↔ N. Papakonstantinou
Ethnikos Achna
🔄
46'
P. Andreou ↔ L. Machado
Ethnikos Achna
🟨
51'
Efthymios Efthymiou
Omonia Aradippou
🟨
59'
Pablo Gonzalez
Ethnikos Achna
🔄
61'
N. Perdios ↔ A. Adoni
Ethnikos Achna
🔄
63'
E. Efthymiou ↔ A. Pappoulos
Omonia Aradippou
🔄
63'
Danny Henriques ↔ J. van Mullem
Omonia Aradippou
🔄
76'
Jorginho ↔ J. Mouaddib
Omonia Aradippou
🔄
76'
P. Zachariou ↔ S. Georgiou
Omonia Aradippou
79'
P. Gonzalez
Ethnikos Achna
🔄
83'
K. Evripidou ↔ G. Hadzigianni
Omonia Aradippou
🔄
86'
N. Giallouros ↔ G. Andreou
Ethnikos Achna
90'
G. Pontikos
Omonia Aradippou
90'
J. Assehnoun
Omonia Aradippou

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ethnikos Achna Win 40.2%
Draw 15.8%
Omonia Aradippou Win 44%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ethnikos Achna1.13
Omonia Aradippou1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna
WWDLW
33 GF / 51 GA
Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou
WLDWL
29 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
14
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
12
1
Shots on Goal
1.66

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna 32 matches
Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou 32 matches
Ethnikos Achna Statistic Omonia Aradippou
10 Wins 11
3 Draws 6
19 Losses 15
33 Goals For 29
51 Goals Against 41
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
14 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 20
17 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 8
14 Failed To Score 13
1 Shots On Goal 1.66
2.28 Total Shots 3.9
0.97 Corners 1.1
14.8% Ball Possession 13.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ethnikos Achna expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Omonia Aradippou in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Omonia Aradippou having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Omonia Aradippou.

Ethnikos Achna Analysis

So far, Ethnikos Achna have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 33 points from 32 matches. The record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 19 defeats, together with a 33:51 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Andereggen (12 goals), C. Giousis (8 goals), Breno Almeida (3 goals), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Omonia Aradippou Analysis

Omonia Aradippou sit 10 with 39 points after 32 league matches. The record of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 29:41 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Giorgos Pontikos (6 goals), S. Georgiou (5 goals), Jaly Mouaddib (4 goals), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Ethnikos Achna won 5 times, Omonia Aradippou won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from Ethnikos Achna's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.2%)
Predicted formations: Ethnikos Achna 5-4-1 / Omonia Aradippou 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ethnikos Achna wins 5, draws 4, Omonia Aradippou wins 4

Standings

1-division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 4 3 63:17 46 61
W W D L W
2 26 16 5 5 49:22 27 53
W W D L L
3 26 16 5 5 36:22 14 53
D W D W W
4 26 16 3 7 53:24 29 51
W W D D W
5 26 13 6 7 45:27 18 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 7 7 48:26 22 43
L W D D D
7 26 10 4 12 23:31 -8 34
W L W W D
8 26 10 3 13 31:38 -7 33
L L L W L
9 26 7 11 8 23:33 -10 32
D W W D D
10 26 8 4 14 26:36 -10 28
W L W D D
11 26 6 10 10 22:37 -15 28
L W D L D
12 26 7 5 14 23:48 -25 26
L L L W D
13 26 7 2 17 25:44 -19 23
L L L L W
14 26 0 1 25 5:67 -62 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)